After the East Finals G2, foreign media updated the probability of winning the championship: Pacers 5.2%, Mavericks 9.4%, and a team of over 6 percent

Pot basketball

2024-05-24 17:20Posted in Liaoning Sports Creators

On May 24, Beijing time, the G2 competition for the Eastern Conference Finals continued, the Celtics 126-110 Pacers, a big score of 2-0 lead, the East Finals showed a one-sided trend, and the American media "The Analyst" also updated the probability of winning the championship after the end of the East Finals G2, of which the Pacers only had 5.2% left, the Mavericks fell to 9.4%, and the probability of a team winning the championship exceeded 6%.

Fourth place: Pacers

Last period: 11.2% overall final probability, 5.6% championship probability

Phase: 8.5% overall probability of final, 5.2% probability of winning the championship

After the G1 overtime loss, the G2 Pacers swallowed a heavy defeat away, falling behind 0-2, and to make matters worse, Haliburton, the core of the team's backcourt, was injured and retired early.

According to Boston-based reporter John Karalis, he saw Haliburton limp onto the team bus after the game, and Woj followed up with Haliburton with a left hamstring injury.

Back in January, Haliburton missed 10 games as a result, and even a first-degree strain required a week of rest.

This is undoubtedly a huge blow to the Pacers, and it has also led to the probability of the team's comeback being less than 10 percentage points, and the probability of winning the championship has further dropped to 5.2%.

Judging from the game between G1 and G2, except for Sika, no one in the Pacers can stand up and solve the problem after Haliburton's injury.

3rd place: Lone Ranger

Last period: 47.8% overall probability of decision, 9.6% probability of winning the championship

Issue: 48.2% overall probability of final, 9.4% probability of winning the championship

After defeating the Timberwolves away in G1, the probability of the Mavericks entering the finals has increased significantly, and they are almost in a five-to-five situation with the Timberwolves.

This probability is also in line with the form of both teams in G1, but the 9.4% probability of winning the championship is a significant underestimation of the Mavericks' ability.

So far in the playoffs, Irving and Doncic have become the strongest duo of the remaining four teams, both on the offensive and defensive ends.

According to the statistics, among players who have defended at least 200 shots, Doncic ranks first in the league by limiting opponents to 41.7% shooting percentage, and even if that number is narrowed down to 100, Doncic ranks fifth and Irving ranks fourth.

When players faced Doncic's defense, their overall shooting percentage dropped by 8 percentage points, which ranked sixth in the league.

Second place: Timberwolves

Last period: 52.2% overall probability of final, 18.5% probability of winning the championship

Phase: 51.8% overall probability of final, 18.5% probability of winning the championship

After the Timberwolves G1 lost, the probability of winning the Western Conference finals dropped from 6 to a little more than 5 percent, and the latest issue was further pulled.

ESPN announced the predicted winning rate of G2 in the Western Conference Finals, with the Timberwolves 52.3% slightly ahead of the Mavericks at 47.7%, and the Timberwolves playing at home are the favored side, because from the perspective of the depth of the lineup, the Timberwolves are indeed the more likely side to win in the Western Finals.

Coupled with the loss of the G1 Timberwolves, the G2 Timberwolves have the initiative to adjust their tactics, and the G2 Timberwolves are very likely to turn the tables, and the Western Conference series does not look like a matchup that will end quickly.

1st place: Celtic

Last period: 88.8% overall probability of decision, 66.3% probability of winning the championship

Issue: 91.5% overall probability of final, 66.9% probability of winning the championship

As the darling of American media, the Celtics have always been favored by big data, and the probability of winning the championship in the latest period has reached a terrifying 66.9%.

The Celtics are currently leading 2-0, and with Haliburton injured, the Celtics are expected to advance to the Finals easily.

Historical stats are also very good for the Celtics, who have won the playoffs by 15 points or more six times this season after beating the Pacers in G2, the fourth time in franchise history and winning the first three championships (1984, 1986 and 2008).

But in terms of the content presented in the game, the Celtics are not the only team contending for the title.

To make matters worse, they haven't had a tough series of tests throughout the playoffs, and in contrast, both the Mavericks and the Timberwolves in the West have had a lot of tough battles and are bound to cause big problems for the Celtics in the Finals.

Coupled with Tatum's poor ability to finish key shots, the Celtics' championship prospects are actually not optimistic.

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