After the long holiday, the pig market fell into the stage of inertia decline, from the grassroots feedback, due to the weather is getting hotter, the consumption demand of residents is worse, alternative consumption is more common, in particular, the price of eggs is lower, the change of residents' eating habits, poultry meat and egg substitution are more common. The lack of new increments in catering and dine-in consumption, the pressure on the downstream wholesale market of white strips, the difficulty of adding orders from slaughtering enterprises, the increase in the ex-factory pressure of white strips, and the existence of white strip leftovers in mainstream consumer cities in Beijing and Shanghai, which also inhibits the performance of the operating rate of slaughtering enterprises, and the operating rate of mainstream sample slaughtering enterprises is about 27.2% at this stage;
Due to the decline in the market's consumption capacity for thick pork, the difficulty of the fat pig market has increased, the price difference between the standard fertilizer has gradually turned upside down, the breeding end of the large pig subscription mentality has become stronger, the social side and the group farm factory slaughter has increased, and the pressure on the slaughterhouse to purchase pigs in the north and south regions has been reduced!
However, as the end of the month is approaching, the May Day holiday is coming, residents have more outdoor dining, catering and tourism demand will be greatly improved, the downstream market may have a certain demand for stocking before the holiday, the average daily slaughter volume of slaughtering enterprises may increase significantly, pig prices still have a certain support, and some small and medium-sized pigs at the breeding end are not high!
In particular, the domestic feed cost is relatively low, the corn spot price continues to fall, the price of some deep-processed corn in Shandong fell to 1.13 yuan / catty, and the soybean meal market is affected by the surge of imported soybeans into the port, the soybean meal spot also has a weak trend, and the cost of feed has declined, which also alleviates the risk of standard pig pressure fence, and the market has a certain price mentality!
Therefore, under the long and short game, at present, the purchase and sale of live pigs presents a certain stalemate, the lack of unilateral decline in pig prices, especially, as the end of the month approaches, the pace of selling pigs at the breeding end or will gradually slow down, the mentality of wait-and-see prices or will gradually rebound, pig prices have the opportunity to stop falling and pick up!
According to the analysis of institutional data, the slaughtering enterprises adjusted the price of pigs, it is expected that on April 20, the price of three-yuan lean pigs outside the country is about 14.92 yuan/kg, and the pig price continues to be stable and weak.
Attached: On April 20, pig prices in all provinces and cities across the country!