We all know that except for the 2023 postgraduate entrance examination, from 2017 to 2022, the growth rate of the number of postgraduate applicants in these 6 years has been more than 10%, and only the growth rate in 2023 will be reduced to 3.7% (because the base is too large, a substantial increase is no longer realistic).
*The number of applicants for the postgraduate entrance examination in previous years
In 2024, there will be a decline for the first time, which means that the decrease in the number of graduate students has gone from a trend to a reality. And 2024 is the first time in the past ten years that the enrollment will be expanded, and the number of graduate students will still decline, which is undoubtedly a big benefit.
At least, for many students who are preparing for the 2024 preliminary exam in the late stage of preparation, the decline in the number of graduate students and the continued expansion of enrollment are undoubtedly two shots in the arm to help students survive the sprint time of the last month.
But this also makes the 25 students who are going to graduate school look forward to it, and maybe the number of applicants can decline this year. So what is the number of 25 postgraduate entrance examination applicants? Today, the editor will analyze it with you~
24 Reasons for the decline in the number of applicants for postgraduate examinations
Carefully analyzing the reasons for the decline in the 2024 postgraduate entrance examination, there are two main reasons for the consensus that can be formed at present: one is the reactivation of studying abroad, and the other is that there are many streams in the public examination.
Study abroad: After the end of the epidemic, all kinds of transportation have become more convenient, and there is no physical obstacle to the road of studying abroad, and studying abroad has begun to heat up again, diverting some candidates.
Public Examination Editor: Since many students do not study in graduate school and have the qualifications to take the public examination and select students, a considerable number of students go directly to the public examination and preparation.
Moreover, the purpose of most students to go to graduate school is to work, and many students have no choice in their undergraduate majors, so they can only choose to go to graduate school.
In addition, there is also a potential reason that the economic vitality is recovering, the employment situation is relatively optimistic, and the postgraduate entrance examination has become less urgent.
Although many students still report that it is difficult to find employment and that the autumn recruitment is not ideal, at the macro level, the mainland's GDP will grow by more than 5% in 2023.
For every point increase in GDP, the corresponding increase in employment is about 1.5 million or more, so the number of new jobs this year will be more than in 2022 anyway, and maybe even three or four million more.
25 Predictions for the number of applicants
According to the relevant data released by the Ministry of Education, the number of undergraduate admissions in the college entrance examination in 2020 is 4.431 million, corresponding to the 2024 postgraduate entrance examination, and the undergraduate enrollment in the college entrance examination in 2019 is 4.3129 million, corresponding to the 2023 postgraduate examination.
In 2021, the undergraduate enrollment of the college entrance examination was 4.446 million, which was only 15,000 more than the number of undergraduate students enrolled in the college entrance examination in 2020. In other words, the number of students who are fresh undergraduates may not change significantly if the enrollment ratio remains unchanged.
In addition to the current candidates, there are also previous candidates, the proportion of World War II candidates is about 50% every year, and the number of applicants for the 24-year postgraduate examination has directly declined, which means that since the 24-year postgraduate examination, the number of candidates who choose World War II has been gradually decreasing, so the impact on the overall number of applicants is not large.
In addition, the decline in the number of applicants for the 24th postgraduate entrance examination has a certain relationship with the diversion of options such as studying abroad and taking the public examination. According to statistics, the popularity of the 2024 national examination has not decreased, with a total of 3.033 million people registering for the examination, an increase of 435,300 over 2023, an increase of 16.76%.
We can see that although the number of postgraduate students in 2024 has declined, it does not mean that everyone is lying flat, but on the contrary, the candidates are more rational in their choices, and they will integrate themselves and the environment to choose options that are more suitable for themselves/advantage.
Therefore, in general, it is unlikely that the number of applicants for the 25th graduate school entrance examination will increase significantly, and it should fluctuate slightly.
But in fact, instead of paying attention to the changes in the number of applicants for the 25th graduate school entrance examination, it is better to put more time and energy into working hard to improve yourself and review well. Because, the difficulty of the 25 postgraduate entrance examination may be higher!
25. Environmental analysis of postgraduate entrance examinations
The decline in the number of applicants is good news for students who plan to take the postgraduate entrance examination, but will the degree of competition for the postgraduate entrance examination definitely decrease?
Not. 24. The decline in the number of applicants for the postgraduate entrance examination did not lead to a decline in the national line, but this year, the national line of most disciplines has risen, and the philosophy class has risen by 10 points.
This directly shows that the number of applicants who have declined in the 24 postgraduate entrance examination are all "squeezed out of the water", and the fierce competition in the postgraduate examination has not decreased, and the same will be true for the 25 postgraduate entrance examination.
The editor also analyzed that the environment for the 25th postgraduate entrance examination is still severe
The difficulty of public classes increases
In fact, looking back at the situation in previous years, we will also find that every year, there will be candidates complaining about the difficulty of the questions, and the fact is that the difficulty of the postgraduate entrance examination is gradually increasing.
From this point of view, the difficulty of the 25th postgraduate entrance examination is likely to continue the "fine tradition" of previous years, and it will only continue to increase the difficulty, and the possibility of reducing it is almost ......
The proportion of re-examinations has increased significantly
24. In the postgraduate entrance examination, many colleges and universities have increased the proportion of re-examination results, such as Guilin University of Electronic Science and Technology and Wuhan University Medical Research Institute, and the proportion of re-examination has increased to 60%. For example, the re-examination of most colleges and universities in Fujian Province accounts for 40%-50%, and has gradually tilted to 50%, which shows that colleges and universities are paying more and more attention to re-examination.
More colleges and universities are taking the professional examination
Previously, according to the "2021 National Regulations on the Management of Master's Degree Enrollment" announced by the Ministry of Education, it was mentioned that enrollment units are encouraged to choose the national unified proposition subject test papers, and the self-proposition examination will return to the unified examination.
In addition, starting from the 2024 National Master's Admissions Examination, the subjects of the Master's Business Course for Education Professional Degree will be added to the national unified proposition subjects for the relevant enrollment units to choose and use independently.
In this context, more and more colleges and universities have joined the army of unified examinations, such as the 24 postgraduate examinations, and the 25 postgraduate examinations. At present, the list of subjects in the national unified examination is as follows↓↓↓
The editor also reminds me here that when choosing a college to apply for, I would like to give priority to the college that will take the unified examination for professional courses. 24. Some colleges and universities have clearly indicated that they only accept candidates who take the unified examination of professional courses and subjects when adjusting their majors.
Therefore, for the 25 postgraduate entrance examination, the number of applicants may not rise sharply, but the degree of competition is still fierce, after all, the students who have succeeded in the postgraduate entrance examination are all riveting to be able to go ashore.
In short, it's still early, everything is in time, work hard to review!