Since I gave my forecast for the stock price trend of Cialis from April to May 2024 in "Calculation of the Stock Price Range of Cialis from April to May 2024" and drew a chart, so far, I have not been slapped in the face.
First, the latest information
According to the bolt data provided by "Wet Diaper", it is expected that the production and sales volume of the M9 in April should be between 15,000 and 18,000 units, and the median value is 16,500 units.
As for the M7, as "Autohome" updated the weekly sales data for the 14th week, from April 1 to 7, the delivery volume of the M7 was 2,282 units, which is about 10,000 units per month. According to the Dading data of the M7, since March 1, the daily new orders for the M7 have been about 550 units, and the monthly new orders should not be less than 15,000 units.
As for the M5 will be unveiled at the Beijing Auto Show on April 23, it should not affect the orders, production and sales, and deliveries in April, and it is expected that the sales of the old M5 will be about 1,000 units.
2. Valuation and calculation
The production and sales volume of the entire series in April was about 32,500 units, of which the M9 and M7 models each accounted for half of the total, that is, about 16,000 units per month. According to the conversion logic of "the value of one M9 is about equal to two M7s", we can conclude that the sales capacity of Cialis in April is equivalent to 48,500 M7s sold.
Next, we use a specific valuation model to predict the market capitalization of Cialis. First, we use the product of the monthly sales volume of Wenjie and its valuation per vehicle (about $5.67 million per vehicle) to arrive at the overall valuation of Wenjie. Multiply this valuation by 80.65% and add 3.172 billion yuan to get the overall valuation of Cialis.
Through calculation, we predict that the valuation of Cialis is about 224.955 billion yuan. If you convert that to the value per share, it's about $149. Of course, stock market prices fluctuate, so based on ± 13.7% range, we predict that the share price of Cialis will fluctuate between $128.6 and $169.4.
It seems to be similar to the last prediction.
3. Summary
Many people have asked me if Cialis will be able to rise back to 100 at the end of April? If everything goes well, I think at the end of April, the stock price of Cialis should break through the previous high and reach more than 110, let's wait and see!
From the perspective of historical experience, with the brilliant performance of the M5 at the Beijing Auto Show, after the May Day holiday, Cialis will jump, and it is estimated that the total market value will break through the 200 billion mark, which is in early May.