Epigraph: Through the above analysis, we find that in this era, convergence and exchange, and coexistence are taking place silently: and it also prevents humanity from sliding towards destruction!
As far as the ultimate weapon is concerned, it is most powerful when it is in a state of deterrence – it should never be used lightly! Because it is the last shield, the pillar of peace!
It is about the fate of all mankind! And it seems that only by thinking from the perspective of all mankind can ——— have the courage to use it!
Has Russia's nuclear deterrence lost its due strength? The latest weapons aided by the West have lifted restrictions on attacks on targets in Russia!
Why is this so? Interesting and thought-provoking!
1. Western aid to Ukraine and relaxation of restrictions
Recently, the United States passed the bill on aiding Ukraine weapons, which includes tactical missiles with a range of 300 kilometers.
So, there is reason to believe that the West's fears of the ultimate war as a result of Ukraine's attack on Russian targets are close to disappearing!
On the contrary, the West has made it clear that the Ukrainian army has the right to act in self-defense in accordance with Article 51 of the UN Charter!
Second, Russia's nuclear deterrence strategy, which is close to failure
In 2003, based on the characteristics of technological warfare embodied in the Iraq War, Russia formulated a military development strategy of "Mobile Operations under the Conditions of Nuclear Deterrence"!
The strategy is based on nuclear deterrence, streamlining the number of land forces, and developing highly mobile mobile combat units: battalion-level tactical groups, which proved to be unable to adapt to the high-intensity war of attrition and failed in the special military operation launched by Russia in 2022!
And Russia's nuclear containment is based on the reality of the times, the performance of the battlefield, and the evil consequences of the backlash, all of which make it close to defeat at the moment!
1. The Reality of the Times: Correlation under Convergence.
Since the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991, Russia has wanted to integrate into the West, even after the outbreak of the war, Russia and Europe, and even Russia and the United States, have deep connections in all aspects!
Just like the children of many Russian dignitaries, many of them are in the United States and the West: Medvedev's son, Peskov's son, Lavrov's daughter, President Putin's daughter...... He was or is still in the United States, France, the United Kingdom, Germany, the Netherlands......
The reality of the times, so relevant: Russia will use nuclear weapons? Who believes!
2. Performance on the battlefield: The Ukrainian army broke the red line
From attacking Crimea all the way to attacking the Russian mainland, from attacking Belgorod on the Russian border to attacking Moscow, from attacking ordinary Russian military targets such as airports to attacking Russian strategic targets: "container" over-the-horizon radars, and from point targets to attacking cluster bombing that has swept half of Russia's oil refineries...... The Ukrainian army has broken Russia's red line again and again with reality!
In the end, Russia's nuclear deterrence will lose its power!
3. The consequences of the backlash are unbearable for Russia
In fact, what prevents Russia from using nuclear weapons is the consequences of real use, which Russia can hardly bear!
After all, Russia is not the only one that has such weapons: in the case of reciprocal retaliation, the strategic level will be a nightmare for the entire Russian nation, and the tactical level is likely to be a disaster for all the Russian armies in Ukraine!
The enemy of the whole world - such consequences, Russia cannot afford it!
III. Concluding remarks
Through the above analysis, we find that in this era, convergence and exchange, and coexistence are taking place silently: and it also prevents humanity from sliding towards destruction!
When it comes to ultimate weapons, deterrence is the most powerful – never use it lightly!
Because it is the last shield, the pillar of peace, and it is related to the fate of all mankind! It seems that only by thinking from the perspective of human beings ——— forgetting oneself can one have the legitimacy and courage to use it!