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Germany wants to win, bet on the East!

author:Wind forests in the distance

The Germans, always wanting to win.

World War I, challenge failure, World War II, defeat again, but this did not prevent it from remaining the locomotive of the European economy.

In the 16 years that Aunt Mo was in power, the Germans lived an extremely nourishing life.

She has created an economic ecological chain for Germany: Germany's precision manufacturing, coupled with cheap energy and raw materials from Russia and other countries, plus the vast market and supporting facilities of the European Union, Russia, and the East, which makes Germany's manufacturing industry proud of the blue star.

In those years, Germany's economy led Europe, growing rapidly, and for a long time it was the number one trade surplus country in the Blue Star (it was only in recent years that it has been significantly overtaken by us).

Germany wants to win, bet on the East!

But time does not go by, in the past two years, Europe has been harvested by the United States one after another, and I have to nod to the boss with a smile.

The days were difficult, the steady Germans could not hold their breath, and a large group of people rushed to China.

01

The Germans have had a hard time in the past two years.

If you want to blame yourself for following the boss closely, the boss will follow what he does, and finally make himself financially disabled.

Energy pipelines are gone, cheap raw materials are scarce, the Russian market for hundreds of millions of people is gone, economic ties with the East are fluctuating, and a large number of manufacturing industries with large energy needs have moved out of Germany.

GDP in 2003 has fallen compared to 2022, and it has fallen into negative growth for several consecutive quarters, which was unthinkable before.

Germany's perennial foreign trade surplus has been maintained at more than $100 billion, which is the foundation of Germany's strong economy.

However, in the past two years, Germany has begun to run a deficit in some months, and the surplus has been an avalanche.

Germany wants to win, bet on the East!

In addition, a large number of enterprises have left North America and the Asia-Pacific region, and a large amount of capital has flowed out, and Germany will have to team up with the "European pig five" to eat fruits.

In the past two years, the German government has almost emptied its family funds to stabilize the basic plate of enterprises, but it cannot control the legs of enterprises to run away.

After all, energy prices are many times higher than before, and if you subsidize them, companies still can't stand it.

In the past, Germany was known as the engine of the European economy, but now it seems that it cannot be turned.

Of course, the German Chancellor is in a hurry, and the German politicians, experts, and entrepreneurs are of course in a hurry.

In the past few years, the Germans have been pushing for Industry 4.0, but as it is now, 4.0 has not yet arrived, and the German industry is afraid that it will return to 2.0.

Compared with Britain and France, the Germans still cherish their own industrial system.

Although some politicians still follow the boss closely, most people in Germany are still relatively normal.

Now no one can count on it, only the super industrial giant in the East can be counted on.

Moreover, now this giant has gradually entered the European market with its own automobiles and other industrial products.

The core industry that Germans are proud of is probably the automobile, and the German car has been famous for a hundred years.

Germany wants to win, bet on the East!

Mercedes-Benz, Volkswagen, BMW, Audi, Porsche, etc., all of them are top-notch existences.

But now that the East has risen, its new energy vehicle industry has formed a certain degree of dimensionality reduction advantage for the European automobile industry.

Automobiles are the core and pride of German industry, but new energy is their weakness, not that they can't be built, but that the production cost is too high, and the mature supply chain is mainly controlled in China.

The direction of the automobile industry is bound to be replaced by oil vehicles, and don't listen to what Western car companies are calling to continue to develop oil vehicles for a while, their government's strategic policy is still new energy and new materials, which is a century-old plan, and it will be postponed at most.

In this regard, it is certainly impossible to catch up with the East by studying it behind closed doors, and Apple's recent abandonment of electric vehicle research and development is a case in point.

Since you can't beat it, let's join.

02

This time, Scholz brought the entire industrial core of Germany with him.

Germany wants to win, bet on the East!

How smiling and enthusiastic he is, how anxious his heart is.

International exchanges are about strength, and Germany is now the weakest in the last 20 years.

Last year, I followed the boss to engage in "de-sinicization", but now I can't shout anymore, and I have made up my mind to come here to seek cooperation.

This is no longer a question of "whether to" cooperate, but a question of how to cooperate (the posture of fate).

No matter how arrogant the Germans are, but in the face of the industrial dragon of the East, they can't beat it, so let's join it.

However, the Germans should be glad that China has always been kind and will not change its orders and go crazy like their boss.

In order to show his sincerity, Boss Shu put a few department managers who like to make troubles at home to watch the house, and brought elites and bosses who are friendly to China.

The sincerity this time is good.

The active "transformation" of German car companies is also impatient.

BMW, for example, has established the world's largest R&D network in China (outside Germany), covering four major cities in China, and is preparing to launch new models with a new E/E architecture to the world in 2025, which will be produced locally at the Shenyang plant.

For example, Volkswagen has invested 2.5 billion euros to expand its production and R&D center in Hefei, and has also cooperated with Xpeng in depth to carry out R&D and production of electric vehicles.

As for Mercedes-Benz, the top two shareholders are BAIC and Geely, which are full of sincerity.

In terms of automotive software applications, car companies such as BMW, Mercedes-Benz, and Audi have also adopted Huawei's autonomous driving technology or intelligent driving solutions.

German car companies voted with their feet and bought insurance tickets for future brand development.

It's insurance, it's an investment, it's a life.

As long as the pattern is opened, it suddenly feels that the road is wider, the sky is brighter, and there is more hope.

03

It is obvious that the United States is weakening, and as an important member of the American imperialist camp, Germany must always make some preparations.

The United States is really not very good in Europe now, either scaring Europe with the Russian army, or harvesting Europe with finance.

If it weren't for the U.S. military stationed in Europe, proxies flooding the political circles of various countries, and the media discourse being controlled by the United States, the Europeans would really be upside down.

But you can wait for the eldest brother to decline on his own.

But once the boss is weakened, the world will inevitably fall into chaos, and this Germany must also do a good job of all measures and build good relations with the East, which will always have more advantages than disadvantages.

After all, the Germans still understand history, not to talk about the upper and lower 5,000 years, let's just say that in the last 3,000 years, the history of the West, myths and legends, in the East, there is always a very strong country.

Although we have lagged behind in the past 100 years, we have always been the protagonists in the long history.

Only by cooperating with such a historical protagonist can there be a better way out, and it is also the only way out.

Germany wants to win, bet on the East!

No amount of correct governance, no matter how many values, and no amount of rules-based international order can withstand the considerations of the real economy, and in the end, we have to plan for our own future.

When the international order enters a great change, from Germany to Europe, it is always necessary to find some way out.

Of course, to cooperate well, in addition to sincerity, we must also take action.

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