This week, because of the holiday, the stock market actually has only two trading days, and on Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday, the stock market is in a state of closure, so what will be the trend of the stock market next Monday? The author believes that next Monday, the stock market will continue to be strong this week.
There are three main reasons for this.
First, during the period when the A-share market was closed, the peripheral stock market performed very strongly, take yesterday's U.S. stocks as an example, the three major U.S. stock indexes, Dow Jones, S&P 500, and the Nasdaq index all rose by more than 1%, which is not a small increase.
Not only that, the Hang Seng Index is even more eye-catching, on Thursday, the Hang Seng Index rose directly, and on Friday, the Hang Seng Index jumped again, and the increase on Friday directly reached 1.48%, two consecutive trading days, the Hang Seng Index bullish atmosphere is strong.
Then, in such a situation, next Monday, A-shares will most likely be affected by the linkage after the opening. So as to get out of a wave of better market, so, based on this, the author believes that the A-share market will not be bad next Monday.
Second, the pre-holiday A-share market has come out of the breakthrough market, the Shanghai Composite Index broke through the sideways for more than 30 trading days, although, on the second trading day after the breakthrough, did not go further higher, but began to adjust, but also a strong adjustment, why?
Because, the adjustment of the Shanghai Composite Index did not touch the sideways, that is, it did not adjust to the annual line, and still maintained a certain deviation rate from the annual line, which is actually a strong performance, but stepping back on the annual line is a weak performance.
Once, a break below the annual line also indicates that it is a false breakout.
Of course, it is already a good relay to maintain a slight decline on the second trading day after the breakthrough, but, to be honest, the breakthrough is only limited to the Shanghai Composite Index, but the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index are still in the sideways space, but it has also broken the silence of the past.
Moreover, the GEM index is more obvious, originally, the GEM index after the bottom of the grinding, so that many lines began to move closer to the position of the index, so that the cost of the market tends to be the same, at this time up sharply, break through the chips again, the market is naturally very boosted.
Previously, the author said that the GEM line is dense, and there is a divergence, then, out of the upward running repair market is a high probability thing, this week's GEM index is indeed basically the same as the previous author's outlook.
Third, when the A-share market is closed, there is indeed a lot of good news announced, and there is a risk-averse mood in the pre-holiday funds, so there will always be some convergence, but after the holiday, the risk-averse sentiment will be diluted, and the funds will accelerate the return to the A-share market.
Therefore, next Monday, the stock market is still worth looking forward to, of course, we should also pay attention to a drawback, and this drawback may also be a pressure point in this wave of market, so, what is this drawback? What is the impact on the index?
It can be seen that although the Shanghai Composite Index has broken through the annual line, the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index are still running below the annual line, and there is even some space from the annual line, so the pressure on these two major indices still exists objectively.
What's more, these two major indices are about to break through the previous high, and once the breakthrough is completed, it is bound to form a divergence, and the annual line is just above the previous high, so the pressure of the annual line, coupled with the divergence effect, will have a certain impact on these two major indices.
Of course, at least, next Monday, don't worry too much, under the effect of the linkage market, the index situation will not be bad, but when the GEM and the Shenzhen Component Index run near the annual line, we should pay attention to the risk, if we do not continue to increase the volume, the risk will be greater.
Of course, the above is just some of the author's personal shallow analysis, the risk of the stock market is very large, or pay attention to this, so as to control the risk, this is the most critical.