Two groups 2-0, G2 after the championship probability update: Mavericks skyrocketed to 15.1% top 68.5%

Pot basketball

2024-05-25 18:12Posted in Liaoning Sports Creators

On May 25th, Beijing time, the NBA West Finals G2 competition continued, in the case of a maximum of 18 points behind, the away Mavericks completed a big reversal for the second consecutive game, with Doncic's stepback three points to complete the stunner, the big score 2-0 lead, in this way, the East and West Finals G2 competition is over, the results of the two groups of duels are 2-0, the Celtics and the Mavericks are the leading side.

After the G2 competition, the American media "theanalyst" simulated the remaining schedule through computer big data according to the high-level data TRACR, the winning and losing records of the whole season, and the intensity of the schedule, and updated the probability of winning the championship, of which the Mavericks soared to 15.1%, and the top of the list was as high as 68.5%.

4th place: Pacers

Last period: 8.5% overall decision, 5.2% championship probability

Phase: 6.9% overall probability of final, 4.4% probability of winning the championship

After the G1 overtime loss, the G2 Pacers not only lost by a large score, but Haliburton, the core of the team's backcourt, also retired injured, and if he suffered the same strain as in January, it would be very bad, because he had to rest for 13 games before returning.

As a result, the Pacers' chances of advancing and winning the championship have both declined for the third consecutive period, and the Pacers can only pin their hopes on Sika and a group of substitutes.

The Pacers have played 15 games so far in the playoffs, the most of any team, so their resilience deserves recognition, while the bench averages 33.4 points per game to rank first in the league.

Third place: Timberwolves

Last period: 51.8% overall probability of decision, 18.5% probability of winning the championship

Final: 32.6% overall decision, 12.0% championship probability

If the G1 Timberwolves lost with problems and were not prepared to deal with difficulties, then G2 completely exposed the shortcomings of the Timberwolves as a young defensive team.

With an 18-point lead at one point, Timberwolves coach Finch's stubborn use gave the Mavericks a chance to breathe, and finally suffered another big comeback at home.

The core Edwards exposed the shortcomings of the incomplete ability of the key ball, and twice threw the pot to cause the team to lose, and Gobert, the defensive core, became a shortcoming that Doncic frequently named, and the Timberwolves used Gobert in a dilemma.

2nd place: Lone Ranger

Last period: 48.2% overall decision, 9.4% chance of winning the championship

Phase: 67.4% overall probability of final, 15.1% probability of winning the championship

After G1 completed self-certification, the G2 Mavericks beat the Timberwolves in almost the same way, that is, Doncic and Irving's unsolvable individual strength, and slightly different from G1, Doncic and Irving changed the stage of dominating the game.

G2 Doncic took the lead, Irving took over the game in the final quarter, scored 13 points in a single quarter, and finally Doncic hit a three-point kill.

The most surprising thing is that the two offensive cores also delivered top one-on-one defensive performances, and at the same time, the role players next to them performed their own duties, and the interior combination of Gafford + rookie Lively completely exploded the Timberwolves' three major interior lines, and the rebounds have been dominant so far in the playoffs.

1st place: Celtic

Last period: 91.5% overall probability of decision, 66.9% probability of winning the championship

Phase: 93.1% overall probability of final, 68.5% probability of winning the championship

The Celtics' performance in the first two games of the Eastern Conference finals was not perfect, and the core Tatum exposed the shortcomings of the key ball ability, but still won a 2-0 lead.

And judging by the Pacers' condition, the Celtics will easily come out of the Eastern Conference finals because Brown, Holiday and White are very reliable and consistent.

Even so, the Celtics' 68.5% chance of winning the championship is exaggerated, and they have never experienced a tough battle so far in the playoffs this season, which could affect their performance when they face difficulties in the Finals.

The probabilities are as follows

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