On July 2, 2024 (Tuesday), according to the monitoring of the pig price system of China Pig Network, the average price of three yuan outside the country was 18.22 yuan/kg, and the pig price fell by 0.03 yuan/kg from yesterday (18.25 yuan/kg) and increased by 0.7 yuan/kg from the previous month (17.52 yuan/kg).
In terms of other pig breeds, the average price of three yuan in live pigs was 17.96 yuan/kg, and the price increased by 0.03 yuan/kg compared with yesterday (17.93 yuan/kg); The average price of live pigs was 17.42 yuan/kg, and the price fell by 0.02 yuan/kg from yesterday (17.44 yuan/kg).
The price of pig breeds outside the country, inside the three yuan, and miscellaneous pigs is mainly adjusted by a small rise, please see the following analysis for the specific rise and fall!
2024.06.26-2024.07.02 (7 days) foreign ternary average price trend chart
Today's average price of three yuan, three yuan and miscellaneous pigs outside some provinces/municipalities/autonomous regions:
1. Foreign three yuan: 18.79 yuan/kg in Jiangsu Province, 17.70 yuan/kg in Qinghai Province, 18.24 yuan/kg in Hunan Province, 18.29 yuan/kg in Beijing, 18.77 yuan/kg in Guangdong Province, 18.16 yuan/kg in Liaoning Province, and 17.44 yuan/kg in Yunnan Province;
2. In terms of internal three yuan: 17.99 yuan/kg in Shandong Province, 17.86 yuan/kg in Qinghai Province, 17.76 yuan/kg in Henan Province, 17.43 yuan/kg in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, 18.43 yuan/kg in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, 17.63 yuan/kg in Liaoning Province, and 13.05 yuan/kg in Tibet Autonomous Region;
3. Miscellaneous pigs: 17.40 yuan/kg in Zhejiang Province, 18.00 yuan/kg in Gansu Province, 17.82 yuan/kg in Hunan Province, 15.03 yuan/kg in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, 20.31 yuan/kg in Hainan Province, 17.40 yuan/kg in Liaoning Province, and 10.53 yuan/kg in Tibet Autonomous Region.
The Xuantian algorithm is a non-classical logic numerical aggregation theory and uncertainty prediction method originally created by the project team, and a hog price prediction model based on a uniform modulo operator is constructed. The theory and method of aggregate function and coherent modulus correlation adopted by the model have been funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China and provincial natural science funds, and won a number of provincial natural science awards. The forecast pig price on 07/03 is 18.3421, with a confidence range of 17.7611--18.9432. The forecast pig price on 07/04 is 18.3292 and the forecast pig price on 07/05 is 18.5621.
2024-07-03 - Gentian algorithm prediction
A brief comment on today's three-yuan pig price trend:
According to the "2024-07-02-China Pig Network Pig (Foreign Sanyuan) Average Price Rise and Fall Table", it was found that the price of ternary pigs at home and abroad showed a mixed trend, and the trend of pig prices was 12 up, 5 flat and 14 down. The highest pig price in Hainan Province was 21.12 yuan/kg, and the lowest in Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region was 1687 yuan/kg. Today, the rise and fall in various places is not large, and pig prices have a tendency to pull back. As the weather gets hotter, there is little consumer demand for high-priced pork, and lower beef and lamb prices are putting further pressure on the fresh pork market. In addition, the behavior of secondary fattening has also decreased, the enthusiasm of terminal procurement is average, and the demand support performance is weak. The pressure on slaughtering enterprises has increased sharply, the operating rate has declined, the white strips are not smooth, the profits of slaughtering enterprises have further shrunk, and the market is in a dilemma. It is expected that pig prices will remain volatile in the short term, and it is recommended that pig friends should be slaughtered in a timely manner and put bags in the bag.
(Note: The pig price and pig price in this article refer specifically to the price of live pigs, not the common pork price in the consumer market, and the domestic three yuan and local miscellaneous pigs are pig breeds.) ）