2 tie-breaks, foreign media update the probability of winning the championship: Knicks 3.4%, Nuggets 9.7%, and the first team is as high as 54.6%

Dearest Basketball Jun

2024-05-19 16:30Published in Guangdong

The NBA playoffs have reached the second round, and the G6 is all over, and 2 teams have advanced to the division finals, namely the Celtics and the Mavericks, and there are 4 more times to go, and there will be a fierce tie-break to determine the remaining 2 spots. 2 tie-breaks, foreign media ESPN updated the probability of winning the championship again: Knicks 3.4%, Nuggets 9.7%, and the first team is as high as 54.6%

Pacers 2.7%, Knicks 3.4%

The two teams will decide the other team in the Eastern Conference finals, and in this round of the series, no one can win on the road, so the Knicks, who have a home-court advantage in the tie-breaker, will have a higher probability. But the Knicks have too many injuries, even the Iron Man Hart is injured, and it is possible that several starters will have to play the whole game. Although the Pacers are well-staffed, they don't have a superstar in charge, and they don't have much playoff experience, so they may not play well in the face of a tie-break. From the league's point of view, of course, I hope that the Knicks will advance, as a giant team for many years, the Knicks' cheapest ticket to grab seven is $610, which is more expensive than the Pacers' cheapest season ticket, which shows the high popularity. Fans in the New York area are not bad for money, so every time the Knicks play a home court, they will have a huge income.

Forest wolves 7.6%, Mining 9.7%

The two teams will decide the other team in the Western Finals, and in this round of the series, there is a very strange phenomenon, that is, whoever wins, it is basically a big win. Originally, it was a desperate situation for the Nuggets to lose 2 home games in a row and fall behind 0-2, but they changed their lives and chased 3 games in a row. The Timberwolves then won by 45 points and regained some momentum, and now the two sides are on the same page. The tie-break is more of a test of the star's ability to resist pressure, but this time the referee will also occupy a large factor, because the Timberwolves' defensive intensity is extremely high, and if the penalty scale is too tight, it is easy to cause too many fouls.

Mavericks 22.1%, Celtics 54.6%

Before the start of the playoffs, ESPN's expert panel predicted that no one thought the Mavericks would win the championship, but after the 2 rounds of the playoffs, it was completely slapped in the face. Doncic has not played very well in the playoffs this year because of injuries, averaging 27.3 points per game and not shooting as well as the previous ones. But Irving was arguably the king of the final quarter, and every time he exploded in the second half of the game, he was too strong in scoring and could always ignore the defense. Of course, the more reason is the overall strength of the Mavericks, whether it is Washington or Jones, they can play very well, and now the inside line is not ten thousand people stabbed, Gafford Lively, playing very tough. The Eastern European duo laid the foundation, and it was the role players who determined the Mavericks' ceiling.

Finally, the favorite Celtics, can be said to be the only seeded team in the East, in the Bucks, Heat and other strong opponents out, the Green Army in the East has been unimpeded, the Pacers and Knicks no matter who enters the Eastern Conference finals, the strength is far inferior to the Green Army, they will also have home court advantage in the Finals, has been in the Eastern Conference Finals for many years, this time the Green Army can regain the glory of 2008?

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