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Spending tens of billions of dollars! Blackstone Group has bottomed out the U.S. property market, and real estate investment has set off another upsurge

author:Hurun Report
Spending tens of billions of dollars! Blackstone Group has bottomed out the U.S. property market, and real estate investment has set off another upsurge

Recently, Blackstone Group announced that it will acquire AIR Communities, a high-end apartment building owner in the United States, for about $10 billion, a huge deal that has attracted the attention of the real estate market, and it is also the second time that Blackstone Group has bought a real estate company this year. As one of the world's largest real estate investors, Blackstone's move demonstrates confidence in the multifamily housing market and represents another investment boom in the commercial real estate sector.

Spending tens of billions of dollars! Blackstone Group has bottomed out the U.S. property market, and real estate investment has set off another upsurge

AIR Communities获百亿美元收购

On April 8, local time, Blackstone Group announced that it had reached a definitive agreement to acquire AIR Communities, one of the largest condo owners in the United States, for about 10 billion US dollars (about 72 billion yuan). According to public information, AIR Communities, formerly known as Apartment Income REIT, is a real estate investment trust (REIT) focusing on high-quality rental housing communities in the United States. AIR's portfolio includes 76 communities in 10 states and the District of Columbia, totaling approximately 27,000 apartments. In the U.S. real estate market, AIR Communities is known for its high-quality rental housing communities, particularly in coastal cities. AIR Communities is committed to providing a high standard of living that meets the needs of residents for comfort and convenience, and through continuous investment and community improvement, AIR has successfully created a series of popular residential projects that have won market recognition and a proven track record.

AIR Communities' competitive advantage over other companies of the same type lies in the location of its properties, high-quality property management services, and stable revenue streams. Most of its properties are located in densely populated and economically mature areas, where residential demand continues to be strong and rental yields are high. However, competitive disadvantages may include the risk of market volatility and high maintenance costs. Compared to other REITs, like some of the other large REITs in the market, AIR Communities needs to constantly innovate and improve its services to remain competitive.

Spending tens of billions of dollars! Blackstone Group has bottomed out the U.S. property market, and real estate investment has set off another upsurge

Image source: Global Real Estate Investment Notes

Commenting on the acquisition, Terry Considine, President and CEO of AIR Communities, said, "I am proud of the team and their exceptional culture. The transaction will strengthen the company's mission to provide a place to live, a great place to work, and to act as a responsible steward, as well as a trusted partner to investors. The team's established business will focus on resident services and investment opportunities through a partnership with Blackstone. We are grateful for the opportunity provided by Blackstone and for our confidence that working together can achieve results. ”

According to the agreement, shareholders of the acquisition of AIR Communities will receive $39.12 per share, a nearly 25% premium to the closing price on the New York Stock Exchange on the last trading day before the announcement of the transaction. At the same time, the news of the acquisition also sent AIR Communities' share price soaring, rising more than 22%. Blackstone said it plans to spend more than $400 million "to maintain and improve existing communities in the portfolio and potentially invest additional capital to fund further growth." "The transaction is expected to close in the third quarter of this year and is expected to inject new vitality into the commercial real estate market.

Blackstone has repeatedly bet on real estate investments

Founded in 1991, Blackstone's real estate business is one of the world's largest independent alternative asset managers, owning and operating assets in a variety of major geographies and industries, including logistics, residential, office, hospitality and retail. In recent years, it has been looking to acquire poorly managed, strategically located assets around the world.

Spending tens of billions of dollars! Blackstone Group has bottomed out the U.S. property market, and real estate investment has set off another upsurge

Image source: Finance and Economics World Affairs

In fact, the acquisition of AIR Communities is Blackstone's second acquisition of a real estate company this year. In January this year, Blackstone announced that it would spend US$3.5 billion (about 25.3 billion yuan) to acquire Canada-based Tricon. It is understood that Tricon is a real estate company that invests in single-family rental and multi-family rental housing, and its business model is to provide quality rental housing and apartments in high-quality communities, and provide resident services through its technology-enabled operation platform and dedicated on-site operation team, covering the United States and Canada. In addition to managing a portfolio of single-family rental housing, Tricon has a single-family rental development platform in the U.S. with approximately 2,500 homes under development, as well as numerous land development projects that support nearly 21,000 single-family future development homes. The company also owns a Canadian multi-family development platform with approximately 5,500 affordable multi-family rental apartments under construction.

Following Blackstone's acquisition, Tricon plans to complete a $1 billion new single-family rental development in the U.S. and a $2.5 billion new condo development in Canada (along with its existing joint venture partners). It will also continue to improve the quality of existing single-family homes in the U.S. through an additional $1 billion in planned capital projects over the next few years. Through two acquisitions this year, Blackstone Group's real estate investment this year has exceeded 13 billion US dollars (about 94 billion yuan).

Spending tens of billions of dollars! Blackstone Group has bottomed out the U.S. property market, and real estate investment has set off another upsurge

Image source: Herald Selection

Has the U.S. real estate sector bottomed out?

Why buy real estate companies aggressively in 2024? Jon Gray, president of Blackstone, explains that they believe valuations in the real estate sector have bottomed out.

On April 8, local time, Jon Gray said in a video released on the official website of Blackstone Group: "2024 will be a year of further acceleration, although the problem of inflation has made the Federal Reserve raise interest rates many times in the past, but the latest data shows that the problem of inflation has been alleviated, but I don't think the Fed will cut interest rates too early and sharply." We believe that real estate valuations have bottomed out, but this does not mean that the sector will suddenly reverse, and we can see that some real estate companies in the market are still facing problems such as poor management and excessive debt. So we want to get into the industry when we hit the bottom, even though it may still be at the bottom for a while. ”

This move is also in line with the current trends in the commercial real estate market. Since the 2008 financial crisis, the U.S. commercial real estate market has been in a downturn, with high interest rates and record office vacancy rates putting extreme pressure on the market. At the same time, demand for multi-family housing remains strong as some businesses offer more flexible workplaces, making the sector the new favorite for investors.

Spending tens of billions of dollars! Blackstone Group has bottomed out the U.S. property market, and real estate investment has set off another upsurge

Image source: WB Investment Research Center

At the same time as acquiring the apartment operating company, Blackstone was also trying to sell office projects. In March this year, it was reported that Blackstone planned to sell its subsidiary The Office Group for 1.5 billion pounds (13.6 billion yuan). Blackstone is reported to have held informal talks with advisers to explore the possibility of exiting the company amid renewed focus on flexible office space.

Overall, the recovery in the commercial property market has not been smooth sailing, with many investors remaining on the sidelines, fearing that interest rates will rise or prices will continue to fall. Previously, Steve Schwarzman, co-founder and chairman of Blackstone Group, said at the 2024 World Economic Forum in Davos that Blackstone is watching a large number of investment opportunities in real estate across Europe as central banks weaken interest rate hikes and real estate transaction volumes begin to rebound, with a focus on data centers, warehouses and student apartments transactions in Europe. But for the U.S. housing market, Schwarzman doesn't think it's optimistic. The United States does not have more opportunities than Europe.

However, it is undeniable that Blackstone's huge acquisition not only shows its optimism about the multifamily residential business, but also injects new vitality into the U.S. real estate market, which will bring new opportunities and challenges to the entire commercial real estate sector.

Source: Global Real Estate Investment Notes, DealGlobal, Securities Times, Real Estate Asset Management

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Spending tens of billions of dollars! Blackstone Group has bottomed out the U.S. property market, and real estate investment has set off another upsurge

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