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On April 19, Israel struck at Iranian targets, escalated geopolitical tensions in a short period of time, and international oil prices rose by more than 4% in a day, but after a short period of market rise, due to Iran and Israel have signs of diluting the incident, international oil prices "swayed a shot", the market gave up the previous gains, and the international oil prices "rose into falls" in the day, as of 19:45 on April 19, WTI crude oil fell 0.55 US dollars, falling to 81.55 US dollars/ barrel, Brent crude oil fell 0.5 US dollars to 86.61 US dollars / barrel, and the international crude oil market returned to the downward trend!
In the domestic market, a few days ago, the domestic gasoline and diesel prices have just been raised, and the oil price has generally risen by about 0.16~0.17 yuan/liter!
According to the relevant regulations of oil price adjustment, the next oil price adjustment time is determined at 24 o'clock on April 30, according to the current oil price changes, this round of oil prices are expected to fall!
However, due to the geopolitical tension still exists, although on April 19, international oil prices showed a trend of soaring and plummeting, and prices returned to a downward trend, but if Iran retaliates again, international oil prices are still facing the risk of a sharp rise, therefore, the prospects for this round of oil price adjustment are still unclear, and the author will continue to pay attention to market trends and make predictions for you in a timely manner!
In terms of domestic spot, on April 20, the average price of No. 92 gasoline in the country was about 8.3 yuan/liter, and the mainstream No. 92 gasoline price at gas stations in various provinces and cities was about 8.12~8.48 yuan/liter, and the sporadic price was about 9 yuan/liter!
At the same time, in the pig and egg markets, at present, the market is under pressure, and the market continues to grind the bottom, the specific analysis is as follows:
In the egg market, at present, in terms of domestic production and marketing, the price of eggs in the production area is 3.28 yuan / catty, and the price of eggs in the market is 3.2 yuan / catty, and the price is 0.03 ~ 0.07 yuan / jin lower than the previous day.
From the perspective of market supply and demand, the demand side lacks substantial benefits, at present, the festival has not yet been realized, the downstream market purchase and sales are cold, traders are mainly based on rigid procurement, the replenishment demand of food enterprises is poor, the mainstream household consumption support is weak, the group demand is lacking, the terminal market is mainly to clean up the inventory, and there is pressure on the market!
On the supply side, due to the high level of laying hens, the number of new laying hens increased slightly, and the egg supply level increased significantly, however, due to the bleak consumer demand, the downstream goods were slow, and the egg inventory level in all aspects of production and marketing increased significantly, and there was pressure on the market in many places, especially as the temperature turned hot, egg storage was difficult, and some markets had the phenomenon of price reduction promotion, which further negatively affected the market!
However, with the increase in the loss pressure in the production area, the festive atmosphere at the end of the month gradually becomes stronger, it is expected that after the egg price bottoms out in a short time, the market demand for replenishment may increase, and the egg price is expected to stop falling and rebound!
In the pig market, recently, pig prices fell under pressure, the market continued to decline, however, the decline in pig prices is relatively limited, in the past two weeks, the cumulative price reduction range of slaughtering enterprises is only 0.33 yuan / kg, the market "grinding bottom" trend is more obvious!
At present, the pig market is intertwined, on April 20, the price of live pigs fell to 14.92 yuan / kg, down 0.01 yuan compared with yesterday, the north and south markets showed a general sideways trend, and the price of live pigs hovered at 14.1 ~ 15.8 yuan / kg!
Personally, I believe that due to the poor follow-up of consumption, the market demand for thick pork has weakened, the price of fat pigs has fallen, and the second breeding mentality of the market is insufficient, and the enthusiasm for weight gain at the breeding end has weakened, and the weight of medium and large pigs has been slaughtered positively, and the supply level of live pigs is relatively loose!
In particular, the lack of incremental consumption, the downstream white strip goods are not good, the operating rate of mainstream slaughterhouses is sideways at about 27.14%, the operating rate of slaughterhouses is low, the demand for pigs is weak, there is a certain cautious sentiment in purchase and sales, the procurement of slaughterhouses is not difficult, the breeding end of the fence mentality is general, and the pig price is adjusted weakly!
However, with the arrival of the end of the month, the group of pig enterprises shrinking the price mentality or will become stronger, slaughtering enterprises are facing the difficulty of collecting pigs or will increase, superimposed, the downstream stocking cycle is approaching, slaughtering enterprises have the expectation of centralized slaughter before the holiday, after the short-term pig price is weak and stable, entering the end of the month, under the short-term cashing of the multi-party benefits, pig prices may have a slight opportunity to rise!
After the adjustment of the price of No. 92 gasoline on April 20, what is the price of pigs and eggs? What do you think of this? The above is the author's personal opinion, and the picture comes from the Internet!