There are only two rounds left in the top 36 of the Asian region of the World Preliminaries, and the Chinese men's football team temporarily ranks second in the group standings with a goal difference of 7 points and 1 goal. The first place is the South Korean men's football team, with a score of 10 points and 11 goal difference; the third is the Thai men's football team, with a record of 4 points - 2 goal difference; The fourth-place Singapore men's football team has been eliminated ahead of schedule and will not be analyzed. Obviously, the South Korean men's football team basically advanced ahead of schedule, and the biggest contender on the way to the national football team is the Thai men's football team.
In the fifth round, the national football team played against the competitor Thai men's football team, the national football team played against the South Korean men's football team in the sixth round, and the Thai men's football team played against the Singapore men's football team.
According to the current results and schedule, what is the qualifying situation of the national football team? There are basically 12 endings, and 2 endings will be eliminated directly.
The first assumption is that the national football team defeats the Thai men's football team in the fifth round, and the difference between the two teams will reach 6 points. In this case, the national football team will face the South Korean men's football team in the final round and will be able to advance directly regardless of whether they win or lose (1).
The second assumption is that the national football team draws with the Thai men's football team in the fifth round, and the difference between the two teams is still 3 points. In this case, there are 4 outcomes.
The Thai men's football team lost to the Singapore men's football team in the sixth round, and the national football team can advance in the sixth round regardless of whether they win or lose South Korea, because the difference between the two teams remains 3 points (1).
The Thai men's football team drew with the Singapore men's football team in the sixth round, and the national football team can directly advance if the national football team loses, draws, and wins the South Korean men's football team in the sixth round, because the minimum score difference between the two teams is also 2 points (2).
The Thai men's football team won the Singapore men's football team in the sixth round, the national football team drew in the sixth round, and the South Korean men's football team could advance, because the minimum score difference between China and Thailand was 1 point (3); If you lose to South Korea, you will have a goal difference against Thailand (4).
The third assumption is that the national football team loses to the Thai men's football team in the fifth round, and the two teams have the same number of points. In this case, there are 7 outcomes.
In the last round, the Thai men's football team lost to the Singapore men's football team, and the national football team drew or won the South Korean men's football team to directly advance (1); National football team loses to South Korea and Thailand by goal difference (2)
In the last round, the Thai men's football team drew with the Singapore men's football team, and the national football team won South Korea to advance directly (3); Draw with South Korea and Thailand on goal difference (4); Lose to South Korea and go straight out (5)
In the final round, the Thai men's football team defeated the Singapore men's football team, and the national football team won the South Korean men's football team and Thailand by goal difference (6); Lose or draw straight out (7).
To sum up, the national football team defeated the Thai men's football team in the fifth round to advance 100%, and the draw with the Thai men's football team in the fifth round to get 8 points is the final bottom line, because no matter what the result of the final round is, the goal difference of the national football team and the Thai men's football team still have a fight.
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