Recently, the weather in Guangzhou, Guangzhou, and Guangxi has been characterized by a "chaotic coming", with heavy rain, heavy rain, hail, and strong winds alternating or hitting together, which catches people off guard. Moreover, affected by the continuous heavy rainfall, some pig farms have been affected, roads have been blocked, and the phenomenon of blistered pigs has increased.
Such a situation, the pig farmers in Liangguang will basically experience once a year, it can be said that they are deeply affected, some of them are seriously affected and directly cause economic losses, some of them cause epidemics after the flood, and some are busy with pigs. Will the rainstorm have an impact on pig prices?
First, the rainfall is heavy and strong
At 10 a.m. on April 22, the Central Meteorological Observatory continued to issue a blue warning for severe convective weather and a yellow warning for heavy rain. At 9 o'clock on April 22, Zhaoqing adjusted the flood control level II emergency response to the level IV emergency response, and at 11:30 Shaoguan adjusted the flood control level II emergency response to the level III emergency response.
After talking about Guangdong, the weather in Guangxi is not ideal, April 19-21, Guangxi appeared the first large-scale heavy rainfall process, heavy rain to heavy rain in various places, local heavy rain, strong winds and hail in many places, and red warnings for heavy rain in many places. It is characterized by a wide range of heavy rainfall, which is rare in April, severe convective weather, local tornadoes, and significant extremity of wind and rain.
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It is understood that before the end of April, there were two rainfall processes in Guangxi (April 24-25 and April 28-29), with moderate to heavy rain, local heavy rain or heavy rain.
2. What is the current impact of the Liangguang pig farm?
According to the owner of the scale farm in Guangxi, the current heavy rain in Guangxi and Guangzhou has a great impact on retail investors who lack flood control and flood prevention measures, especially the pig farms built in low-lying areas, which are more likely to have blistered pigs. The impact on large-scale farms is small, because in order to prevent and control FW, most large-scale farms will be closed for management, reduce the sale of pigs, and reduce the flow of vehicles and personnel to prevent the outbreak of the epidemic.
For some secondary breeders or surrogate households, there are no pigs after selling this batch of pigs, and it is normal to slaughter them in the near future. The self-farrowing farm sells pigs cautiously, and most of the bosses personally supervise, from disinfection to production, so the current situation is mostly normal.
In fact, compared with heavy rain, the most worrying thing in the Liangguang area is the rainy weather, which is more likely to spread FW without seeing the sun for a long time.
"Blister pigs do exist on the Internet, but they are currently a small number and not as serious as they are emotionally expressed. However, the impact of the later period still needs to be observed. A pig farmer said.
3. What is the impact on pig prices?
At present, the meteorological performance of the two regions is different, and the area with sunny weather after the rainstorm can be slaughtered normally. On the whole, the number of slaughters in Liangguang has decreased in the past two days, and at the same time, due to the heavy rain in Liangguang, the source of pigs transferred from other places has also decreased. As a result, the overall supply of the two provinces has decreased in the past two days.
On the demand side, heavy rains have also affected the consumption of pork by restaurants and households to a certain extent.
Relatively speaking, in the short term, the supply is tightening, and the pig price in Guangdong may be strong, and Guangxi (the heavy rain will affect the external transfer) or weak. However, in the long run, the increase in the slaughter of hairy pigs at the end of the heavy rain may lead to a decline in local prices.
Fourth, how do pig farmers respond?
Judging from the sharing of the impact of the previous rainstorm on various pig farms, pig farms with good prevention and control measures can fully resist the "invasion" of strong winds and rains.
For retail pig farms, it is recommended to do the following:
1. Drainage and drainage: timely ditching and drainage or raising the threshold of the pig house, if it has exceeded the control range, it needs to be transferred in time when the weather is fine.
2. Avoid feed mildew: store the feed in a dry cement room in time, and lay bricks or wooden boards at the bottom of the feed to avoid contact between the feed and the ground.
3. Prevention of stress: The weather becomes sunny to strengthen the ventilation of the pig house, reduce the harmful gases in the pig house, and avoid stress in the pig herd.
For large-scale farms, it is recommended that the boss personally go into battle, keep an eye on the production management of the pig farm, whether it is prevention and control or feeding management, can not be relaxed, especially be vigilant against the concentrated sale of pigs after the weather is clear, and there may be cross-infection. In the prevention and control of pig houses, the scale of the farm has a relatively mature prevention and control system, the more critical is the implementation, only strict implementation in order to maximize the safety of the pig farm!