The United States will send ambassadors to Japan and South Korea and visit the demilitarized zone between the two Koreas in a vain attempt to draw global attention to the situation on the Korean Peninsula, but this move may not be a good thing for the security situation in Northeast Asia. At the critical moment, China's high-level announcement of a visit to the DPRK sends a signal to the outside world?
According to Singapore's "Lianhe Zaobao" and other media reports, Greenfield, the US permanent representative to the United Nations, will soon visit the demilitarized zone between the two Koreas and visit Japan and South Korea to show the Biden administration's support for its Asian allies, and the United States also hopes to draw attention to the differences in the Security Council on the North Korea issue.
Greenfield, Permanent Representative of the United States to the United Nations
Objectively speaking, China, the United States, and Russia have no differences on the final outcome of resolving the nuclear issue on the Korean Peninsula, and they all hope for the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula. But there is a chasm in the specific way in which this can be achieved.
The United States hopes to force the DPRK to voluntarily give up its nuclear weapons through various sanctions, while China and Russia believe that the nuclear issue on the Korean Peninsula should go in both directions in accordance with the previous six-party talks on the DPRK nuclear issue and the various consensus reached by the Security Council.
In layman's terms, North Korea is denuclearizing step by step, and the United States should also lift sanctions on North Korea step by step. Only by properly responding to the security and economic concerns of the DPRK will it be possible to promote the positive development of the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula.
The reason is also obvious: How is it possible for you, the United States, on the one hand, to join forces with Japan and the ROK, to conduct military exercises near the Korean Peninsula and deploy its own strategic nuclear submarines and strategic bombers to operate around the DPRK, but at the same time want the DPRK to give up the only means that can threaten and counter the US military alliance?
The Demilitarized Zone between the two Koreas
On the other hand, if the United States does not give up all kinds of economic sanctions against the DPRK and wants to negotiate purely on the DPRK nuclear issue, then in fact it is a strategy to exhaust the DPRK, and the United States can not do business with the DPRK, which is the freedom of the United States, but the United States threatens to encourage other countries not to conduct normal economic and trade activities with the DPRK, and it is clear that it wants to impose an economic blockade on the DPRK.
This is the same as threatening North Korea militarily, and it is also an arrogant move to interfere with North Korea's normal development, which will only exacerbate North Korea's sense of insecurity.
In this sense, the current nuclear issue on the Korean Peninsula has not been resolved, but has become more and more acute, and the root cause lies in the United States, not the DPRK.
Of course, the so-called desire of the United States to draw more countries' attention to the North Korean nuclear issue is just rhetoric, and its real purpose is not at all this, but to tighten its manipulation of Japan and South Korea, undermine the security situation in Northeast Asia, and then contain the development of China and Russia.
Trilateral summit between the United States, Japan and South Korea
At present, Greenfield, the US permanent representative to the United Nations, plans to visit Japan and the ROK and go to the DPRK-ROK demilitarized zone, but in fact there are two purposes: First, it is to show "merit to the ROK" and hope to use this to show US support for the ROK and facilitate them to continue to "ask for a price" from the ROK.
Second, it is hoped that this will draw China's attention to the situation on the Korean Peninsula.
This is because in the past six months, due to the fact that the United States and the ROK have been pressing on each step by step, the DPRK-ROK relations have been extremely tense, and now the DPRK has become closer to Russia, which has not only increased the pressure on the United States, but also to a certain extent made the situation on the Korean Peninsula more complicated.
The United States originally wanted to contain China by pressuring the DPRK and aggravating the tension on the Korean Peninsula, but not only did this goal not be achieved, but it also attracted the attention of Russia, which took the initiative to contact the DPRK, and thus obtained the support of the DPRK in terms of weapons and equipment, thus relieving the pressure on the ammunition supply that Russia encountered in the European theater.
Russian soldiers
On the contrary, the United States has shot itself in the foot, not only failing to affect China, but putting more pressure on itself to support Ukraine.
Against this background, the United States hopes that China will come forward and persuade the DPRK not to get involved with Russia and not to tie the security of Northeast Asia with the security of Eastern Europe.
Objectively speaking, this kind of binding is indeed not conducive to the security of Northeast Asia, because it will make the EU countries, which have basically nothing to do with the Korean Peninsula, passively involved in the Korean Peninsula issue because of the Ukraine issue, and then lead the contradictions and wars in Europe to Asia.
The problem is that this is not for China to decide. In any case, the DPRK is also a sovereign country and a friendly neighbor of China, and it is not easy for the United States to press on the DPRK step by step, and it is not easy for China to take into account the overall situation and not directly stand on the DPRK's standpoint and confront the United States, but also persuade the DPRK to exercise restraint.
China-North Korea Friendship Bridge
Now that the United States and South Korea have adopted a wrong policy of coercion, which has prompted North Korea to get closer to Russia, how can China persuade North Korea not to look for "helpers" in the face of the United States' escalating threat?
This is almost impossible, both from a geopolitical standpoint and from the diplomatic philosophy that China has always pursued.
Therefore, it is unrealistic for the United States to try to force China to come forward and put pressure on the DPRK by aggravating tensions on the Korean Peninsula and threatening China's peripheral security.
On the contrary, this move by the United States will only further undermine peace and stability in Northeast Asia and further push China to take a clearer stance on North Korea.
U.S.-South Korea joint military exercises
To put it bluntly, peace is only on the edge of the sword. The most crucial and most objective influencing factor on whether or not a region can guarantee peace is whether or not a balance can be reached between the forces of all parties in the region that have contradictions.
To put it bluntly, only when no one can beat anyone, can the two sides who are already in contradiction continue to exercise restraint and balance.
On the other hand, once the balance of power is deflected and the contradictions between the two sides are not eased, then the conflict will be difficult to avoid. The current situation on the Korean Peninsula is that the United States does not want to resolve its contradictions with the DPRK at all, but has been increasing its military support for the ROK.
China, as the decisive power in the region, can only increase its leverage on the other side of the scale, North Korea, and reshape the balance of power between the two Koreas.
South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol and U.S. President Joe Biden
It is worth noting that the Chinese Foreign Ministry has announced that from April 11 to 13, high-level members of the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress will visit the DPRK and attend the opening ceremony of the "China-DPRK Friendship Year."
In the current situation in Northeast Asia, this is actually an expression of support for the DPRK and also reflects the attitude of good-neighborliness, friendship, and solidarity between China and the DPRK.
After all, if the war resumes on the Korean Peninsula and the United States intervenes, it will not be a new war, but a continuation of that war. In that war, China and North Korea were not just neighbors, they were partners in the same trenches.
North Korea conducts a military parade
To sum up, the more the United States goes its own way and stimulates the situation on the Korean Peninsula, the less likely it is for China to cooperate with them. At a time when the United States does not respect the interests and security concerns of the DPRK, all its words and deeds against the DPRK are tantamount to taking the initiative to undermine the security situation in Northeast Asia, which will only make China and the DPRK more friendly.