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Match 1: Germany vs Denmark
Match analysis: In the Euro 2024 round of 16 knockout round, Germany will face Denmark at Dortmund's Iduna Park.
Nagelsmann's side finished first in Group A and reached the knockout rounds, while Denmark finished second in the memorable Group C.
The first two World Cups ended in premature group exits, and Germany shook off the nightmares of the past two World Cups, beating Scotland and Hungary with a total of seven goals, and already qualified for the knockout stage in just two games.
Just avoiding a defeat in their final game against Switzerland would have put Germany in top of the group, but Nagelsmann's side were almost relegated to second place thanks to Dan Ndoye's opening goal.
However, in a dramatic late-night goal night in Group A, Nicolas Phil Kruger, who will return home this week, came on in stoppage time to equalise and all but secure top spot on Germany and avoid a last-16 clash with defending champions Italy.
Things have taken a strange turn, though, and Switzerland are now arguably on the easier side in the knockout position, as Germany are tied with heavyweights such as Spain, France, Portugal and Belgium as a bonus for winning the group and reaching the round of 16 for the fifth time in a row.
If Germany can beat Denmark, they will face Spain or Georgia in the quarter-finals, and they arrive at Dortmund's headquarters unbeaten in seven games this season, winning five and drawing two.
—— Why Germany Wins ——
Germany's goal difference is six, which is the best in the tournament so far. Germany also have an expected goal difference of 3.2 in the group stage. Jamal Musiala has been excellent in the German team so far. He has scored two goals in three games so far and is expected to score a total of 0.5 goals. He was also impressive when it came to passing, with 11 offensive passes, which was the most for a striker in the German team. Musiala also had a good shot percentage, hitting the target with three of his five shots on target. Niklas Phil Kruger's shot was also good. Phil Krueger had just three shots on goal and two on target. Both shots hit the back of the net and he played just 76 minutes. Even if Phil Krueger comes off the bench, he can make a huge impact in this game.
If Phil Krueger is in the starting line-up, he will replace Kai Havertz. Kai Havertz was outstanding, with goals and assists. Still, the goal came from the penalty spot, and of his other eight shots, he didn't hit the back of the net. Leroy Sane is an addition to the German team's attack. So far, he has seven shots on goal with three hits. Leroy Sane has yet to score but has already opened the pitch as a substitute.
Germany have been solid defensively in this tournament. Manuel Neuer prevented five of his six shots in the match, while allowing two goals, one of which was an own goal. In front of him. Joshua Kimmich has always been reliable. He had four clearances, four interceptions and four tackles to win.
Speaking of the question of one point, Group C is one of a deadlocked specialist group of England, Slovenia, Serbia and Denmark, who have scored just seven goals in six games and together have created the lowest-scoring group in the history of the European Championship.
Upcoming opponents Germany have just played in the only seven-goal tournament of 2016 and despite not winning a single game in the group, Denmark's three draws against three opponents were enough to put Kaspar Helmand's side second in the group.
Denmark have contributed just two of their seven goals in Group C at this tournament and although Holmand's Rockets goal against England will certainly be the best goal of the tournament, they are now qualified for back-to-back knockout stages of the tournament for the first time in their history.
Helmand has no illusions that his side will need to improve quickly if they are to have a chance of upsetting hosts Germany, but they, like Germany, are on a seven-game winning streak in 2024 and have lost just once in their last 15 matches.
However, in a Euro 2012 match-up, Germany won 2-1 against Denmark in the group stage with the help of Bordoski and Bender. But since then, both friendlies have ended 1-1.
—— Why Denmark will win ——
Denmark did not achieve the same attacking success as Germany. Christian Eriksen has been the main focus of the attack. He had ten shots on goal but only two on target and so far he has scored one goal in those games. He averaged nearly 3.5 shots per 90 minutes, but it didn't exceed his expected goal total. Morten Hulmande scored for Denmark. He scored one goal in five shots and hit the target twice. Denmark would like to see more pressure from Pierre Hojbjerg. So far, he has six shots on goal and four on target, yet to get on target. Hojbjerg have been solid defensively so far. In those games, he had three interceptions, eight midfield tackles and five clearances.
Also in the forward position, Jonas Winder has also made an impact. He had one assist, five shots on goal but only one hit the target. So far, he has also led the team to create scoring chances in the game. Denmark will look to rely on their overall defense. Kasper Schmeichel was solid, blocking five of his seven shots. In addition, both Mailer and Anderson were consistent in front of him. They made a total of 9 interceptions, 4 tackles and 4 tackles.
—— Forecast ——
It's a game of strength against strength. Germany have a good attacking power and they can score goals in the best teams. Despite this, Denmark defended better. What makes this game different is the depth of the squad. Phil Krueger and Kai Havertz will both start on the bench as either of them can weaken the Danish backline. It is expected to be a goalless game, with Germany's substitutes likely to score late on the scoresheet.
While there is still much to be done for Germany in their final group game against Switzerland, it is forgiven for a slight relief that Julian Nagelsmann's side have already been locked in the round of 16 and we should see a refreshed German side at Iduna Park.
Denmark have gotten into the habit of playing in close proximity at Euro 2024, but even a recalibrated German backline should not have much trouble repelling a futile attack from Denmark, while Julian Nagelsmann's side head high into the quarter-finals.
Recommend:
Look for Germany to win 2-0 2-1 3-1