After the Qingming holiday, the pig market, the pig price is cold "non-stop", the market shows a cyclical pullback trend!
According to data analysis, slaughtering enterprises to adjust the price of pigs, on April 17, the average price of three-yuan lean pigs outside the country was 15 yuan / kg, down 0.05 yuan compared with yesterday, pig prices continued to fall, the domestic market, the north and south regions, pig prices to shock lower, most of the north and south, pig prices are weak!
Among them, in the 28 regions of the national key monitoring, the average price of live pigs in the country is consistent with the level of Shaanxi, and the price of live pigs in the north and south of the country is generally 14.25 ~ 15.8 yuan / kg! In Sichuan and Chongqing, the price is 14.9 yuan, Shandong, Anhui and Jiangsu are quoted at 15.35~15.5 yuan, Zhejiang is quoted at 15.8 yuan, Henan is quoted at 15.15 yuan, Lianghu is quoted at 15.05~15.1 yuan, and Guangzhou-Guangxi area is quoted at 15.05~15.8 yuan/kg!
At present, the pig price is showing a volatile lower situation, the price of the "grinding bottom" performance is more prominent, this time the pig price is cold "non-stop", the culprit of the decline has been found, roughly as follows:
First, the weather is getting warmer, consumer demand is weak to follow up, in particular, the temperature rise is not conducive to the downstream market fat pork goods, downstream traders thick fat white strip enthusiasm weakened, the big fat advantage is insufficient, the slaughterhouse price mentality is strong, the price of big fat continues to fall, exacerbated the situation of the price spread of standard fat pigs, pig farms in the north and south show a certain upside down phenomenon, the breeding end of the pressure bar weight gain is expected to weaken, the mentality of large pigs concentrated slaughter is strong, and the fat pig market trend has deteriorated, the market has also cooled down, and the performance of the second breeding for the slaughterhouse pig source interception has weakened！
Second, the social aspect of the breeding end and the group farm slaughter rhythm accelerated, the large pig subscription increased, however, the lack of consumption follow-up, in particular, pork consumption in the off-season, the downstream market alternative consumption is more common, and catering and dine-in consumption lack of increment, the mainstream slaughtering enterprises by the lack of price difference in the price of wool white pigs, under the influence of loss pressure, the sentiment of shrinking slaughter is strong, and the difficulty of mainstream slaughtering enterprises to purchase pigs is weakened!
Therefore, under the long and short game, pig prices showed a downward trend, and the price center of gravity fell back to about 15 yuan/kg, however, the room for further decline in pig prices is limited, and the market still has some support!
On the one hand, the breeding end of the subscription mentality or will weaken, in particular, the group pig enterprises have a certain card price slaughter, the market resistance to sell pigs at a lower price has rebounded, the sentiment of pressing the fence to rise has risen, and the supply pattern of live pigs may be reduced again;
On the other hand, the average price of pigs is lower, and there is still the enthusiasm for fattening pigs in many places in the north and south, especially the phased feed cost is at a low level, and the market is bullish on the market outlook.
Therefore, based on the performance of pig purchase and sales at this stage, I personally believe that the lack of continuous decline in pig prices, the decline in the market will be relatively limited, the market still has a certain bottom support, the breeding end of the bullish mentality is still there, the second breeding for pig prices still have a certain support, it is expected that the next 2 ~ 3 days, pig prices or will maintain a narrow range of shocks, after entering the second half of the year, by the consumption of good support to become stronger, pig prices or a slight rise in support!
Pig prices are cold and "fall non-stop", the culprit of the decline has been found! What is the situation? Attached: April 17 pig price! What do you think of this? The above is the author's personal opinion, the picture comes from the Internet, the content is original, unauthorized, please do not reprint, offenders must be investigated!