#精品长文创作季#
The tense situation in Europe and the intensifying disputes in the Middle East have cast a shadow over the peace and stability of the whole world! Looking at the signs in history before the outbreak of war, there have been four signs in the United States, and Zhang Zhaozhong, a well-known military expert, predicted that war would come true!
So what kind of war quagmire will the United States fall into in the future, and what are the four signs that will emerge before the outbreak of war?
First, the economic crisis
As far as modern warfare is concerned, it is not only a confrontation of military strength, but also a comprehensive war of economic, military, and political strength. Modern warfare cannot break out without warning, and it can often be deduced before it breaks out through the abnormal behavior of the instigating state.
As a Chinese military expert, Zhang Zhaozhong integrated and sorted out the signs before the outbreak of war, and found that the United States today meets four of them, and many places in the world may be affected by war in the future.
The primary reason why the United States may instigate war is that it is currently deeply affected by the economic crisis and is too busy to take care of itself!
Most of the reasons for the launching of wars in ancient history were territorial disputes and land encroachment, but the economic crisis of modern wars has become the main theme of instigating the outbreak of wars.
In Germany, for example, the Industrial Revolution gave birth to the ambition to instigate World War I. But the tragic defeat in World War I also caused it to fall into the abyss of reparations.
At that time, although Germany was one of the most industrially advanced countries in the world, most of its national income was given to the victorious countries as war compensation. The Germans themselves depended largely on the aid of the United States and Great Britain for their own survival.
But with the advent of the Great Depression, Jewish-dominated capital began to withdraw from Europe. The economic crisis swept across Europe, Germany's heavy industry and chemical industry almost shut down, and the German people were struggling to make a living.
The economic crisis led to severe inflation in Germany, with a loaf of bread selling for up to 500,000 marks and a kilogram of butter for 6 trillion marks. A large number of working people have lost their jobs and been laid off, banks have collapsed, wealthy businessmen have fled with their money, workers have marched in the streets to make trouble, and social order is on the verge of collapse.
The economic crisis was the root cause of Germany's World War II, which shows that the economic crisis was the trigger for the outbreak of the war, and the United States is now facing an economic crisis.
Although the United States is still the world's largest economic power, its economic development situation is uncertain. One of the most important reasons is that due to the impact of the epidemic, the development of the U.S. commodity economy has almost stopped!
For the United States, in order to maximize economic benefits, it relocated a large number of its own factories to foreign countries in the last century. South Korea, Japan, and Chinese mainland in Asia will be selected as foundry sites.
This directly led to a large loss of domestic industry in the United States, and with the commodity crisis in the United States during the epidemic stage, the real estate bubble and economic bubble evaporated sharply, and the American economy suffered Waterloo.
The number of unemployed people in the United States is still growing, with more than 12 million working-age Americans still unemployed. The economic instability will make the United States take risks and the possibility of instigating war will continue to rise.
And war is not only a way to plunder resources, for the United States, the military industry is also an important part of its economy. Therefore, the turbulence of the global situation is conducive to the sale of military materials by the United States and the improvement of the current domestic economic crisis.
2. Political conflicts
In addition to the poor economic situation within its own borders, the current political influence of the United States is also being challenged.
The Cold War between the United States and the Soviet Union ended with the collapse of the Soviet Union's economy, and the subsequent pattern of the world developed as a superpower and many powers. The United States, on the other hand, has relied on the dollar's status as an international currency to exert its authority in the global political and economic fields, which has gradually made countries around the world feel dissatisfied.
In order to counter the hegemony of the United States, European countries united to form the European Union. It also uses the euro as a common currency to hedge against the US dollar to reduce the voice of the United States in the global economic market.
In Asia, China has risen rapidly, and China is now the world's second largest economy. It is the largest market for the export of manufacturing goods in the world, which poses a challenge to the hegemony of the US economic market.
Not only that, in addition to surpassing the United States in the traditional manufacturing industry, China has unlimited potential in the technology market. In turn, the United States has made it feel a sense of crisis and has restricted China's imposition of bans.
For example, the chip restrictions implemented in 2019 and the boycott of China's new energy battery imports in 2024 all show that the United States is worried about China.
To prevent China's rise, the United States has also joined forces with Japan and the Philippines to build a second island chain in Asia. The Philippine Islands, the Ryukyu Islands, and the Japanese Islands were used to encircle the mainland.
The United States is also looming behind the frequent political conflicts that have erupted between neighboring countries and China recently. For example, the Philippines, which has recently made frequent provocations against China, Marcos has openly denied the gentlemen's agreement between China and the Philippines.
Marcos's uninterrupted application for military aid from the United States after his arrogant declaration to the mainland shows that the United States secretly supports him.
The reason for the United States' assistance to the Philippines and other countries is nothing more than to take advantage of the land disputes and other issues in neighboring countries to attract the attention of the mainland and delay the economic development trend.
In addition, the gradual severity of the situation between Russia and Ukraine is also increasing the uncertainty of the outbreak of future wars. As Ukraine shows more and more decline, the possibility of the United States entering the game cannot be ruled out in the future.
3. Stockpiles of armaments and materials
There is an idiom in ancient China, that is, "Before the soldiers and horses move, the grain and grass go first". For war, logistical preparation is often more important.
And for modern warfare, soldiers on the battlefield are secondary. All kinds of information warfare, missiles, and fighter planes have become the mainstream of the battlefield, and modern warfare is more like a contest of military science and technology and economic strength.
Behind any large-scale war, there is a huge expenditure of financial funds. In recent years, the United States has been spending more money on the rise. The total military spending of the United States in 2023 will be as high as 813.3 billion US dollars, ranking first in the world.
What is the concept of military spending of 813.3 billion US dollars? China, the second largest military expenditure in the world, will only be 210 billion US dollars in military spending in 2023.
The United States spends more on its military than the second to ninth largest countries in the world. Moreover, U.S. military spending is still on the rise, reaching a new high of $845.8 billion in 2024, an increase of 4%.
And the United States has also shown double standards on the issue of military spending.
As the country with the largest military spending in the world, it is the country with the highest threat to global security. The United States, in turn, criticized China's military spending, saying that an increase in China's military spending will plunge the world into a new round of arms race.
In fact, the United States' move to make a mistake is completely false. According to statistics from the end of World War II in 1945 to the end of the 20th century, a total of 201 armed conflicts, large and small, broke out in the world, nearly 80% of which were provoked by the United States.
Even in the 21st century, the number of wars in the world has decreased dramatically. However, whether it is the Middle East or Europe, which is still torn by war, traces of the United States can be seen behind the turmoil.
Therefore, the continuous rise in US military spending in recent years will indicate that the global situation will become more severe in the future. With the gradual scarcity of energy resources, the United States is eager to gain a deeper degree of control over the Middle East in the future, and the Middle East will be difficult to calm down under the intervention of the United States.
Moreover, Russia, as an energy power, has always been at odds with the United States. Since entering the 21st century, the United States has imposed more than 5,000 bans on Russia, and with the continuous increase in US military spending, the situation between Russia and Ukraine has a feeling of "mountains and rains are about to come and the wind is full of buildings".
4. Military exercises
Another indication that the United States may instigate the outbreak of war is the increasing prevalence of U.S. military exercises.
Due to the vastly increased power of modern weapons, the outbreak of a large-scale war could lead to the destruction of human lives. Therefore, in order to demonstrate the latest achievements in military science and technology and military strength, military exercises have become the main way for countries to flex their "muscles" against each other.
The United States plans to plan up to 17,000 military exercises with the Philippines in the future, including the U.S. military, the Philippine Navy and the armed forces of Australia and France.
The scale of this military exercise can be called huge, not only the number of people exceeded 17,000, but the range of the exercise reached 12 nautical miles. Military drills will be conducted on the islands suspected of territorial disputes, as well as the sinking of the supply vessel "Lake Carilaya".
The supply ship "Lake Carilaya" is a civilian vessel made in China and currently in use in the Philippines. The purpose of the exercise is naturally to rehearse in advance the dispute over the Nansha Islands that may break out between China and the Philippines in the future.
In the face of the joint provocation by the United States and the Philippines, the mainland has taken a clear attitude, saying that there is no room for negotiation on the issue of territorial sovereignty. With the progress of US military exercises, the situation between China and the Philippines will become more tense in the future.
In addition to stirring up tensions in the South China Sea, the United States had earlier colluded with Japan. Military exercises near the Yellow Sea have made their ambitions clear.
In the face of the repeated provocations of the US military exercises, the mainland will absolutely not turn a blind eye or ignore them. Instead, they responded forcefully in the form of joint military exercises to protect the integrity of the territorial lords.
epilogue
The global situation is becoming more and more tense, and the United States is showing four signs before the outbreak of war. An economic crisis has erupted in the country, and the political situation has become increasingly severe. The increasing military spending and military exercises of the United States are confirming the feasibility of the outbreak of future wars.
As far as the mainland is concerned, it must calmly respond to US provocations. Enhance comprehensive national strength and military strength, and actively respond to the unpredictable international situation in the future.
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