Let's take a look at two messages first!
Recently, the Tianjin Municipal Government Procurement Network released the "Tianjin Port Free Trade Zone Planning, Land and Construction and Transportation Bureau Airport Phase III "2+4" Plot Regulatory Detailed Planning Revision Project (Project No.: FYZC-2024-04-02) Public Bidding Announcement", an overview of the key situation of the project.
Demand Overview @ Tianjin Municipal Government Procurement Network
Project Background
In 2010, with the approval of the municipal government, it was agreed that our district and Dongli District would cooperate in the development of the third phase of Tianjin Airport Industrial Zone (Airport Economic Zone). Subsequently, the two districts signed relevant agreements and held relevant meetings on the cooperative development work, and clarified the specific work such as development boundaries and timing. At present, the development and construction of the "8 square meters" plot of the third phase of the airport has matured, and the demolition and relocation of the "2+4" plot has made remarkable progress, and it also has the conditions for the gradual transfer of the development and construction of our district. In order to adapt to the changes in the development of airports, high-speed railways, subways, transportation arterial roads and industries around the "2+4" plot and the planning connection with the "8 square meters" plot, and provide construction and decision-making basis for the follow-up land development and construction work in our district, it is necessary to carry out regulatory detailed planning and revision work on the scope of "2+4" of the third phase of the airport.
Interpretation of Jinwen
From the background of the project, we can see several meanings:
1. Since 2010, Binhai Free Trade Zone has signed a cooperative development agreement with Dongli District, but it is only because of the development timing and other issues that it chooses to go step by step;
2. Today, the first phase of the airport has been basically formed, the second phase of development is in full swing, and the third phase of "8 square plots" has laid a good foundation, and it has begun to have energy to continue to expand the development territory;
3. The "2+4 plot" will be gradually transferred to the Binhai Free Trade Zone for development, and the scope involved will be revised for regulatory detailed planning.
According to the news of the northern network, some netizens recently inquired about the population planning of the airport economic zone of the Tianjin Port Free Trade Zone, and the official reply: The permanent population of the airport economic zone is 80,000, the planned population of the second phase of the airport is 85,000, and the planned population of the third phase of the airport is 45,000.
The spatial planning of the airport area (phase draft) @网友实拍
Interpretation of Jinwen
From this message, several meanings can be seen:
1. The airport has a permanent population of about 80,000;
2. The planned permanent population of the second phase of the airport is more than that of the first phase of the airport, and there are still large areas of residential land to be developed;
3. The third phase of the airport is also planned to have 45,000 people, with a total planned scale of 210,000 people.
Observe with respect
After understanding this information, let's look at today's topic: the increase in the planned residential land of the airport, the increase in the permanent population, can the economic life circle around the airport take shape?
For a long time, Tianjin has been carrying out the development model of Jinbin dual-core, but the core circle is nearly 40 kilometers apart, and it is difficult to form a joint force in the short term; In the past, there was a period of time when "two-way development of twin cities" was advocated, but now it is more of a development idea of "green belt in the middle, coastal to sea"; Invisibly, the role of the intermediate link area is weakened.
Some people say: I worked hard, but the middle ground is not angry! That looks at the middle zone along the Haihe River and the middle part of the light rail line 9, which is affected by multiple factors, and it is indeed not developed by the east wind; But what we want to talk about is the area along the Z2 subway line under construction, which has three of the five major development zones in Binhai, as well as a large residential area and indigenous population base in Dongli District, with industrial layout, development guidance, subway under construction, and large residential areas...... Theoretically, it is possible to realize an economic life circle.
Area Overview @ Jinwen
However, theory is theory after all, and it depends on the analysis of the actual situation.
First, due to policy restrictions, the urban area and the coastal core area are still unable to form a joint force, and the airport area is a marginal area relative to the dual-core, so the dual-core cannot give priority to development, and can only rely on their own basic conditions and capabilities to move forward;
Second, due to traffic restrictions, the subway line Z2 has not yet been opened under construction, the second phase of Keihin Intercity has not yet been opened, the early stage of the third phase of the airport's reconstruction and expansion has not yet been opened, and the planning stage of Metro Line 13 has not yet started...... The prospect is very good, but there is no transportation condition in the operation, and if you can only drive or commute by bus, the attraction of enterprises and talents will be reduced;
Third, the area is limited, there is an airport in the area, so the height is limited, and it is impossible to have the inner penetration of skyscrapers; The division is very fine, the Economic Development Zone, the Free Trade Zone, the High-tech Zone, and the Dongli District each have their own jurisdiction and governance scope, "one acre and three points of land", the good place is the fine management, and the bad place is not connected into a piece, and the joint development ability is not good.
Therefore, there is still a certain distance between the economic life circle of the airport and the real formation, but there is no problem with the one-stop solution of internal life at present.
Distribution of major employment opportunities @ Jinwen
In our opinion, this is a big waste of planning resources, and the rise of the airport is absolutely beneficial for both the urban area and the coastal core area.
First of all, the goal of Jinbin twin city interconnection, the middle reaches of the Haihe River has not been realized, the middle reaches of Line 9 have not been realized, and there is a chance to achieve it in the middle reaches of Metro Line Z2 in the future.
Secondly, Tianjin's economy is largely dependent on Binhai New Area, and Binhai New Area's economy is largely dependent on the five major development zones, there are three of them, the basic conditions are very good, and they only need to focus on pushing one to develop rapidly;
Finally, the attraction of enterprises and talents will increase, the "air-rail combined transport" airport, the blessing of the talent pool of the twin cities, the psychological expectation that the commuting distance is acceptable and the convenience of the subway will greatly attract the attention of the relocation of enterprises to Tianjin, rather than the "infighting" mode of competition for resources in the region.
Life circle distribution @ Jinwen
Jinwen summary
Today, things may be different, with a change in the airport that is most likely to be the heart of the lead. The increase in residential land in the second phase of the airport and the expansion of the third phase of the airport are also planned for a large part of the residential land, which is a change in the thinking of the bonded zone, not only to do an economic functional area, but to be a real regional core, the population that used to overflow because of the insufficient supply of housing is now to enlarge the supply to retain; In the past, people who could only go to the airport to work during the day now rely on the high-quality supporting facilities of the iron business and medical industry to live, which is a good idea and has feasible space.
Airport supporting @ cold eye view building
Why is there room for viability? Let's take a look at the data:
School: Municipal No. 1 Middle School Binhai School, Airport No. 1 Middle School;
Railway: Tianjin Airport, Keihin Intercity, Metro Line Z2, Line 13, etc.;
Business: SM City Plaza, Fuyueli, Wangfujing Outlet, International Trade Center, etc.;
Medical: General Hospital, Airport Hospital, Tiandong Airport Hospital;
Production: There are many domestic and foreign capital, central state-owned enterprises, and will not be repeated;
It can be seen that the airport with all kinds of iron business, medical and industrial products must have quality and quantity, which is an important basic condition for becoming the core of the region.
Airport supporting @ cold eye view building
Here is a focus on the high school entrance examination data that parents are more concerned about, the airport is the model of the primary school district + Binhai University District, and the high school entrance examination admission rate and the college entrance examination undergraduate rate are guaranteed, so there will be a relative reduction in some involutions (Note: just relatively speaking, the protection policy of reducing the score of admission will naturally benefit some students).
Data reference @ netizen real shot
Many people may have no concept of the admission rate, we take 20 years of high school entrance examination data to compare, because of the difficulty of data collation and some factors, we only did this period, for reference only, the data has changed in recent years, but it still can't change the status quo of the big school district.
2020 high school entrance examination data @ Jinwen
Therefore, some people say that the airport is a "small peace", the general admission rate of the school district is guaranteed, and the high-quality admission rate is also very bright. From a multi-level point of view, the airport has the opportunity to become the regional core between the two cores of Tianjin and Binbin.
However, we can't help but worry about the fact that the road at the airport was planned and built very early, can it really adapt to this change of increasing permanent population? Congestion and congestion are not the core signs of one party, the latter must have the advantage of being the latecomer, and the first phase of the airport has formed the road is not easy to widen; Is it possible to make some changes in the second and third phases? That remains to be seen. (Data is comprehensive and for reference only)