At the beginning of May, in the domestic pig market, pig prices faced the pressure of "near strong and far weak". At the beginning of May, due to the shrinkage of the group's pig enterprises and the strong support of the festive atmosphere, pig prices are likely to continue to rise.
Some institutions predict that before mid to late May, domestic pig prices may hit a new low, and the price of foreign three-yuan lean pigs may have the risk of bottoming out at 14~14.5 yuan/kg!
On the one hand, the price of fattened pigs weakened, the standard pig fell under pressure, and the market bottom-buying mentality may become stronger again, in particular, in April, the second breeding entry is general, the early pressure bar pig is concentrated in the slaughter, the breeding end of the empty bar increases, and the enthusiasm of the second breeding supplement bar pig may heat up again;
On the other hand, the market bullish outlook mentality strengthened, affected by the change of sow inventory, the mainstream institutions are bullish on the prospect of pig prices in the second half of the year, the breeding end of the enthusiasm for selling or will weaken, the mentality of reluctance to sell the fence or will become stronger, the supply pattern of standard pigs or will be tightened again, the difficulty of slaughtering enterprises to purchase or will increase sharply, and the support of pig prices will appear!
However, due to the increase in temperature in the north and south regions, the increase in precipitation, the risk pressure of pig farm disease has intensified, if there is a concentration of pig disease in many places, this may inhibit the process of pig price rebound, but, rationally, in mid to late May, pig prices or will enter a gradual recovery cycle!
Returning to the current situation of the market, at the beginning of May, the support of the pig market was weak and stable, and the pig price may have the opportunity to rise in a narrow range!
First, at the beginning of the month, in the north and south regions, the slaughter plan of large factories decreased, the mainstream head pig enterprises were on holiday, the level of pig slaughter weakened, and the pre-holiday pig price rose less than expected.
Second, consumer demand has improved significantly! By the May Day holiday, residents outdoor dining and travel consumption have increased, the downstream market has accelerated the pace of white strip goods, the market has become more enthusiastic, the slaughtering enterprise white strip orders have increased, the price increase mentality has become stronger, the market price recognition mentality has increased, and the price of white strips has risen or will stimulate the operation of slaughtering enterprises to raise prices and ensure quantity!
Therefore, under the guidance of many factors, guided by emotions, it is expected that on May 2, pig prices will show a slight upward trend, the price of lean pigs will rise by 0.1 yuan, and the price of slaughtering enterprises will rise to 14.84 yuan / kg!
List of live pig prices in the north and south of the country on May 2: