Cheng Mo: A brief analysis of the ultimate truth of the Republican hardliners blocking aid to Ukraine
Original Cheng Mo Visionary 2024-04-15 15:47
Morning Mist / Repost
Abstract: This article mainly analyzes the deep-seated reasons why the U.S. aid bill to Ukraine was blocked by the House of Representatives.
Regarding yesterday's large-scale Iranian attack on Israel, update the final statistics of one of the IDF.
Iran launched 170 drones, 30 cruise missiles and 120 ballistic missiles in this Iranian attack, all of which were intercepted and destroyed by air defense systems, as well as 99 percent of ballistic missiles. To put it simply, it was Iran's so-called retaliatory attack on Israel, which blew up a loneliness and reflected the huge military-technological gap between Iran and the Western camp.
A handful of ballistic missiles that slipped through the net fell in a no-man's land in a remote area of Israel, and the Israeli side did not launch anti-aircraft missiles to intercept them. This large-scale Iranian attack only blew up some Israeli flowers and plants. Of course, according to Iran, all the drones and missiles hit Israeli targets – I think this is a lie that the Iranian regime has made a fool of, just like the Russian officials, who need to deceive the people and rally the people.
In addition, the U.S. government urged Israel not to retaliate, but to celebrate the victories that have already been achieved. An Israeli government spokesman said that there was no consensus among members of the wartime cabinet on how to retaliate against Iran's attack, and no final decision had been made.
Because the U.S. aid bill to Ukraine is stuck in the U.S. House of Representatives and cannot be voted on, the U.S. has actually stopped military aid to Ukraine. In addition, there is not much difference between the Republican and Democratic seats in the House of Representatives, and more than two-thirds of the Republican Party members support military aid to Ukraine. What role did Trump play in this?
The U.S. military aid is blocked by Republicans with a majority of seats in the House of Representatives, and the deep-seated reason is that the Democratic and Republican parties have been competing for foreign policy values and lines for more than 200 years, and at the same time, the foreign policy dispute between the two parties has been further exacerbated by Trump's aggressive rhetoric and the election year's struggle for the votes of their die-hard supporters.
In terms of foreign policy, the Democratic Party advocates the left-wing line of the United States assuming the responsibility of world leadership and acting as the "world policeman," while the Republican Party advocates that the United States should take advantage of its unique geographical position of being bordered by the Atlantic Ocean in the east and the Pacific Ocean in the west to pursue a right-wing line that is independent of itself. For a long time after World War II, the left-wing line in the United States dominated, but in recent years, especially after Trump came to power, the influence of right-wing ideas has been increasing. The hardcore supporters of the Democratic Party are mainly the intellectual elite and the urban middle class, the so-called "white left," while the Republican supporters are mainly the low-income urban strata, ordinary workers, and peasants with less educated levels, that is, the so-called "red neck" group.
In the Internet age, everyone has the right to speak, and the influence of public opinion, which is traditionally held by the intellectual elite, is declining, coupled with the strengthening of the "information cocoon" - people choose information that suits their preferences instead of listening to experts, which makes the influence of right-wing ideology in the United States increasing. The emergence of alternative politicians like Trump, who incited extreme right-wing ideas and ultra-conservatism, caused the United States to rapidly turn to the right and intensified social antagonism. This is also the reason why Trump's words and deeds can be forgiven and supported by his supporters, no matter how out of line.
It is true that the two parties in the United States have their own advantages and disadvantages in their two different foreign policy lines, so for a long time the two parties have checked and balanced each other and compromised with each other, and whether the Democratic Party is in power or the Republican Party is in power, they have been able to achieve a better balance point and maintain the stability of the major foreign policy of the United States. People who are used to thinking in black and white may have a hard time understanding this. One conclusion needs only be remembered is that Trump has strong popular support, and his ideas represent the position of many Americans.
(Trump has strong public support behind him)
According to the U.S. Constitution, the House of Representatives dominates the government budget. Republicans hold a majority in the House of Representatives, and the Speaker is a Republican, and one of the Speaker's key powers is to lead the House agenda, including putting bills into the voting process. More than half of the members of the House of Representatives in the Republican Party are Trump supporters, and about a third of them are ultra-hardliners, who are so combative that the speaker will not do what they want, and they propose to remove him. This leaves the House completely controlled by Republican hardliners. Therefore, the Ukraine aid bill is actually acting on Trump's face, because he not only represents the mainstream values in the current Republican Party, but also has the support of the majority of House members. Johnson is Trump's "marionette".
Trump has repeatedly and publicly stated that Ukraine should "cede land and sue for peace" and that the United States should not give Ukraine another penny. After being pressured by public opinion, he said that he could consider providing loans to Ukraine. But in reality, Trump, through his die-hard supporters in the House of Representatives, has blocked all aid to Ukraine, including borrowing, with one goal: to pander to the mainstream Republican mainstream public opinion that supports the isolation policy and to win votes for himself.
The "Huachuan fans" who have great influence on the Chinese Simplified Chinese Internet, because many of their audiences are also pro-Ukrainian people, argued that the US House of Representatives stuck the aid bill for Ukraine has nothing to do with Trump. This kind of blind-eyed nonsense is one of the main reasons why I look down on "Hwacheon fans" very much. Of course, they also hated me for always exposing their lies.
On April 12, Trump and House Speaker Johnson held a meeting at Mar-a-Lago, and the core topic was to discuss how to block the aid bill. The meeting was followed by a joint press conference. Trump praised Johnson for "doing a really good job in very difficult circumstances." Trump reiterated that Ukraine should not be given another penny of gratuitous aid, saying, "As for the aid bill, if the speaker comes up with a new plan, we can consider it now...... We're considering offering it in the form of a loan, not just a gift. ”
Not long ago, Trump refused to meet with British Foreign Secretary David Cameron, who came to persuade him to support the aid bill, saying that aid to Ukraine is the business of the Europeans themselves.
In fact, whether it is the Republicans who have packaged the Ukraine aid bill with the issue of illegal immigration, reneged on their promise after the Democrats made historic concessions, and then said that they proposed to use frozen Russian dollar assets to aid Ukraine, and recently said that the Biden administration must issue more oil and gas exploration licenses before discussing the aid bill, all of them are just Johnson and Trump's rhetoric to deceive public opinion, with the ultimate goal of preventing any Ukraine aid bill from being submitted to a vote.
It is unique in the history of the United States to link a foreign policy involving major national interests of the United States to specific domestic issues. In the final analysis, when the aid bill for Ukraine will be passed, and what kind of public backlash the Republicans' extreme actions will ultimately provoke, will ultimately be decided by the majority of the American people with their own votes. Whether it is an enemy of the United States or an ally of the United States, although it can subtly exert some influence, in the final analysis, it is up to the Americans to make their own choices.
(Trump and Johnson joint press conference)
The commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian army, Colonel-General Syrsky, said on April 14 that the goal of Russia's high military command is to seize Chasiv Yar in Donetsk Oblast before the Russian Victory Day holiday on May 9.
Chasif Yar is located west of Bakhmut, where the two sides have recently been engaged in fierce fighting. Since the United States stopped military aid to Ukraine, it did affect the supply of ammunition to the Ukrainian army, especially the lack of long-range precision strike capabilities and anti-aircraft missiles, which had a significant impact on the morale of the Ukrainian army, and it is difficult to predict whether the Ukrainian army can resist the current fierce attack of the Russian army.
Russian public opinion has generally cheered Iran's large-scale attack on Israel over the past 24 hours, believing that it will divert the attention of the Western camp and weaken support for Ukraine.
The Iranian attack on Israel did not cause significant losses to Israel, and at the same time, Israel did not immediately carry out a large-scale retaliatory strike against Iran, leaving Russian public opinion in vain. However, because the United States stopped military aid to Ukraine, it did increase Russia's confidence to launch an offensive on the battlefield in Ukraine.
On the 782nd day of the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian war, the Ukrainian General Staff announced that the battle losses of the Russian army (including Russian localities, enterprises, and separatist groups) in the past 24 hours were as follows: 770 Russian troops were annihilated (killed and seriously wounded), and a total of 454,400 Russian troops were annihilated; The Russian army destroyed 6 tanks, 31 armored vehicles, 51 fuel tankers and logistics heavy-duty vehicles, 3 sets of special equipment (mainly electronic warfare equipment), 41 artillery pieces, intercepted 31 suicide drones, 3 missiles.
(Russian army battle losses counted by the Ukrainian side on April 15)
Based on various information, I roughly estimated that the losses of Ukrainian officers and soldiers were about 94,000, of which the number of dead and seriously injured was also 1:1, and more than 20,000 Ukrainian civilians were killed. The warriors of Ukraine who died defending their homeland will return to heaven with glory and be with God.
Let us continue to pray that God will give peace and put an end to wars, that the wicked may be rewarded and the good be sheltered.
Information source: 2024-04-15 WeChat official account Vision
ID:yjzd-303
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