Japan is now in a very precarious position. As a "sandwich biscuit" in the Pacific Ocean, Japan has always had a balance between China and the United States. With regard to the United States, he advocated the "China threat theory" in order to consolidate his position as a "bridgehead" in the Indo-Pacific strategy, and took the opportunity to "expand armaments" in an attempt to promote the so-called "normalization of the country".
On the one hand, Japan is constantly testing China's red line, and on the other hand, it is constantly sending some "pro-China factions" to release friendly signals. This is not only to stabilize China, but also to leave a "back road" for itself.
According to Japan's small calculations, in the Sino-US game, if the United States wins, then Japan can take the opportunity to embezzle the capital and industries flowing out of China; if the United States loses to China in the competition and withdraws from the Western Pacific, then as long as Japan turns fast enough, China, which attaches importance to "valuing peace," will most likely not be too careful.
Kishida
But in recent times, this little trick of the Kishida government has been unable to continue. There are all kinds of indications that the United States has no intention of giving Japan the space to "play left and right" and has made up its mind to use it as cannon fodder, and China's patience has been almost exhausted.
The United States began to send a signal to the outside world, that is, if there is really a war in the Pacific, then it is very likely that this battlefield will not be the South China Sea and the Taiwan Strait, which are the two hot spots that have been hyped up from time to time, but Japan. Neither China nor the United States can afford Japan to stand alone.
Since the end of last year, the United States has systematically tightened its control over Japan. First of all, the Tokyo District Prosecutor's Office, known as the "shadow department" of the CIA, liquidated the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan, which directly led to the dissolution of the three largest factions in the party. This is tantamount to the United States holding the net worth and life of the current group of right-wing politicians in Japan in its hands.
Beauty Day
Subsequently, the Bank of Japan announced that it would stop YCC and no longer repurchase Japanese bonds indefinitely, which is equivalent to "cutting off one arm", giving up the most important tool to regulate the exchange rate of the yen against the dollar, and the economic lifeline has also been completely pinched by the United States. Finally, at the end of March, the British "Financial Times" immediately broke the news, saying that the United States and Japan were preparing the "largest" reorganization plan of the US military stationed in Japan since the 60s of the last century.
To say that it is a reorganization is actually to strengthen the Indo-Pacific Command's control over Japan's Self-Defense Forces. The specific details of the reorganization will probably be announced at the summit of the United States, Japan and the Philippines. To sum up, within a few months, the United States has comprehensively "controlled" Japan in the political, economic, and military aspects, while the Japanese side has no power to fight back.
China also sees this. So it has become clear lately that China has become increasingly unkind toward Japan. The first to bear the brunt is North Korea. At the beginning of this year, North Korea once made a noise that it hoped to hold a high-level dialogue with Japan.
Kim & Positive
But by the end of March, although Fumio Kishida had insisted that he was promoting dialogue between Japan and North Korea, North Korea made it clear that it was "not interested" in the summit between the leaders of North Korea and Japan, and asked Japan to stop doing useless work. Recently, former Taiwan leader Ma Ying-jeou was invited to visit the mainland. And the highlight of his itinerary is nothing else, the Monument to the People's Heroes and the Memorial Hall of the Anti-Japanese War.
In an interview with the media, Ma Ying-jeou also openly stated that a series of documents after World War II stressed that Japan, as a "defeated country," must return all the territories occupied by China since World War I, and that all arguments that attempt to deny the nature of the "Cairo Declaration" as an international treaty are all confusing right and wrong, have no common sense of international law, and solemnly refute the so-called "theory that Taiwan's status is undecided."
The Cairo Declaration states that the territories stolen by Japan, such as the Northeast Region, Taiwan, and the Penghu Islands, will be returned to China. Ma Ying-jeou's remarks are certainly not casual words. As a former leader of the Taiwan region, he stood in Beijing and said these words, which were reported by the media, proving that this is the common aspiration of the Chinese people on both sides of the strait.
Mr ma
During his visit to the mainland this time, he focused on the issue of two islands, one is Taiwan Island and the other is Diaoyu Island, both of which are "old accounts" between China and Japan. On the issue of sovereignty over the Diaoyu Islands, Ma Ying-jeou once again stressed that ancient books prove that the Diaoyu Islands do not belong to the Ryukyus. These words send a signal that the Chinese nation is ready to draw a clear line with Japan.
Looking at the whole world, there are few countries that can offend China, the United States, and Russia at the same time in modern times as Japan. Among the three major powers, China is the only country that has not systematically liquidated Japan in order to strive for a general environment of peaceful development, and it is also the biggest victim of Japanese militarism.
If Japan is willing to cooperate for a win-win situation, then for the common interests of the Chinese people, the Asian people, and even the people of the world, China can temporarily ignore the investigation. However, if Japan is unwilling or unable to refuse the US demand and wants to stand in the way of China's rise and development, then the old and new accounts between China and Japan will have to be properly calculated.
China and Japan
In addition to verbal warnings, since the beginning of this year, the People's Liberation Army (PLA) and the Chinese Coast Guard have been constantly waving "big sticks" against Japan. According to media reports on the island, at the end of February, several Chinese coast guard ships formed a formation to carry out navigation tasks in the waters around the Miyako Strait with electronic signals completely silent and a speed of 20 nautical miles, testing the low-orbit satellite communication network built by the People's Liberation Army for the first island chain.
From mid-March to early April, Chinese destroyers, frigates, integrated supply ships, and electronic reconnaissance ships formed a number of ship formations and sailed through the Amami Strait and the Miyako Strait to carry out joint naval and air missions around the Ryukyus. In other words, as long as there is any change in Japan, China is ready to "move its fists."
Japan has always dreamed of competing with China and the United States and profiting from the fisherman, and on the Korean Peninsula issue, the Taiwan Strait issue, and the South China Sea issue, Fumio Kishida is indispensable to jump up and down. Japan may have felt that as long as the other "powder kegs" on the first island chain exploded first, it would be able to escape.
But now, both the United States and China are telling Japan with concrete actions that this little calculation of yours will not work. On the day Ma Ying-jeou set off on his visit to China, Chinese mainland issued a friendly signal and suspended its routine cruise in the Taiwan Strait on that day, and at the same time called him to "jointly resist Japan." This is to express its stance of "differences between inside and outside."
The Chinese will never "infighting", but if someone wants to provoke "infighting", then the unlucky ones must be the provocateurs themselves. Fumio Kishida has already arrived in the United States, and this trilateral summit between the United States, Japan, and the Philippines will most likely be the last chance for Japan to be left by China and even the whole of Asia.
In the past, the United States attacked Japan, and Fumio Kishida was defeated one after another, and did not show any ability and willingness to be "independent". If this situation is repeated again at the US-Japan-Philippines summit, then Japan will surely become an "orphan of Asia" and the only way to go is to be cannon fodder.
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