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早评|又到419!A股能否打破魔咒!

author:Dragons and tigers in the world
早评|又到419!A股能否打破魔咒!
早评|又到419!A股能否打破魔咒!

Life is like a marathon, you don't care about the starting point, you only care about the end. No matter how many difficulties we encounter, we must persevere, because only through hard work can we reach the other side of success, a new day, good morning!

The early bird has worms to eat, the plan of the day lies in the morning, Dalong is here to say good morning to uncles, aunts, brothers and sisters, uncles, aunts and uncles, A shares will open immediately, Yesterday A shares dived and fell slightly, Friday is very critical, can the market rise?

早评|又到419!A股能否打破魔咒!

Overnight performance:

The three major U.S. stock indexes were mixed on Thursday. At the close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 22.07 points, or 0.06%, to close at 37,775.38, the S&P 500 fell 11.09 points, or 0.22%, to close at 5,011.12, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 81.87 points, or 0.52%, to close at 15,601.5. Both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq fell for five consecutive sessions.

Most of the popular technology stocks fell, Tesla fell more than 3%, hitting a new closing low since January 2023, Microsoft and Amazon fell more than 1%, Netflix fell slightly by 0.51%, and Netflix's net increase in streaming paying subscribers in the first fiscal quarter was higher than expected. Meta rose more than 1% as Meta launched its most powerful open-source artificial intelligence (AI) model, Llama 3, to catch up with industry leader OpenAI. Chip stocks fell the most, TSMC fell more than 4%, NXP Semiconductors fell more than 3%, ASML and ON Semiconductor fell more than 2%, and Intel fell more than 1%. Social media and airlines rose, Snap rose more than 6%, United Airlines rose more than 5%, and JetBlue Airways rose more than 4%.

Popular Chinese concept stocks rose, and the Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose 0.99%. Weibo rose more than 3%, Tencent Music, NetEase, and Weilai rose more than 2%, Li Auto, Full Bang, Baidu, and JD.com rose more than 1%, and Futu Holdings, iQiyi, Bilibili, Pinduoduo, and Alibaba rose slightly. Xpeng Motors fell more than 3%, and Vipshop fell more than 1%.

早评|又到419!A股能否打破魔咒!

Interpretation of important news affecting A-shares:

The US President has called for raising steel tariffs on China

Yankees just like to make trouble, looking for trouble for us everywhere, but the more restricted, the more it rises, this news is good for the steel sector, as for whether the A shares will rise or not, Dalong does not play the steel plate anyway, it is unpopular.

2. The Federal Reserve is ready to "be an eagle to the end"? Mester: There is no hurry to cut interest rates, and we must be confident enough!

The Federal Reserve is a rat and a bad pot soup, and recently began to shout that it is not in a hurry to cut interest rates, and the dollar has risen sharply, US stocks have continued to fall, and the strong US dollar has also put pressure on the global currency market, and now the Fed will cut interest rates in June, and it will be no fun to see how it will be in September, when the Fed will cut interest rates, and when the global stock market will usher in a big rise, US stocks are not worried, no matter how much they adjust, they will reach new highs.

3. Five-board Chunguang Technology: Shareholders plan to reduce their holdings of no more than 0.5% of the company's shares

This news is naturally bearish Chunguang Technology and related funds, A-share listed companies are here to reduce their holdings, all of which are short-term, so it is impossible for A-shares to have a bull market.

Fourth, the latest of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, it is related to artificial intelligence, low-altitude economy, and 6G development

Artificial intelligence, low-altitude economy, etc. are the future trend, but the rise and fall of the plate will certainly not continue to rise, now A shares lack incremental funds, are one sector up, another sector down, to take the simplest example, semiconductor artificial intelligence rises, then the liquor has a high probability of falling, and vice versa, when the incremental funds come, A shares can rise in an all-round way, when will the incremental funds come?

Fifth, the A-share "419 curse" is coming! Can the curse be broken this time?

Hello family, today, April 19, A-shares will usher in the 419 curse day, and there are many curses in A-shares, of which 419 is the most famous one. Both new and old shareholders have left extremely painful memories on this day. The so-called "419 curse" means that since 2007, the market has often fallen on April 19 and subsequent markets, and in some years, the decline is often larger. However, there have been far more plunges than gains, as follows:

In 2007, 419, the Shanghai Composite plummeted 4.52%

In 2008, 419, the Shanghai Composite plummeted 3.97%

In 2009, 419, the Shanghai Composite fell 1.19%

In 2010, 419, the Shanghai Composite plummeted 4.79%

In 2011, 419, the Shanghai Composite fell 1.91%

In 2012, 419, the Shanghai Composite plummeted 4.79%

At 419 in 2013, the Shanghai Stock Exchange finally rose by 1.9%

In 2014, 419, the Shanghai Composite rose slightly by 0.14%

In 2015, 419, the Shanghai Composite fell slightly by 0.09%

In 2016, 419, the Shanghai Composite rose slightly by 0.3%

In 2017, 419, the Shanghai Composite fell slightly by 0.81%

In 2018, 419, the Shanghai Composite rose slightly by 0.84%

In 2019, 419, the Shanghai Composite rose slightly by 0.64%

2020 419, rest

In 2021, 419, the Shanghai Composite rose 1.49%

419 in 2022, the Shanghai Composite fell slightly by 0.05%

At 419 in 2023, the Shanghai Composite still fell by 0.68%.

However, Dalong thinks that it is better to calm down, a day or two of ups and downs does not mean anything, there is no need to worry so much about a spell, the number of times A shares have fallen is still less, what market has not been experienced, and the excuse is usually treated, many times the spell is psychological.

Today's A-share trend ideas

Yesterday, the market once broke through 3100 points and then fell back, this position is quite stressful, and it will definitely sprint repeatedly for a period of time in the future, depending on when to break through and stand firm at 3112 points, it is OK to be patient at present!

早评|又到419!A股能否打破魔咒!

When you read this article, Dalong has already gotten up early and is ready, just for everyone to see at the first glance, such a hard-working Dalong is not worthy of being praised by you, this is very important to me! I heard that the person who gave me a thumbs up last time will make a lot of money the next day!

早评|又到419!A股能否打破魔咒!
早评|又到419!A股能否打破魔咒!