Blinken's visit to China, but he is ruthless to China!
What is Blinken's visit to China for? It is not only to "seek" China but also to "threaten" China, or to threaten while begging, and to threaten at the same time.
Before Blinken's visit to China, he made two threatening moves against China: First, he was ready to impose sanctions on Chinese commercial banks and remove some of China's commercial banks from the settlement system SWIFT controlled by the United States and the West; second, he openly clamored that if any country continues to send weapons and technology to Russia, Washington will take decisive measures and impose severe sanctions on its financial institutions.
The first is that the United States publicly warned China, in order to achieve the effect, the US government also let the New York Times report, and then Reuters asked spokesman Wang Wenbin at the regular press conference of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. In this regard, Wang Wenbin replied directly with a word, very confident. Why are you so confident? First, because China is so strong, it is not afraid of you, and it will do whatever it wants; second, because the United States is a nomadic country in nature, and the weaker you behave, the more bloodthirsty it becomes. China's attitude is one of strategic contempt and tactical importance.
The second is that Blinken is also preparing to attack Iran and North Korea while warning China, hoping to deter and scare China by sanctioning Iran and North Korea.
In fact, the reason is very simple, the United States has just passed a $60 billion military aid bill for Ukraine, which means that the Russian-Ukrainian war will continue to be fought more fiercely in the future. As far as the United States is concerned, why does it not want to provide assistance and is still forced to do so? It is because there is no way, Ukraine cannot afford to lose, and if Ukraine loses Ukraine, the regime in Eastern Europe will be unstable, NATO and the European Union will suffer political turmoil, and the influence of the United States on NATO allies will be greatly reduced. Without NATO, the global hegemony of the United States would collapse in an instant. So, the United States is having to help.
The United States aided Ukraine, of course, it does not want Ukraine to consume the 60 billion soon, and then it has to throw another 60 billion itself, and the United States is a little unbearable to this bottomless pit. In this case, the United States, of course, is most afraid of China's military assistance to Russia. It is precisely because of this that Blinken visited China immediately after the bill was passed in the US House of Representatives, and communicated with China while threatening China, thinking of two things: one is to avoid China's military assistance to Russia, if China really provides direct military assistance to Russia, then the United States will really not be able to withstand it; and second, try to pressure China to prevent China from engaging in closer economic cooperation with Russia.
However, this is the American way. He knows that China is unlikely to accept the second, but he can at least secure the first by pressuring China. Of course, as far as China is concerned, in fact, it is impossible for the United States to provide military assistance to Russia without pressuring China, because China does not want to fight a new Cold War, and as long as China considers Sino-European relations, it is impossible for China to directly supply weapons to Russia. However, as far as the United States is concerned, even if it knows that this is China's attitude and position, it must create the impression that China has "compromised" after the pressure, otherwise how can it reflect its image as a "hegemonic" big brother?
Therefore, it is inevitable that Blinken's visit to China will be ruthless to China, but this is also the virtue. You shake your ruthlessness, China doesn't like you at all.
In this contest between China and the United States, the United States does not dare to really start!
Some people may say, does the United States really dare to sanction China? Frankly speaking, has the United States imposed fewer sanctions on China? How many years have the Sino-US trade war and science and technology war been fought, and the reason why we don't feel so much about these sanctions is that we are too strong now.
So, does the United States really dare to impose financial sanctions on China this time, or does it really dare to exclude China from the SWIFT financial system? The answer, of course, is no. Why doesn't the United States dare? Because if the United States really excludes China from SWIFT, the consequence will be to hurt 800 people and lose 3,000 to itself. There is no doubt that if the United States really excludes China from SWIFT, the negative impact and damage on China's economy will still be obvious, just as the United States' suppression of Huawei has also caused great pressure and trouble to Huawei. However, we must also recognize that although the United States does not dare to exclude China from SWIFT, it cannot rule out unilateral sanctions against one of our banks. In fact, this kind of thing has happened before, and our policy bank has been sanctioned by the United States. It is precisely for this reason that some of our big banks do not dare to deal directly with sensitive Russian companies for fear of affecting their own business. Therefore, we must recognize that the risk of US sanctions on Chinese commercial banks exists, but it is realistic to completely remove China from SWIFT.
The reason why it is unrealistic to exclude China from SWIFT is that the volume of trade between China and Europe, China and the United States, and China and other countries is too large. Wouldn't we be able to do it without SWIFT World Trade? When there is no SWIFT, global trade is also correct, SWIFT is just a settlement system created for trade convenience, if it is not convenient, then there must be another system to replace it. There is a system to replace SWIFT, and there is a currency to replace the dollar. Who will replace SWIFT? In fact, everyone wants to replace it, and China happens to have a cross-border payment system in RMB, and at the same time, China happens to have the largest industrial capacity in the world. With the U.S. removing China from SWIFT, almost all countries in the world have had to make widespread use of the renminbi and the renminbi cross-border payment system overnight. Just imagine, if China's elimination of SWIFT is the result, will it hurt 800 people and lose 3,000 itself? It is precisely for this reason that China is not afraid of such a threat from the United States at all, and if you want to do it, we will accompany you! Although China does not want to go that far, if you have to go and fight a financial war, China can only meet the war!
In Zhan Hao's view, the United States actually does not dare to do this, at least not now, because neither politically nor militarily, the United States has achieved its goal of drawing Western allies to encircle China. Under such circumstances, a direct financial break with China will not only fail to achieve the desired goal, but will ultimately suffer from it.
The United States is now very entangled in China. Just like in recent days, the United States has made very repeated statements to the outside world. One time he said that China had provided weapons to Russia, and then he quickly changed his story and said that China had not supplied weapons to Russia. In fact, this is the tangled mentality of the United States, which not only wants to pin the pot on China's head and undermine Sino-European relations, but also fears that provoking China will really promote China's military support for Russia. The United States is well aware of the consequences of China's direct military support for Russia, China's industrial production capacity is too powerful, China can produce as much equipment and ammunition as you want, and that amount will not be used up at all, so the United States is most afraid of this.
However, in Zhan Hao's view, you and the United States must not annoy China, and if you really force China to the point of directly providing equipment and ammunition to Russia, then the United States and the West really can't support China's industrial production capacity. As far as the United States and Europe are concerned, they must maintain a high degree of soberness, and China cannot afford to offend in this regard. In the same way, the United States and the West should not expect China to abandon normal cooperation with Russia, which is China's bottom line.
So, why is the United States so annoyed with China? It is because of China's existence that the United States has imposed sanctions on Russia for more than 10,000 years, and as a result, Russia has not been hurt at all. Just like the United States and the West imposed a chip embargo on Russia, as a result, China's civilian chips are bought casually in the open market, so Russia can directly go to China to buy chips instead. As a result, up to 90% of Russian chips come from China. As for what these chips are used for, China does not know and will not interfere. But the United States believes that Russia can increasingly suppress Ukraine militarily because of the economic support provided by China. But for China, my national interests dictate that we cannot act according to the will of the United States, so how can our sovereignty accept the will of the United States?
Under such circumstances, the smartest choice for the United States is not to provoke China, which it really cannot afford to provoke on some issues!
Source: Zhanhao WeChat public account