Today's stock market has risen sharply, and the intraday stock market has risen again, so to speak, the market is boiling again, indeed, today's situation is not quite the same, then, next week, history may repeat itself? The author believes that three phenomena are worth noting.
First, the securities sector is obviously moving today, especially after entering the midday session, the securities sector has come out of a wave of collective upward market, therefore, it has also led to the formation of a bullish atmosphere in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets today.
In today's intraday session, the securities sector index once broke through the 6% rise, which is indeed unexpected, it can be said that the securities sector is indeed relatively rare, at the same time, this is also a very critical phenomenon, why?
Because, before the bull market starts, it is the big financial sector that is moving.
The banking sector did fall a lot today, and the intraday decline even exceeded 2%, but in such a situation, the Shanghai Composite Index was able to close up, which means different, after all, the bank is a very weighted sector and has a great impact on the index.
Why is the banking sector falling sharply today and the securities sector rising sharply?
The author believes that the market is in rotation, before, the banking sector index rose from 850 points to 1008 points, and the sector index rose by more than 15%, obviously out of a wave of upward market, but the securities sector at that time was mediocre.
Even before the wave of sharp decline.
However, today's situation is different, feng shui has taken turns, so that the securities sector index is too high, this is the most normal rotation phenomenon, the key is that this rotation effect also appears in the large financial sector.
Then, this meaning is different, of course, there are also reasons for the news to catalyze, however, I have to admit that after this wave of market in the securities sector, the bullish atmosphere formed by the market will be more intense, so this is very critical.
Second, as I said before, the GEM is unlikely to continue to fall sharply, because the GEM has formed an obvious divergence, and the market is sure to repair this divergence of the GEM, which is one of the reasons why the GEM is rising sharply today.
Moreover, it is interesting that before that, the GEM had fallen below the quarterly line, so this line changed from the previous support line to the pressure line, but after the GEM fell below this line, it did not fall further.
Instead, it has been running horizontally for 4 consecutive trading days near this line, that is to say, the GEM is under pressure, and it is showing an anti-pressure market, so this phenomenon is different.
At least, it's a better phenomenon.
This is also why the author has been emphasizing that the GEM is unlikely to fall further, and it is also because based on this, this is also a very important phenomenon.
Third, after press time, the number of falling industry sectors is less than 30, and the rising industry sectors are as high as more than 400.
So, it has risen again, the stock market has risen again, and next week, history may repeat itself?
In fact, in the author's opinion, the current market is indeed at a very critical stage, but there is also a problem that needs to be noted, that is, the Shanghai Composite Index has risen so much today that it has reached a sideways high.
Here's the problem.
If, the next Shanghai Composite Index can not be large, moreover, or a large amount, the follow-up, the Shanghai Composite Index will form a divergence, of course, this is very critical, of course, the author is still that sentence, the medium and long-term trend is still optimistic.
Previously, the author said that in the quarterly trend, the Shanghai Composite Index has run near a support line that has not been broken for 20 years, which is also the key to the next history or will repeat itself, so the follow-up market is not bad.
The market is likely to come out of a small bull market this year.
Of course, the above is just the author's personal shallow analysis, the risk of the stock market is still large, or to pay attention to control the risk, but, today, the securities sector changes, indeed brewed some bull market atmosphere.
So, the overall situation has really improved a lot!