May Day holiday came to an end, in the domestic pig market, the purchase and sale have returned to the fundamentals, from the perspective of market prospects, in May, the pressure on the slaughter of pigs is greater, in particular, the price spread of standard fat pigs has narrowed, the mentality of the breeding end of the fence has been reduced, superimposed, the temperature in the north and south has risen, the high temperature and humid environment is easy to induce the problem of pig farm disease, the breeding end of the subscription mentality has become stronger, the market is relatively positive for the slaughter of large pigs!
However, due to the optimistic outlook for pig prices, in June, the pig market or will enter the channel of the upward trend, while the feed cost price is relatively low, the corn spot price remains low, the soybean meal market is slightly stronger, however, the price is still at a historically low level, the cost pressure of fattening at the breeding end is general, and the small standard pigs in the market still have the mentality of waiting and seeing!
At present, the breeding end of the slaughter sentiment differentiation, the standard pig price mentality still exists, the large pig slaughter is relatively positive!
Therefore, based on many factors in the market, in May, pig prices may be dominated by weak shocks, however, by the general pressure of slaughter at the breeding end, the price decline space is limited!
As the pig price bottoms out in stages, market sentiment may rebound again, especially, in April, the enthusiasm of the second breeding entry is not high, however, the level of empty bars is still more, into May, after the second breeding of large pigs slaughtered, there is still the enthusiasm of the bargain to buy the second breeding of the pig. This will also boost market confidence, the breeding end of the price pressure bar mentality or will be strong again, pig prices will also enter the "from weak to strong" stage.
Rationally, in the first half of May, pig prices to shock weakly, by the breeding end of the slaughter rhythm changes, pig prices rose and fell in a narrow range of seesaw, and into the second half of the year, with the market bottoming mentality rebound, the breeding end of the bullish sentiment of the market stronger, pig prices or will go higher again, the month of pig quotation or will be generally sideways at 14.5 ~ 15 yuan / kg!
According to the analysis of institutional data, by various factors in the market, it is expected that on May 7, the average price of three-yuan lean pigs outside the country was 14.82 yuan/kg, and the price was flat compared with yesterday, and the domestic market showed a weak and stable situation!
List of live pig prices in the north and south of the country on May 7: