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Text: Praise and praise are on the way
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The confrontation between the United States and Russia over Ukraine has been going on for months, and neither side will let anyone else, causing the conflict to intensify. With the passage of a new round of aid bills by the U.S. Congress, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine has reached a new climax. The Russian side believes that the United States is actually directly involved in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, so it ordered to strike at Western military aid channels and completely block the supply lines of the Ukrainian army. This move will undoubtedly further ignite the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, implicate more national interests, and trigger wider turmoil. What is the justification for this act? What are the consequences? Will it be reconciliation or a big war? Who will have the upper hand when the Russian-US war is imminent?
As the confrontation between Russia and Ukraine heats up, the US-Russia contest between major powers is about to break out? Russia's iron-fisted attack and defeat of Western military escorts seems to have become the biggest demand at present. As the Russian army bombarded railway stations and transportation lines in Ukraine, the Ukrainian army was suffering from multiple flanking attacks, and the forward positions were under huge pressure. This will certainly further blow the Ukrainian army's will to fight and cut off its last supply line. This move is undoubtedly a desperate gamble by the Russian army, to completely reverse the situation in Ukraine and eliminate all external forces, otherwise there will be no way out.
At this time, NATO's intervention has fallen into passivity, and even though the United States is eager to send Ukraine an advanced "Patriot" missile defense system, Poland and other countries have made it difficult and turned a blind eye and pretended to turn a blind eye. This can't help but make people question: What are the ideas of NATO, the United States, and Europe on the Ukraine issue? Lip service but not reality, useless rhetoric on paper, and constantly giving Ukraine illusions, only to put Ukraine in a desperate situation of being helpless?
Here's the thing: Russia launched a "special military operation" against Ukraine on February 24, 2022, with a direct appeal to prevent Ukraine from joining NATO, a European and American military organization, and to threaten Russia's strategic interests. Since then, the two sides have been locked in a long-standing stalemate. While condemning Russia's military invasion, the United States continues to send advanced weapons and arms to Ukraine to help it fight a protracted war. Russia's fierce attack on Ukraine's arms transportation lines this time is to cut off the channels for Western intervention in the war in Ukraine.
History has long provided a lesson for all this. During World War II, the Germans blocked the Allies in a corner of Normandy through heroic and tenacious defenses, putting the Allies in a difficult situation when they broke through. Similarly, today's Russian army is trying to isolate Ukraine in order to dominate the war from an advantageous position. The United States and NATO camps are faced with the same problem that plagued the Allies back then – how to break through the blockade and effectively continue to deliver arms to help the Ukrainian regime resist Russia. This dilemma has directly weakened the strategic determination of NATO and the United States, and made their anti-Russian efforts passive.
On the surface, this series of actions by the Russian army is undoubtedly a heavy blow, which not only curbs the momentum of NATO involvement, but also makes it difficult for Ukraine in terms of materials and logistics. On a deeper level, however, this is precisely a big move that Russia has been planning for a long time.
Let's analyze the underlying reasons: First, Russia has long been unable to confront the West in many aspects, such as economy and manpower, and the so-called "special military operation" is just to preserve the last personal dignity. Second, Russia has no intention of annexing Ukraine at all, and its real goal is to prevent Ukraine from joining NATO, so that it will never be able to enter the scope of Russia's strategic defense. Thirdly, with Russia's current strength, a long-term occupation of Ukraine is bound to fall into a strategic rout, so preemptively cutting off Western military aid is actually in order to seek a decent reconciliation solution.
It can be seen that this seemingly fierce war in Ukraine actually reflects Russia's anxiety that it is difficult to stay out of the defense. Russia's move is undoubtedly sending a signal that the West should think twice and not wantonly interfere with the Ukraine issue, let alone deceive others too much. This fundamentally responds to Russia's self-positioning as a "guardian of peace" and reflects Russia's helpless mentality of seeking strategic self-adjustment under the imbalance of power between major powers.
Looking back at history, it is not difficult to see that Russia's tireless adherence to this position is not unfounded. Since the nineteenth century, the European and American powers have always regarded Russia as the greatest threat and have constantly isolated and suppressed it. After World War I, Britain, France, and other countries established Poland and other buffer countries in western Russia, directly cutting off Russia's ties with Europe; after World War II, the United States did its utmost to prevent the spread of Soviet influence, and the two sides frequently confronted each other during the Berlin crisis and other incidents.
Since the beginning of the new century, the contradictions between the United States and Russia have escalated again. In 2008, the United States concocted a "missile defense system" program that made Russia feel that its security was threatened, and in 2014, NATO's attempt to bring Ukraine into its camp after the coup d'état in Ukraine directly triggered Russia's strategic unease.
It can be said that this kind of tense relationship, which is fought but not broken, has long been fused into the blood of Russia and the United States, and it is difficult to cure it once and for all. The current conflict in Ukraine is nothing less than a concentrated outbreak of long-standing contradictions between the two countries. As far as Russia is concerned, if it can gain the initiative on the Ukraine issue, it will undoubtedly occupy an important part of its future strategic layout. Therefore, in the current situation, Russia has to confront the armed intervention of the United States and take tough measures such as cutting off arms transportation lines.
Looking ahead, there is still a risk of further escalation of the situation in Ukraine. In an optimistic scenario, under the heavy pressure of the Russian army, Ukraine and the Western camp may make appropriate concessions and stop the conflict through diplomatic negotiations, but pessimistically, if Russia and the United States cannot reach a compromise on the Ukraine issue, it is very likely that a large-scale military confrontation will break out, or even trigger a larger war.
Either way, it will require careful thinking on the part of all parties. Russia should recognize its own strength, not be stuck in a lonely war, earnestly target Ukraine, and not try to confront the West in an all-out way. The United States and its allies also need to think carefully, not to blindly add fuel to the fire and fuel the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, but to try to resolve it through diplomatic negotiations. Ukraine itself should judge the situation and bow its head to survive instead of trying to resist Russia. Only in this way can the situation spiral out of control.
Since the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, this crisis has sparked heated discussions among netizens:
Some netizens believe that the weakness and incompetence of the United States and NATO have completely exposed their hypocrisy and the determination of the United States on the Ukraine issue is not firm.
Some netizens also said frankly that Russia's move was very shrewd, not only winning the initiative for itself, but also putting the West in a situation of being passively beaten, reversing the unfavorable situation on the battlefield in Ukraine.
Some netizens lamented that Russia and the United States, two major powers, have come and gone on the Ukraine issue, but they don't know that it is the Ukrainian military and civilians who have fallen into the most painful situation.
Of course, some netizens soberly pointed out that the two sides of the conflict should stop confrontation with each other as soon as possible, resolve differences through diplomatic negotiations, and avoid further escalation.
In general, although Russia's move has temporarily changed the situation on the battlefield in Ukraine, it will not solve the problem fundamentally. It will be difficult for either side to achieve a final victory on the Ukrainian issue if it narrowly adheres to its own interests. At present, both Russia and the United States should abandon the mentality of contest and strive to ease the situation in Ukraine through diplomatic negotiations in the spirit of mutual understanding. This is the only way to do this and to avoid further escalation. So, whether Russia and the United States will abandon their prejudices and make efforts to resolve the Ukraine issue? Let's wait and see.