Text—Liu Fufeng
Compared with Israel's imminent attack on Rafah, which means that the Palestinian-Israeli war has entered the final stage, the war between Russia and Ukraine, which has been fought for more than two years, does not know how long it will take, and I don't know what battlefield and what battle to decide whether to stop winning or losing. The war between Russia and Ukraine seemed to be promising ceasefire negotiations a while ago, but now both sides have expressed that they will not hesitate to fight to the end, fight a protracted war, and do not hesitate to expand the war and fight a nuclear war.
During this period, Russia and Ukraine bombarded each other with missiles, drones, and artillery, bombing military facilities, infrastructure, and civilian facilities, and ground troops attacked cities and seized land, demonstrating the determination of both sides to defy the war and destroy their opponents. During this time, Putin was sworn in as president of Russia, and there was a military parade on Red Square, talking about how Russia would defeat the enemy with nuclear weapons; Putin appointed a new cabinet, former Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu was transferred to the post of secretary of the Security Council, and former First Deputy Prime Minister Belousov was appointed Minister of Defense. A State Department spokesman said it was a further indication of Putin's desire to continue the war in Ukraine, even though it hurt Russia's economy and Russian forces suffered heavy losses, with an estimated 315,000 dead and wounded.
The Chairman of the Russian Federation Council Matviyenko said that during the Russian-Ukrainian war, Russia's defense spending more than doubled, everything in the Ministry of Defense must be in line with economic capabilities, and the Minister of Defense must maintain regular contact with other departments. The Russian-Ukrainian war has brought huge economic pressure to Russia, which is the biggest reason why Belousov, a civil official turned economist, replaced Shoigu, who was born as a martial artist. The main task of Bes's defense minister is not to fight wars, but to do a good job in wartime economy, especially military production, and to deal with all kinds of criticism, questioning, and supervision of defense expenditures by members of the Russian Federation Council. Putin's personnel adjustment does show his determination to fight the Russian-Ukrainian war for a long time.
Judging from the battlefield situation, the comparison of strengths, and the recent renewed enthusiasm and generosity of the United States and the West in their war support and assistance to Ukraine, it is unlikely that Russia will launch a major war in the short term to win, and it is unlikely that Russia and Ukraine will negotiate to end the war under the existing situation, and there is no choice for a protracted war. Of course, the economic pressure and casualty pressure caused by the war on Ukraine is greater than that of Russia. In this regard, Putin is very clear - now it is not only about courage, but also about endurance, and who will be more able to develop the economy and live.
This article was originally published in "Oriental Daily", original title: "Fighting Endurance than Knowing How to Live"
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