«——【Preamble】】 ——»
You must know that Taiwan has been a part of China since ancient times, but in order to suppress China, the United States has constantly used interference in the Taiwan issue to contain China.
It is precisely because of the continuous involvement of the United States that the situation in the Taiwan Strait has become more and more tense, so many people have speculated that the mainland will directly use force to recover Taiwan in order to stabilize the situation in the Taiwan Strait, but if it does so, the United States will most likely send troops to forcibly intervene in the situation in the Taiwan Strait for its own Asia-Pacific strategic considerations.
Once things develop to this point, there is a high probability that war will break out between China and the United States because of the situation in the Taiwan Strait.
However, as for this war, experts from American think tanks said that once a war breaks out between China and the United States over the situation in the Taiwan Strait, the scale of the war will be so huge that it will exceed the imagination of the United States. So why did the experts of the American think tank say such words?
«——[U.S. meddling in the Taiwan Strait]——»
You must know that it has been less than 10 days since Lai Ching-te of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) took office as the leader of the Taiwan region. At this time, many people were also very worried about this, because after all, Lai Qingde, as a staunch "Taiwan independence" element, would inevitably make cross-strait relations more delicate once he took office, and during this period, the United States even sent an Arleigh Burke-class destroyer through the Taiwan Strait.
Although on the surface, this move by the United States is completely free navigation, it is clear to anyone with a discerning eye that the United States is supporting the "Taiwan independence" forces in Taiwan.
After all, Taiwan is a bridgehead used by the United States to contain China.
As for the US intervention in Taiwan, its historical origins can be traced back to the founding of the People's Republic of China. In 1949, the founding of New China was proclaimed, but the Kuomintang Chiang Kai-shek was defeated and retreated to Taiwan, and was deeply unwilling to do so, and always harbored the ambition of counterattacking the mainland. However, they also know that it will not be easy to achieve this goal on their own. As a result, they turned to the support of external powers, especially the United States, in the hope of receiving their assistance to strengthen themselves.
After all, as a socialist country, China will definitely join the socialist camp, and in this way, once China regains its strength with the aid of the Soviet Union, it will undoubtedly add an enemy to itself.
Once China and the Soviet Union join forces, it will undoubtedly increase more serious pressure on the United States, so in order to prevent the rise of China, the United States also launched a series of blockades against China, and even during the Korean War, the war also spread to the Chinese border, but what the United States did not expect was that although New China had just been established, everything was still in ruins, and in this situation, it still chose to send troops to North Korea, and finally drove the United Nations forces that joined forces with the United States to the south of the 38th parallel with a strong will.
Since then, the United States also understood that it could not confront China in a war, so it began to hinder China in other aspects, and at this time, Chiang Kai-shek also found the United States.
The United States saw that Chiang Kai-shek wanted to provide him with assistance to help him counterattack the mainland, and after the United States secretly understood the geographical position of Taiwan, after thinking about it, it also agreed to the request for assistance to Chiang Kai-shek, and Taiwan signed a mutual defense treaty in the US waters, which allowed Taiwan to station troops in Taiwan at a time, so that it could exert pressure on China.
Later, however, with the changes in the international environment, the United States also wanted to restore diplomatic relations with China, but the Taiwan issue has always been an obstacle to the normalization of relations between the two countries, and in the end, the United States had no choice but to withdraw its troops from Taiwan for the sake of normalizing Sino-US relations.
Although the military has left Taiwan, the United States will not give up its ties with Taiwan, so it continues to collude with Taiwan in other capacities, and even continues to provide military assistance to Taiwan.
However, although the United States still had contact with Taiwan from time to time at this time, its focus was on the Middle East, and it was not until after the Obama administration that the United States shifted its focus to the Asia-Pacific region and began to continuously interfere in the government affairs of Asia-Pacific countries.
Later, with the continuous rise of China's strength, the United States also regarded China as its biggest enemy, so in order to hinder China's rise, the United States also increased its interference in the situation in the Taiwan Strait, but at this time, the United States did not want to turn its face with China, so on the surface it still adhered to the one-China principle, but behind the scenes, it continued to pay for the "Taiwan independence" forces within Taiwan, so as to make the situation in the Taiwan Strait very tense.
However, in recent years, the United States has continuously increased its ties with Taiwan, not only sending officials to visit Taiwan, but also directly providing it with various kinds of assistance, and the United States' move will undoubtedly make the situation in the Taiwan Strait more complicated, and even Chinese mainland will use force to recover Taiwan.
And if China uses force, many countries speculate that the United States will take the opportunity to send troops to intervene, so that war will be imminent.
However, in the face of such a situation, the US think tank group issued a warning about this.
«——[U.S. Think Tank Wargame Deduction·]——»
On the issue of the situation in the Taiwan Strait, US think tanks have repeatedly conducted war games, and the results have all shown that the scale of the war far exceeds US expectations.
Because experts from US think tanks know very well that the situation in the Taiwan Strait is different from the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, although there are both, once a war breaks out, the interests of the United States will be affected, so for its own interests, the United States will definitely choose to end.
As a part of China's territory, the Taiwan issue is, in the final analysis, China's internal affair, and once the United States intervenes in it, it is tantamount to declaring war on China, and in this case, China is bound to fight back.
After all, the United States is involved in the Taiwan issue, and Japan, South Korea and other countries as the younger brother of the United States are bound to join it.
As for the outcome of the war, the US think tank said that the United States will win the final victory, but it will pay a heavy price for it.
However, other experts from American think tanks said that the results of this war game not only underestimated the Chinese army's will to fight, but even the casualties of the US military instructors were far more tragic than the deduction.
After all, during the Korean War, the Chinese army was far inferior to the United Nations forces led by the United States in terms of weaponry and logistical support, but in this way, the Chinese army made the US military pay a heavy price for it by virtue of its tenacious will, and even made many US soldiers change color when they heard the three words of volunteers.
The People's Liberation Army (PLA) at the beginning could have cost the US military dearly, let alone the Chinese army today. After all, China has the most complete industrial system, and once a war breaks out, a complete industrial system can be transformed in a very short time.
The second is the execution capability of the Chinese army, although it is said that there are only 2 million active soldiers in China, but it has a large number of veterans and reserve soldiers, as long as the government gives an order, in a very short period of time, it can form a flood of personnel.
As for weaponry, although China's weaponry is indeed somewhat deficient in some aspects compared with the United States in terms of performance, it is superior in quantity, and weaponry support can completely keep up with the progress of the war.
The United States, on the other hand, is unable to do so, because it is far away from its homeland and the war support takes a long time, so it is useless to rely on nearby US military bases alone, and second, even if US military bases can provide volunteers, and now China's military forces can destroy them, which can be said to be a piece of cake.
Moreover, once a war breaks out in the Taiwan Strait, its scale will far exceed the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, becoming the largest war since World War II. That's why U.S. think tanks warn the U.S. like this.
«——【Taiwan's Return·】——»
In fact, no matter whether the United States will send troops to forcibly intervene in the Taiwan Strait issue at that time, Taiwan's return to the Taiwan Strait is inevitable.
After all, as far as the mainland is concerned, only when Taiwan returns, the mainland's territory can be considered complete, and in terms of the way of Taiwan's return, although at the beginning, the mainland wanted to recover it by force, but with the passage of time, the recovery by force is no longer a good solution.
After all, Taiwan now has a certain degree of economic development, and the lives of the people in Taiwan are also very stable, and once war strikes, although the mainland can end the fighting in a very short time with its current military strength, it will still cause certain damage to Taiwan, and this is obviously not what the mainland wants to see.
It is precisely because of this that the mainland wants to use peaceful means to recover Taiwan, and the mainland's peaceful methods have become a sign of weakness in the eyes of the "Taiwan independence" forces, so they have begun to constantly create friction on the cross-strait issue, which has led to more and more tension in cross-strait relations.
Gradually, the behavior of the "Taiwan independence" forces has also aroused the dissatisfaction of many Taiwan people, who are worried that once the "Taiwan independence" forces enliven up China, China will directly use force to recover Taiwan, and for the sake of Taiwan as well as for themselves, so the Taiwan people have launched activities to yearn for peaceful reunification.
For a time, the "Taiwan independence" forces also suffered a considerable impact, but even so, the "Taiwan independence" forces still did not give up, and Enshi continued to provoke the mainland on the Taiwan issue, because in their view, once a problem arises in the Taiwan Strait, the United States will definitely choose to intervene.
However, even if the United States intervenes, the mainland will not be afraid, after all, China's current strength is no longer something that the United States can knead at will.
The reason why Taiwan has not been recovered until now is that the mainland has been waiting for an opportunity, a time that is sufficient to easily recover Taiwan, so that when Taiwan is recovered, it will not have any impact on the mainland's stability.
After all, as a peace-loving country, the mainland naturally hopes to recover Taiwan through peaceful means if the two sides of the strait reach a consensus, but if the United States chooses to intervene at that time, the mainland will not be afraid of thinking about it, and China now has the ability to remove all obstacles.
Information sources:
U.S. Think Tank Pushes the Taiwan Strait Battle: The United States, Japan and Taiwan Win Fiercely, and the Chinese Navy Will "Collapse" Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), a Washington Think Tank
China Review News reporter American expert: If there is a war in the Taiwan Strait, the Russia-Ukraine conflict is only like a bush on fire 2023-12