There is a strange appearance in the corn market in North China: On the one hand, the price has fallen, and the grassroots have been unable to receive grain, or the amount of purchases is being greatly reduced, and on the other hand, the number of vehicles in front of the door of deep processing is increasing every day.
Some grain points have become empty warehouses and are so frightened that they don't want to, as if the sky is about to fall; some grain points are full of warehouses and are busy every day, and the market has formed two extremes.
To put it mildly, if the price of corn in North China is changed to the Northeast, everyone will have to break their heads. It can be seen that one side of the water and soil raises one side of the people, and one side of the market achieves a group of people.
However, this extreme market may be about to appear for a short period of "shelf", the main reason is that under the cooperation of the eastward moving high-altitude trough and the low-altitude strong warm and humid airflow, the Mongolian cyclone in front of the high-altitude trough has also swept away tens of millions of grains of dust and sand in the desert, and many places in North China and Northeast China will sink into the sky full of yellow - sand and dust is coming.
At the same time, there was heavy fog in parts of southern Hebei, northwestern and southern Shanxi, southeastern Henan, central and northern Anhui, northern Jiangsu, eastern Hubei and other places, among which, there was strong dense fog with visibility of less than 200 meters in northern Anhui and northwest Jiangsu.
Subsequently, on the 18th ~ 19th, there was a wide range of convection and obvious rainfall process, the wide range and large area will cause certain resistance to the purchase and sale of grassroots corn, so the short-term decline of the market is very likely to stabilize.
Hello friends, today is April 15, 2024, Jilin Baicheng directly under the library of Fuyu Stanley Warehouse, the purchase price of dry grain: 2360 yuan for the first class, 2340 yuan for the second class, 2320 yuan for the third class, and the purchase of tide grain is temporarily suspended. At the same time, it is rumored that the opening time of the storage point will be delayed, which will make the current weak market even worse.
The word "crash" is used on the Internet to describe the current corn market in Northeast China, which is really excessive! With the 05 futures about to be delivered, a large amount of inventory in the early stage of the port is a high-cost price.
In this situation, corn futures are bound to rise in one or several waves, otherwise port corn traders will really become the "martyrs" of the corn market.
Therefore, my arbitrary prediction that corn futures in the next two weeks are likely to rise, and how much they can rise depends on the market's sentiment. If this prediction is true, it will not be far from the rebound of corn, and corn in North China will also rise, not only rising, but also rising continuously.
Note: It is too early to see the rebound of the market, the market still needs a period of precipitation, in other words, it will be uncomfortable for a short time, because if you want to rebound, you must first let the price of wheat rise, and then there will be a rebound of corn in North China.
This wave of rebound will be reserved for those grain traders who have corn in their hands, and the market is so magical, when you are bullish, it will not necessarily rise, and when you are bearish, there will be a reversal, which will catch you off guard, otherwise, if you see the market clearly, it is not the market, because the market is not your home.
At present, corn has formed a terrible "consistency" - most traders talk about it: "the market is not good in June, it is likely to be good in August, and there will be high prices or high profits in September", and they began to analyze various possibilities.
Assuming that traders in the Northeast have seen this so-called market development trend clearly, it is very likely to change the market trend. So, this is something that I am personally very worried about, and it is very likely to push the market forward or lag behind.
At the same time, for this year's corn market, everyone said to wait, but a simple word "wait" can eliminate 90% of people. It looks very easy, and the mouth is light, but it is really difficult to do.
Let's imagine, in April, in the face of the new grain on the market, there are still 5 months to go, in the long wait, all kinds of unexpected factors in the market, all kinds of news disturbances, your heart and emotions will be as calm as water?
Therefore, individuals are becoming more and more awe-inspired, more and more timid, and more and more contradictory.
The next 5~6 months will become an inflection point for whether a terrible result will occur, and this inflection point will determine the high point of this wave of market in the first half of the year or the high point in September in the second half of the year.
Note: It is not because the prediction began to swing left and right, but that some groups have infinitely amplified this trend, and the results of the amplification can be imagined, in other words, when a person finds a way to make money, will he hype it up on the Internet?
The latest corn prices in the country on April 15, 2024
河北宁晋玉锋：1.14元，落2厘。
Hebei Hengshui Grain: 2,290 yuan for the first, second and third grades, 2,270 yuan for the fourth class, and 5 yuan for the fourth class.
Hebei Guangyu starch: net weight ≥ 20 tons 1.154 yuan, net weight < 20 tons 1.144 yuan, down 3%.
Shandong Bowling Bao: 1.148 yuan, down 2 centimeters.
Shandong Zhucheng Yuanfa: 1.164 yuan, down 3 percent.
Shandong Xiangrui Pharmaceutical: 1.139 yuan, down 5%.
Shandong Qingyuan Food: 1.147 yuan, down 5 percent.
山东七星柠檬：1.171元，落3厘。
Shandong Fuyang Biological: 1.156 yuan, down 3%.
Shandong Heyang Biological: 1.161 yuan, down 3%.
Shandong Ronghai grain: 1.202 yuan, down 3 percent.
Shandong Yishui land: 1.154 yuan, down 3 centimeters.
Shandong Huimin Chunhui: 1.145 yuan, down 7%.
Shandong Weifang Shengtai Pharmaceutical: 1.162 yuan, down 3 percent.
Shandong Shouguang Juneng Golden Corn: 1.17 yuan, down 2 percent.
Shandong Zhucheng Xingmao: 1.167 yuan, Guyuku 1.177 yuan, down 3%.
Shandong Xiwang starch: 1.21 yuan, 4 centi. The first drop price.
Shandong Xiwang starch: 1.207 yuan, 3 cents. The second drop price. A total of 7 percent.
Shandong Linqing De Golden Corn: 1.136 yuan, 3 percent. The first drop price.
Shandong Linqing De Golden Corn: 1.133 yuan, 3 percent. The second drop price. A total of 6 percent.
Shandong Binzhou Jinhui corn: 1.145 yuan within 18 moisture, 1.14 yuan above 18 moisture, 4 centi.
Shandong Luzhou Group: The circulating price is 1.15 yuan, and the cash price is 1.135 yuan. The circulating price of less than 20 tons is 1.14 yuan, and the cash price is 1.125 yuan. Drop 5 percent.
Shandong Chengwu land: 1.12 yuan below 20 moisture, 1.11 yuan for 20~25 moisture, 1.085 yuan above 25 moisture, 2 centi. The first drop price.
Shandong Chengwu land: 1.117 yuan below 20 moisture, 1.107 yuan for 20~25 moisture, 1.082 yuan above 25 moisture, 3 centi. The second drop price. A total of 5 cents.
Shandong Dazecheng Biology: 1.125 yuan below 20 moisture, 1.115 yuan for 20~25 moisture, 1.095 yuan above 25 moisture, 2 centi. The first drop price.
Shandong Dazecheng Biology: 1.122 yuan below 20 moisture, 1.112 yuan for 20~25 moisture, 1.092 yuan above 25 moisture, 3 centi. The second drop price. A total of 5 cents.
Jilin Meihekou Fukang alcohol: 2310 yuan for the second class of dry food, 2290 yuan for the third class, and 10 yuan.
Inner Mongolia Fufeng Biological: the first and second class are 2390 yuan, up 20 yuan, and the third class is 2360 yuan, up 20 yuan.
Jilin Xintianlong: 2,310 yuan for dry food, 2,290 yuan for the second class and above, 2,270 yuan for the third class, and 2,240 yuan for the fourth class.
Jilin Meihekou Fukang alcohol: dry food second class 2310 yuan, third class 2290 yuan, 10 yuan, tide grain second class 2290 yuan, third class 2270 yuan, the price remains unchanged.