#创业板指缩量反弹涨1.14% #
1. On Tuesday, A-shares closed up as scheduled, although the Shanghai Index rose reluctantly, but the ChiNext index rebounded by 1.14%, and individual stocks performed strongly throughout the day, and the closing has basically reached a state of general rise, with a rise and fall ratio of 4198:1125, so today is a relatively strong disk.
Second, today's Shanghai Composite Index is significantly weaker than the Shenzhen Component Index, up only 0.05%, compared with the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.58%, a long distance away, a little careless turned green, the fundamental reason is that the banking and oil sectors went against the market, down 0.83%, 1.70% respectively. The three barrels of oil in the banking sector and oil are only related to the Shanghai Index, and the banking sector is the largest industry market value sector in the A-share market, and its impact on the trend of the Shanghai Index is self-evident and plays a leading role.
3. Today is a day of shrinkage and gain, with a full-day trading volume of only 800 billion, compared with 936 billion yesterday, this is a day of large contraction, and this trading volume happens to fall between 790 billion and 840 billion as I estimated. This is four consecutive days of shrinkage and is below the trillion, shrinkage is not a good sign, which means that the market is looking and hiding the market sentiment is stronger, the market activity is weaker, and it is difficult to complete a round of washing, and the volume can always be the ultimate driving force for the market to continue to rise.
Fourth, overall, today's shrinkage and closing up did not make me optimistic about the follow-up trend of A-shares, the Fed's interest rate cut expectations have weakened, and the international geopolitical risk factors are also relatively large, the global capital market is facing greater pressure, I am still not optimistic about the follow-up trend of A-shares, please be appropriate and cautious.
Fifth, although today's A-shares closed up, but did not reverse the downward trend, as for Wednesday A-share trend, I am not optimistic, wait for me to collect relevant information in the evening, and after discussing with my colleagues at 8:00 tomorrow morning, I will give a simple, clear and unambiguous view, everyone will see you then.