In recent years, the rural pig breeders have gradually decreased due to losses, the people who raise chickens have always survived in the low profit range, and the sheep farmers have been worried because of the ups and downs of sheep prices, which makes people worry, only cattle breeders have been living a more comfortable life.
However, since last year, a large number of farmers have changed their careers to cattle raising because it is very difficult to make money because of raising pigs, chickens, and sheep, resulting in an increase in cattle farmers.
After the increase in cattle households, the overall number of cattle has increased greatly, and the market supply has undergone a process from quantitative change to qualitative change, the supply of beef cattle has changed from less to more, from small to large, from supply to demand, and gradually entered a state of saturation of supply and demand, and now there has been a serious supply greater than demand, the cattle market has plummeted, and the price of beef cattle and beef has gradually decreased, resulting in the survival of cattle farmers is very difficult.
My hometown is an ordinary mountainous area, the mountain field is vast, the grass and trees are luxuriant, the pasture resources are very rich, it is a good place for natural grazing, only this, every household in the countryside, as long as they stay in the countryside to farm, basically every household raises cattle, less than two or three, more than dozens.
There are several professional cattle breeders in the village, the breeding method is different, it is a large-scale breeding, taking the feeding of forage captivity, in the past few years due to the high price of cattle, the market is good, has made a fortune, made a lot of money, now the market has become worse, they quickly reduce the scale of breeding, reduce the number of beef cattle, and ensure that the benefits will not drop significantly, in a state of capital protection.
Now cattle farmers say that this period is the downward stage of the market price of beef cattle, and they always want to endure it, hold it back, and survive this difficult downturn, otherwise, every time they sell a commercial beef cattle, they will lose 3,000 yuan, where do they dare to sell it.
At present, the downturn of the bull market makes the cattle breeders very worried, and the loss of selling cattle is very heartbroken, they are taking the pressure bar to slow down the sale, always want to survive the downturn of the bull market, turn losses into profits, and turn losses into victories.
According to media reports, this year's bull market decline is seriously affected by many factors, one is that in the past few years, the cattle market has been very good, cattle and beef prices are running at a high level, cattle farmers are profitable, and the second is the state's strong support for animal husbandry, and the beef cattle inventory and production in rural areas around the country have maintained a steady growth trend, especially since 2018, the beef cattle inventory has grown rapidly, and cattle farmers have exploded.
According to media sources, official reports show that from 2010~2022, the number of beef cattle across the country has increased sharply from 67.389 million to 84.541 million, and the supply of beef cattle has gradually become sufficient.
During this period, the total output of beef across the country grew rapidly, from 5.291 million tons to 7.183 million tons, because the cattle breeding cycle, generally about two years, the previous beef cattle inventory gradually increased too much, which played a very large supporting role in the follow-up beef cattle production capacity, resulting in excessive supply of beef cattle market, extremely sufficient.
According to media reports, while the production capacity of domestic beef is too large and the rate of increase is rapid, the total amount of beef imported by the mainland cannot be underestimated, and the quantity is also constantly increasing by a large margin.
According to the official report, from 2012~2023, the amount of imported beef across the country is very huge, from 70,500 tons to 2,737,400 tons, which has a strong impact on the domestic beef market.
It is also reported that the data of the national agricultural products wholesale market show that on April 19, the average price of beef around the country was 33.01 yuan / catty, from last year to the present, the market price of beef across the country has always been in a downward trend, from the beef price of 38.94 yuan a catty at the beginning of last year all the way down to the present, there is no time to see the market beef "spring blossoms", the beef cattle market is sluggish, cold and cold.
At present, the best beef cattle on the market can be sold for 11.5 yuan a catty is quite good, under normal circumstances, the price of live cattle is 11 yuan a catty, the price of cattle in the past is 17 yuan a catty, and now it is difficult to dream of it.
According to cattle farmers, if a standard commercial cow is about 1,400 catties, the cost of raising cattle is about 19,000 yuan, that is, including feed, water and electricity, epidemic prevention, labor and other costs are about 11,000 yuan, and the cost of calves is about 8,000 yuan.
The total value of a standard commercial cattle is 1,400×11 = 15,400 yuan, minus the cost of raising cattle of 19,000 yuan, and the result is a loss of 3,000 yuan per cow.
This kind of bull market is a very beneficial thing for consumers, and the time has really come for consumers to be free of beef, but cattle farmers are wailing, complaining, and opening a loss-making mode, and selling cattle at a loss has really appeared.
At present, cattle farmers hope that the price of beef will rise, and cattle farmers can hope to make a profit, otherwise it will only bring losses, and the life of cattle farmers is becoming more and more difficult and difficult.
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