Compared to Kharkiv, where the situation is "deteriorating", Admiral Syrsky pays more attention to other regions, especially Kupyansk, Siversk, Lyman and Pokrovsk, where the fighting is fierce, "the Russian army is making progress in one area, and the Ukrainian army is launching operations in others", the Russian army is still trying to capture Chasif Yar and attack the east of Chasiv Yar, trying to regain the lost true meaning, but without success.
Some think tanks and professionals still believe that the Russian army's Kharkiv offensive is containment, such as the "Institute for the Study of War" (ISW) believes that the Russian army's strength in Kharkiv is not enough to defend or occupy Kharkiv, and has not taken large-scale action, and the purpose of the Russian army is likely to try to create the appearance of a fierce offensive to force the Ukrainian army to transfer troops and resources to Kharkiv from other regions, and try to bring Kharkiv city back into the range of Russian artillery fire, together with air strikes, Destroy Ukraine's second largest city.
Mick Ryan, a retired Australian general and researcher at the Lowy Institute, also told the New York Times that the offensive on Kharkiv is part of the Russian army's "cunning strategy" and is unlikely to hit the outskirts of Kharkiv City, with the aim of diverting the Ukrainian army from other fronts, especially the eastern front, "For the Ukrainian army on the eastern front, the next few weeks may be very severe" and may face more losses.
According to public reports, in addition to the reserve forces, we have not yet seen the Ukrainian army draw troops to Kharkiv from other fronts, and some unconfirmed information shows that the US government is using the limited time before the launch of the large-scale offensive of the Russian army to strengthen the combat effectiveness of the Ukrainian army, especially the personnel, rearmament and training of the 47th mechanized brigade of the US armament forces. The U.S. government has delivered about 100 "Bradley" infantry fighting vehicles to Ukraine in two weeks, in addition to supplementing the losses of the 47th Mechanized Brigade, perhaps through the United States to provide more "Bradley" infantry fighting vehicles, "Abrams" main battle tanks and "Paladin" self-propelled howitzers, the Ukrainian army will soon have a second U.S. armed unit:
Despite the failure of the Ukrainian army's counteroffensive in the summer of last year, the 47th Mechanized Brigade showed strong combat effectiveness in almost continuous battles for a year, and its own losses were relatively serious, but it caused greater losses to the Russian army, and the exchange ratio was very considerable.
The Russian army's attack on Kharkiv is likely to become another opportunity for the West to accelerate military aid to Ukraine, with British Foreign Secretary David Cameron publicly declaring that the attack on Kharkiv is a "dangerous moment" and calling on allies to strengthen aid to Ukraine;
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken, for his part, once again emphasized the cost of delaying aid on the CBS program, but "I believe that Ukraine will be able to effectively control the front line" and "Ukraine can continue to use its advantages in the Black Sea while putting Russian troops under targeting, especially in Crimea, for which we are providing equipment, but now is a difficult time." ”
As far as the current situation is concerned, although the media has seriously exaggerated the situation in Kharkov, we have not yet seen actual evidence that the situation in Kharkiv has deteriorated to the point where immediate reinforcements from the Ukrainian army are needed, and the Russian army has not engaged in a large-scale offensive. The upcoming big battle will not be in Kharkov, but in Donetsk, and it is not optimistic to say that the Ukrainian army will be repulsed in Donetsk, and perhaps Chasiv Yar will be lost, but it is somewhat impossible to expect the Russian army to try to gain a comprehensive strategic advantage through this.
We have also been familiar with the tactics of the Russian army in the war for more than two years, which are very effective, but they require expensive time, personnel and equipment costs, and when US military aid is arriving in large numbers, it is difficult for the Russian army's tactics to quickly achieve results that satisfy the Kremlin, and it is likely to temporarily lose the ability to continue the offensive after the end of this round of war, and even be pushed back by the Ukrainian army.