On May 13, according to the Russian satellite network, the Philippines was ready to dispatch 100 civilian ships to Scarborough Shoal on the 14th, and set the code name of this operation as "This is ours".
According to the footage taken by the satellite, 100 Philippine civilian ships have already set off and are expected to arrive near Scarborough Shoal tonight or early tomorrow morning. It has been learned that this time, in addition to ordinary civilian boats, the Philippines also dispatched patrol boats and warplanes to escort them, as if they would not give up if they did not break into Scarborough Shoal.
Leading the civilian boat was the Philippine Coast Guard's 44-meter-long patrol ship Bagakai, along with three other patrol ships and one aircraft.
In addition, the Philippines also has two big guys, one is a 5,000-ton maritime training ship, and the other is a 2,000-ton maritime training ship.
Don't see that there are a lot of civilian ships moving, but in fact, they are all vulnerable. It has been learned that the civilian boats on this dispatch are all very small sailboats, and there is only enough space for a few people to stay on board, and there is no place to sit if there are too many. Not to mention only a hundred ships like this, even if there are thousands, they will not be able to break through the defense line set up by our side.
You must know that we have set up 3 lines of defense, and the last one is still a steel ship. Even if the small wrecked ship of the Philippines can break through the first and second lines of defense set up by the mainland, it will not be able to break through the third line of defense. If you break through, there will only be one ending of capsizing.
The Chinese side laid three lines of defense, and the operation at Scarborough Shoal was the same as that of Xianbin Reef in the past
The Philippines had already launched such an operation last year, but it failed. At that time, he didn't even dare to break in, and when he saw the defense line formed by mainland ships and warships, he broke through the defense and immediately retreated. It's just that it was located on Ren'ai Jiao at that time, and these people on the Philippine ship felt that Ren'ai Jiao was far away from the Philippine mainland, and it was too late to rescue in case of conflict.
But Scarborough Shoal is different, it is very close to Palawan Island in the Philippines. In the event of a conflict between China and the Philippines, Filipino soldiers will be able to set off from Palawan Island as soon as possible to rescue, so the Filipino personnel involved in this operation are very excited and look majestic. However, the more excited the Filipinos seemed, the more disappointed they were destined to end up.
The mainland has already set up a chain of formations near Scarborough Shoal, and the first line of defense is composed of Chinese coast guard vessels 4109, 4108 and 4203, whose main role is to closely monitor the movements of Philippine ships.
The second line of defense consists of a number of coast guard ships and more than 10 large maritime militia vessels, and according to the strength of this line of defense and the situation of Philippine ships, Philippine ships should not be able to break through this line of defense. It doesn't matter if there are "fish that slip through the net", there is a third line of defense, which is also the most "hard" line of defense.
At the entrance to the lagoon, there were several large steel-hulled militia boats surrounding the entrance. These ships were not only "tall" enough, but most importantly had a stiff enough hull. If the Philippine ship breaks through, it is estimated that it will only end up capsizing on the individual ship.
Our side has already set up a series of arrays near Scarborough Shoal, which are interlocking, and are only waiting for the Philippines to throw itself into the net.
This kind of thing also happened at Sembin Reef in 2021, when Philippine ships could not break through the mainland's defense line and had to fight a war of attrition. But their small ship means less material and less personnel. The large size of the mainland ship means that there are many materials and personnel, and they can be replaced in turn to ensure adequate rest.
A week later, the Philippines couldn't be exhausted, so it could only run away in disgrace. And our side won without much effort and without causing any casualties.
The U.S. military will not go to war with China for the Philippines, and the Philippine operation is doomed to failure
The same is true this time, the Philippines can't hit it, and naturally it can't consume our side in terms of consumption, and the final outcome will only be a gray withdrawal.
In addition, the US aircraft carrier USS Roosevelt is also hovering in the South China Sea and may come to support in this conflict. But not necessarily, after all, the U.S. military always talks about it, but in fact it doesn't dare to act at all.
The U.S. military is well aware that once the aircraft carrier intervenes, the nature of the whole incident will be very different. The US aircraft carrier has helped other countries invade China's islands and reefs, and China has every reason to launch an anti-ship missile to seriously damage the US aircraft carrier, and even if it directly sinks it, the United States has no reason to condemn China. Of course, according to the cheekiness of the US side, it is not impossible for such a thing to happen.
At the same time, the Philippines chose to carry out such a big operation when the US aircraft carrier was still deployed in the South China Sea, also with the idea that the United States would support them.
But in fact, does the United States really dare to declare war on China for the Philippines? The answer must be no, after all, the essence of the American paper tiger has long been seen through by the international community. How can a United States, which cannot even connect the Houthis, go to war with China?
And the Philippines, which does not have the support of the United States, will only send 100 militia ships, a few coast guard ships, and one fighter plane this time, and even if all the personnel of the army, air force, and coast guard are dispatched, the Philippines will only be beaten.
Therefore, before the "drama" of breaking into Scarborough Shoal has begun, everyone should have seen the ending. It's a pity that the Philippines has never been able to see through it, and it will not look back until it dies.