Group 3 is 2-2, foreign media update the probability of winning the championship: Cavaliers 0.7%, Nuggets 10.1%, and the first team is as high as 54.4%

Dearest Basketball Jun

2024-05-14 16:56Published in Guangdong

 The NBA playoffs are in the second round, and the first 4 games have been played in all 4 groups, of which only the Celtics have taken a 3-1 lead, and the other 3 groups are all 2-2 draws. Foreign media ESPN also updated the probability of winning the championship again: Cavaliers 0.7%, Nuggets 10.1%, and the first team is as high as 54.4%

5 teams under 10%: Cavaliers 0.7%, Pacers 2.8%, Knicks 2.9%, Mavericks 7.6%, Timberwolves 7.9%

Because Mitchell is out of G4 with an injury, it is not surprising that the Cavaliers will lose, and they will go to the away road next, if Mitchell continues to be absent, then the series is likely to be over, and the strength of the two sides is indeed not on the same level. The Pacers were originally behind, but the Knicks suffered a large number of injuries, and there are fewer and fewer people available, and now if they want to win, they can only see if Brunson can play in the first few games and average 40 points per game. Of course, these two teams, no matter who enters the Eastern Finals, are likely to be the result of a quick exit.

The Timberwolves are the most regrettable, they originally had the biggest advantage, taking a 2-0 lead on the road, but after returning to the home court, they suffered 2 consecutive defeats, even if Edwards cut 44 points, it could not bring victory, and now the situation is very unfavorable for the Timberwolves. How far the Mavericks can go depends on Doncic's state, he has been playing with injuries and not playing as well as himself in previous years.

3 teams over 10%: Nuggets 10.1%, Thunder 13.7%, Celtics 54.4%

As a young team, it is normal for the Thunder to expose problems in the game, but fortunately, their core Edwards is a real superstar, who exploded in such a crucial game as G4, using his specialty mid-range shooting, constantly biting the point difference, and finally persevering until his teammates recovered to help and achieve a reversal. After such a difficult battle, maybe the young people of the Thunder will learn from the experience and become stronger. They support each other, they encourage each other, the team atmosphere is very good, and the atmosphere at home is the best in the league.

The Nuggets regained their advantage in the series, they cracked the Timberwolves' defense, Murray found his crosshairs, Jokic dominated the restricted area, and Gordon became efficient. Of course, this round of the series will be played at least 6 games, and the Timberwolves will immediately adjust their strategy, and the Nuggets' strongest opponent in the past 2 years has appeared.

To put it bluntly, the Green Army has no opponents in the East, and ESPN predicts that they have a 78.4% chance of reaching the Finals. Leading the Cavaliers 3-1 will basically not be overturned, and then the Eastern Conference finals will be very easy. For the Green Army, there are two other good news, one is that Tatum has scored 33 points in two consecutive games, and he has found his superstar status. Second, Porzingis has also resumed training, but he has not yet participated in confrontational training, and after a period of recuperation, he should be able to return to the East. In terms of squad configuration, the Green Army is also at the top level in the league, and there are really few teams that can cause them trouble.

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