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Yuhang released the climate trend forecast for the 2024 flood season, and the overall situation is......

According to the Ministry of Water Resources

From April 1

The mainland has officially entered the flood season

It is expected that the overall situation in the mainland during this year's flood season will be carried out

Drought and flood occur concurrently, and waterlogging is heavier than drought

Recently, the District Meteorological Bureau released

Forecast of climate trends in the flood season in Yuhang District in 2024!

Let's take a look

Yuhang released the climate trend forecast for the 2024 flood season, and the overall situation is......

2024 Yuhang District Flood Season (April-September)

Climate trend projections

In 2024, Yuhang District is expected to have a severe impact on meteorological disasters during the flood season. During the flood season, precipitation is unevenly distributed, the average temperature is high, extreme weather and climate events are frequent, and the risk of strong weather is greater.

It is estimated that the average temperature in Yuhang District from April to September will be 25-26 °C, 0.6-1.6 °C higher than the normal (24.4 °C), and the total precipitation will be 1050-1250 mm, which is 2-3 percent more than the normal (958.2 mm).

There are regional rainstorms in the plum flood season, there is a possibility of local rainstorm floods or waterlogging, the impact of typhoons is heavier than last year, the number of high temperature days in midsummer is close to normal, and there are periodic high temperature and heat waves.

Yuhang released the climate trend forecast for the 2024 flood season, and the overall situation is......

▲In February this year, the Mantou Mountain Reservoir in Luniao Town opened the flood gate

The flood season is coming,

There are four phases to focus on

春夏季强对流期(4-5月、7-9月)

Spring (April-May) is expected to see significant temperature fluctuations, which can easily trigger strong convective weather such as short-term heavy precipitation, thunderstorms, strong winds, and hail. In summer (July to September), typhoons and periods of high temperature alternately affect the trend, but strong convection is still frequent. It is necessary to pay attention to preventing the adverse effects of urban waterlogging, geological disasters, thunderstorms and strong winds on projects under construction and facility agriculture that may be caused by short-term heavy rains.

Plum Flood Season (Early June - Early July)

It is expected that this year's plum season will be close to normal, and the plum season will be earlier than normal (the average plum season is June 13, and the average plum season is July 8), and the total precipitation is 250-350 mm, which is more than normal, and the risk of rain and waterlogging is higher. Late June to early July is the period of concentrated precipitation, and there is a possibility of localized torrential rain, flooding or waterlogging.

High temperature and drought season (after the plum season to early September)

It is expected that our area will quickly enter a period of high temperature and little rain after the plum blossom, and the number of high temperature days is 35-40 days, which is more than usual. The highest temperature in most parts of the region is 38-40 °C, and it can reach more than 40 °C locally, and there are periodic high temperature and heat waves.

Taizhao period (July-September)

It is expected that this year, the Northwest Pacific and South China Sea typhoons will show a trend of "fewer before and more later", affecting 3-4 typhoons in Zhejiang. There is a high probability of typhoons moving north along the coast, and there are 1-2 northward typhoons that may obviously affect our region, which is easy to cause local heavy rain and waterlogging, and the impact of typhoons is more serious than last year.

Yuhang released the climate trend forecast for the 2024 flood season, and the overall situation is......

▲Last year's super typhoon "Kanu"

Recommendations for Meteorological Disaster Prevention

Be highly vigilant against the impact of strong convective weather and secondary disasters in spring and summer, and strengthen the safety management of high-impact industries and key areas.

Strengthen the prevention of risk of heavy rain and flood disasters during the plum flood season, and scientifically do a good job in the dispatch of water resources.

Pay attention to the prevention of periodic high temperatures, pay attention to energy supply and heatstroke prevention and cooling.

Pay attention to the impact of typhoons in the context of El Niño, and focus on preventing typhoon disasters.

Later atmospheric circulation changes

There is a great deal of uncertainty,

The meteorological department will closely monitor the later period

SST evolution and atmospheric response,

Please pay attention to the general public in time

Forecast information is updated on a rolling basis.

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Contribution | Regional Meteorological Bureau

Edit | Zhou Ying

First instance | Xu Ke

Second instance | Yang Lan

Final Judgment | Jia Guoyong