With the Iranian president suddenly suffering a plane crash, the "arc of resistance" or the dragons without a leader, Hamas's urgent voice, and the rare silence of the US side, is the situation in the Middle East about to change drastically?
On May 19, Iranian President Raisi's helicopter made a "hard landing" in the mountainous area of eastern China, killing eight people, including Raisi and Iranian Foreign Minister Abdollahian. Judging from the itinerary, Raisi should have gone to the border between Iran and Azerbaijan to participate in the inauguration ceremony of a dam jointly built by the two countries. After the accident, the Iranian side dispatched dozens of search and rescue teams to rescue, and the wreckage of the helicopter in which Raisi was traveling has been found, but there is no information about the survivors, and on May 20, Iranian media confirmed the news, saying that President Raisi and the foreign minister had been killed in the helicopter crash. It has to be said that Iran is still careless, and under the current complicated situation in the Middle East and bad weather, it can be said that the president and foreign minister are very risky to take a helicopter to participate in foreign affairs activities.
Hamas's urgent statement expressed its full solidarity with Iran and expressed the hope that the brotherly Iranian people would not be harmed in any way. Israel, for its part, sneered that it was too unwise to let a helicopter carrying the president and foreign minister fly in a thick fog; The President of the United States was rarely silent after hearing the news and is closely monitoring the development of the situation. The immediate cause of Raisi's death was a helicopter crash caused by dense fog weather, but the true situation is still up for debate. As the leader of the Shiite "arc of resistance", the sudden change in Iran's leadership will have at least three impacts on the international and regional situation.
At present, the Lebanese Allah Party, Yemen's Houthi armed forces and Hamas are united and "blossoming on three sides" around Israel. Raisi's death has cast a shadow over the armed forces in the Middle East, and it is unclear whether Iran will continue to support it in the future and whether all parties will be able to systematically resist Israel. Second, the situation in the Middle East is at a crossroads. There are many suspicions about Raisi's death, and as the investigation comes to light, the initiators behind it will inevitably encounter an iron-blooded counterattack by Iran, and if it is confirmed that Israel did it, the sixth Middle East war may not be held back. If it is indeed an accident and loses the "political strongman" Raisi, it is equally difficult to say whether Iran will be able to maintain its position in the Middle East and internationally.
The most critical is the international political landscape. Raisi and Abdollahian are active promoters of Saudi-Iranian reconciliation, and the death of both of them has dealt a certain blow to the reconciliation process in the Middle East, and it remains to be seen how the future successors will maintain Sino-Iranian and Russian-Iranian relations; if there is a crack in the "iron triangle" between China, Russia and Iran, the losses caused will be incalculable, and Raisi's death is also a big loss for the world anti-hegemonic camp. Under the influence of these three points, Israel has undoubtedly become the biggest winner of this incident, not only is the biggest "old enemy" no longer there, but it is also possible to "untie" the geopolitical dilemma in the Middle East.
From the attack on Slovak Prime Minister Fizo to the air crash of Raisi, it is not difficult to see that the great power game has entered a white-hot stage, and the weak links in the international situation are at risk of getting out of control, and the reform of the international order is being leveraged step by step.