Just when Iran breathed a sigh of relief and the world thought that Israel would give up on retaliation, explosions were heard in Iran.
What worries Iran has finally happened.
According to ABC on April 19, U.S. officials confirmed that Israel had retaliated against Iran and that an Israeli missile had hit a target. Israeli media revealed that in the early morning, explosions were heard in Iran, Syria and Iraq.
In short, for now, the situation is likely to be like this: Israel suddenly launched a military operation, missiles fell from the sky, and Iran was bombed. In this way, Israel caught Iran by surprise, and the United States, Russia, Britain and France were all deceived.
Why do you say "Israel has taken it by surprise"?
In the early hours of 18 April, Israel launched a military operation in Gaza. The Israeli media revealed that the United States compromised with Israel and promised to let Israel besiege Rafah, provided that "Israel does not counterattack Iran on a large scale."
The reason is simple: the United States fears that the situation will get out of control, which will eventually lead to the United States being burned. If Israel sends warplanes and launches missiles to retaliate violently against Iran, and cannot find Iran under the steps, it may retaliate.
At that point, you will have to enter the war to prevent Israel from being besieged. Then there will be the choice of sides by the major forces, and the situation will gradually get out of control, which is not the result that the United States wants to see.
As soon as the front foot made a promise to the United States, the back foot chose to launch missiles, and it can only be said that Israel's move was indeed unexpected, and the speed of turning its face was inevitably too fast.
What do you think?
First, it is no coincidence that Syria, Iraq, and Iran were bombed almost simultaneously. It just so happened that the United States revealed that "Israeli missiles fell on Iranian soil", which shows that things are not simpler.
In the current situation, the United States should not want to see Israel retaliate against Iran, but this does not mean that Israel will give the United States face. In the past few days, there has been a general agreement within Israel on the issue of "retaliation against Iran." What is uncertain is when, where, and in what way the Israeli army will strike back at Iran.
Israel has also unleashed such smoke bombs: it is ready to make a list of strikes for the United States to see, with the aim of gaining American support. Israel is going to send warplanes to bomb Iran, and it is possible to attack important Iranian military targets.
But the reality shows that Israel may well have already drawn up a plan for the war. The so-called "indecisiveness" may be for the world to see, in order to make Iran relax its vigilance.
Of course, the possibility of the United States singing a duet with Israel is not impossible. For the most part, the United States is tied to Israel.
Second, by calling on Israel not to besiege Rafah's White House, they are also helping Israel. At the UN Security Council, the resolution on "admitting Palestine as a full member of the United Nations" could not be adopted because of "12 votes in favor, 2 abstentions, and 1 vote against".
The only one of the 15 countries to vote against was the United States, a matter that angered countries such as Russia and Palestine. Palestine denounced the United States as "shameless", and Russia condemned the United States as isolated.
Palestine believes that it is very unreasonable for the United States to say that it will support the establishment of a Palestinian state, while at the same time not allowing Palestine to join the United Nations.
Third, Iran will not stop there. According to Iran's statement, the missiles that retaliated against Israel were basically aging weapons. If Israel attacks Iran, Iran will use weapons that have never been used, and Iran knows the location of all of Israel's nuclear facilities, and the Iranian military is ready to strike these targets at any time.
From the beginning to the end, it has always been the United States that has really made Iran a rat trap. In the next few days, Iran should condemn Israel while looking at the specific moves of the United States. If the United States does not intervene in the conflict, there is a risk that Iran will retaliate against Israel.
The Persian Gulf seems to have no huge waves, but in fact there are constant undercurrents. Once the fuse is lit, there is a risk that the Middle East will descend into turmoil, which is not what people want to see.