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Near the end of the month, the pig market continued the downturn, although, the northern region of the breeding end of the slaughter bar, some of the group pig enterprises have a certain price operation, but, due to the southern sales area market, affected by the early precipitation, the group pig slaughter plan to complete the poor, the market to sell pigs mentality is strong, superimposed, pre-holiday pig prices rise under pressure, part of the second breeding sentiment is cautious, the subscription mentality is stronger, the pig market shows a downward trend!
According to data analysis, by the slaughtering enterprises to adjust the price of pigs, on April 29, pig prices were cold "6 consecutive drops", the average price of lean pigs in the outer three yuan slaughter price was 14.73 yuan / kg, down 0.03 yuan / kg from yesterday, the market showed a stable and weak trend, the southwest and northwest fell more obviously, the mainstream areas of the north and south, the price of slaughtering enterprises is mainly stable!
At present, the average price of live pigs in the country is similar to 14.7 yuan/kg in Shaanxi, and the price of live pigs in the north and south of the country is generally 13.85~15.7 yuan/kg! Among them, in Heijiliao area, the price of live pigs is maintained at 14.25~14.55 yuan/kg, in Shanxi and Hebei is quoted at 14.8~14.85 yuan, and the price in Shaanxi and Gansu is 14.6~14.7 yuan. In the southern market, the price of Sichuan and Chongqing is 14.4~14.45 yuan, the price of Shandong and Anhui is stable at 15~15.05 yuan, the price of Jiangsu and Zhejiang is stable at 15.15~15.5 yuan, the price of Henan is 14.95 yuan, the price of the two lakes is 14.65~14.85 yuan, and in South China, the price of Liangguang is 14.65~15.7 yuan/kg!
From this point of view, on April 29, pig prices showed a stable and weak trend, the center of gravity of pig prices fell in a narrow range, and the market long and short game was obvious, among them, from the latest data feedback, the pig market came to 1 good news, and the enthusiasm of slaughtering enterprises to stock up before the holiday has improved!
According to the analysis of institutional data, at present, the operating rate of domestic sample slaughtering enterprises is 28.55%, an increase of 0.77 percentage points from the previous day, compared with about 27% before, an increase of 1.5 percentage points!
Personally, I believe that due to the domestic pig main contract 2405 quotation is less than expected, the price is lower than the spot level, the market for the May pig price bearish formation consistency, although, pig prices down or will drive the second breeding confidence and breeding end pressure bar sentiment, in May, pig prices have a downward trend, but, for the domestic mainstream farmers, still need to cross the first half of May "easy to fall and difficult to rise" this hurdle......
Due to the pressure on consumer demand, the festival is good for a flash in the pan, in particular, the pre-holiday slaughtering enterprise stocking sentiment is general, the market is expected to receive goods poorly, the breeding end of the risk of large pigs in the pressure fence is stronger, from the grassroots feedback, in recent days, the main body of domestic pig breeding, retail households, two breeding and group pig enterprises have a significant increase in the mentality of selling pigs, the pace of slaughter of large pigs in the market has accelerated, which also inhibits the support of the rebound in the operating rate of slaughtering enterprises!
However, with the arrival of the end of the month, the festive atmosphere gradually emerged, the pig market sentiment or will become stronger again, the breeding end of the price mentality is heating up, and the operating rate of slaughtering enterprises is expected to further increase, it is expected that the next 1~3 days, pig prices or will be dominated by strong shocks!