The appearance of this detail means that the deterrence capability established by the US-Philippine military exercises has been weakened to a certain extent, and even the EDCA stronghold of the US military in the southern Philippines is within the strike range of the 055 drive, and even the passage of the US military from the Philippine Sea into the South China Sea will be affected.
Producer: Chuantuo Think Tank (No. 5147 Exclusive Debut)
What do you think of the US destroyer's intrusion into the Paracel Islands, I will talk about this from a military point of view. The course of the incident is as follows: on the 8th, the destroyer of the US Seventh Fleet, DDG97, crossed the Taiwan Strait from north to south, and on the 10th, it broke into the Xisha Islands to carry out freedom of navigation.
Picture interpretation: The picture of the US ship breaking into Xisha for 12 nautical miles
I believe that the simultaneous implementation of these two provocations represents that the United States is currently in a state of "relatively impatience" in the game in the Western Pacific, trying to build up what the United States considers to be a deterrent capability through successive provocations. Why do you say that, I will give you the reason.
The U.S.-Philippines shoulder to shoulder 2024 military exercise has just ended, which lasted about 20 days, the largest in history, and it stands to reason that the U.S. military has achieved the purpose of strategic deterrence and strategic provocation through the U.S.-Philippine military exercise at the moment, why should it continue to do things in the Taiwan Strait and the Paracel Islands, I think this shows that from the perspective of the United States, the strategic purpose of the U.S.-Philippine military exercise has not been achieved, and the deterrence posture has not reached the height that the United States wants, so such a supplement is needed.
Picture interpretation: The crew of the US ship looks at the sea
I think there are two main reasons: First, during the US-Philippine military exercises, a strategic collapse occurred in the rear. The reason why I use the word collapse to describe it is because this incident is a major blow to the United States and the Philippines.
The United States and the Philippines have been busy carrying out various presets for actual combat on the eastern side of the South China Sea, from Luzon Island in the north to Palawan Island in the south, including rehearsals on landing operations, special operations, strikes against coastal targets, anti-ship operations, and so on.
Picture interpretation: Rear view of the U.S. military
According to Philippine media sources, a PLA ship formation led by 0.55 million tons appeared in the Sibutu Strait around May 2, which is also the rear of the US-Philippine military exercises. The presence of PLA ships here shows that we are studying ways to strategically deter and strike at the US and Philippine EDCA positions from the rear, and at the same time, this strategy can also establish a deterrent capability against the US military's strategic positions in Australia's Northern Territory and Northern Australia.
Therefore, the appearance of this detail means that the deterrence capability established by the US-Philippine military exercises has been weakened to a certain extent, and even the EDCA stronghold of the US military in the southern Philippines is within the strike range of the 055 drive, and even the passage of the US military from the Philippine Sea into the South China Sea will be affected.
Picture interpretation: 055 drive
Picture interpretation: 055 drive
The second reason, I believe, is related to the defense ministers' summit of the US-Japan-Philippine-Australia alliance on May 2. The Quad Defense Ministers' Summit held in Hawaii represents the establishment of another small multilateral bloc led by the United States, and it is a military bloc specifically aimed at China. After the summit, the US military needs to carry out a relatively large provocation to show its role as the leader of the group, which is simply to set an example and take the lead.
Photo interpretation: The defense ministers' summit of the four-nation alliance of the United States, Japan, the Philippines and Australia
Therefore, based on the above two points, I believe that the US warship's invasion of the restricted zone this time is a consideration of taking the lead in the G-4 on the one hand, and on the other hand, it is a supplement to the fact that the strategic deterrence capability of the US-Philippine military exercise has been weakened. This article was first published exclusively by @川陀智库 and is not reproduced in any form. #文章首发挑战赛#