Zelensky finally waited until the United States passed the Ukraine Aid Act, which will provide 61 billion, what impact will this have on the Russia-Ukraine conflict? Why did the Republican Party, which has always opposed the passage of the Ukraine Aid Act, choose to let it go this time?
According to the global network, on April 20, the U.S. House of Representatives voted 311-112 to pass an aid bill totaling $95 billion, of which 61 billion was given to Ukraine. In order to pass the bill, the Biden administration in the United States made a number of concessions and reached a "bipartisan coalition" with House Speaker Johnson. Former U.S. President Trump, who has repeatedly expressed his opposition to aid to Ukraine, has rarely expressed his stance on the aid bill. This situation shows that the Republican Party and the Democratic Party in the United States have reached a consensus on the Ukraine aid bill.
For Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, what he wanted most has finally arrived. Without a steady stream of Western military aid, Ukraine is no longer able to continue its fight against Russia. However, Zelensky does not want to hold peace talks, because in order to keep his presidency, he has already used the "state of war" as a reason to announce that he will not hold elections in Ukraine. Therefore, after learning that the United States has passed military aid, Zelensky was overflowing with joy, and posted a post on social media praising Fang's decision, saying that it would "save thousands of lives". In this regard, there is an opinion that US military aid will not save the lives of Ukrainians, but it can indeed extend Zelensky's political career.
Some analysts pointed out that the US military aid to Ukraine has been approved, and the total amount has increased, which shows that the United States and the West do not want to see Ukraine fail, making their large investments a "sunk cost". Especially on the frontal battlefield, the Ukrainian army has been defeated and retreated, and even the military town of Charyavre is almost unable to hold it, which makes the United States realize that it will not be able to prevent Russia from winning without military aid to Ukraine. As for Russia, with the United States passing military aid to Ukraine, they need to launch a general offensive as soon as possible and cannot wait for Ukraine's military strength to recover. It is worth mentioning that the Russian army has significantly increased its strike on Ukraine, not only airstrikes on many energy facilities in Ukraine, but also accelerating on multiple fronts. These circumstances have made the outside world generally believe that a new round of large-scale offensive by the Russian army is coming soon.
However, even if Zelensky waits for a large amount of military aid from the United States, it will be difficult for him to reverse the decline of the Ukrainian army on the frontal battlefield. At present, there is a serious shortage of troops in Ukraine, and the Kyiv authorities previously planned to recruit another 500,000 soldiers, but it could not be implemented at all, and in the end, it was not implemented. Russia, on the other hand, is preparing to recruit 250,000 people this year to form two army groups, 14 divisions, and 16 brigades after completing partial mobilization. Realizing that the situation is not good, Zelensky made a controversial move, that is, to pass a new bill on strict mobilization, which does not allow the Ukrainian army to be demobilized and returned home after completing its service. This bill made the Ukrainian soldiers very angry, because they knew that they could only go home if they were completely incapacitated or killed. As a result, the morale of the Ukrainian army has fallen to a critical point, and it is only one step away from a rout on all fronts.
As for the United States, Washington's decision-makers have chosen to continue to aid Ukraine, indicating that they are unwilling to carry out strategic retrenchment and want to intervene in the situation in Russia, Ukraine, the Middle East, and the Asia-Pacific at the same time. With the assistance of the United States, it is difficult for the Russia-Ukraine conflict to end in the short term, and it is likely to be protracted. Even if Trump defeats Biden in the U.S. election, it will not be able to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict immediately.