停火谈判
A few days ago, according to CCTV news reports, a senior official of the Egyptian security service, who did not want to be named, said that the ceasefire negotiations between the Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) and Israel in Cairo are underway, and the mediators are actively communicating with both sides to bridge differences and strive to achieve a ceasefire.
The official also said that the talks will continue on 8 August, and a high-level delegation from the Hamas side will also come to Cairo on 8 August to hold talks with relevant parties at the invitation of the Egyptian side.
Earlier in the day, a Hamas delegation arrived in Cairo and held talks with the head of Egypt's General Intelligence Service, Al-Kamal.
Again, the negotiations were largely based on Israel's frantic withdrawal.
On 7 April, according to a report by the Times of Israel, while arranging for the withdrawal of Israeli troops from the Gaza Strip to only one "Nahar" brigade, Israel asked the Ministry of Defense to put aside harsh words, saying that the current retreat was in preparation for the upcoming offensive in Rafah.
Why did Palestine and Israel change dramatically overnight?
In the final analysis, it is the strength of the Israeli army and the US-Israel relationship that cannot contain Israel's ambitions.
On the one hand, since the outbreak of the new round of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, Israel has indiscriminately attacked civilians in the Gaza Strip, used "white phosphorus bombs", attacked hospitals, bombed humanitarian supplies, and so on.
Even China, which has always been peaceful, has no way to exercise restraint in dealing with Israel on the issue of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, and has repeatedly severely condemned and accused Israel of its evil deeds at the UN Security Council.
On the other hand, on April 1, Israel carried out an air raid on the "World Central Kitchen", resulting in the death of all seven international volunteers, which aroused the indignation of many Western countries such as the United States, Britain and Australia.
There was no way, US President Joe Biden spoke on the phone with Netanyahu under tremendous pressure and stressed to Netanyahu that "attacks on humanitarian workers and the overall humanitarian situation are unacceptable". Biden also said that "Israel needs to announce and implement a series of concrete, practical and measurable steps to address civilian harm, humanitarian suffering and the safety of aid workers." Biden also threatened to say that the US side will assess the situation of the Israeli side "taking immediate action in accordance with these measures" and formulate policies related to Gaza based on the results of the assessment.
Although the United States still provides military support to Israel, the United States has to put pressure on Israel under the pressure of Western countries, and even without the pressure of Western countries, the pressure on the United States and American citizens on the United States government is not small.
Of course, the most critical aspect is the retaliation from Iran, which Israel has to guard against.
A few days ago, according to a report by the Syrian Ministry of Defense, Israeli airstrikes on the Iranian consulate in Damascus caused the consulate to be blown up.
Iran's retaliation against Israel is an inevitable result, but how to retaliate, when to retaliate, and where to retaliate is unknown, so far, according to relevant reports, Iran has only announced the deployment of missiles of nine ranges, according to its reports, nine Iranian-made missiles with a range sufficient to reach Israel. Iran's published list of missiles includes the Sajil, Kheibar, Emad, Shahab-3, Ghadr, Pawe, Fattah-2, Kheibar Shekan, and Haj Qasem ballistic missiles.
It is not known how high the gold content of this missile is, but what is certain is that Iran has succeeded and has achieved the goal of deterrence, allowing Israel to withdraw its troops overnight.
In the end, judging from the current situation, the probability of success in the Palestinian-Israeli ceasefire negotiations is still very high, because it doesn't matter whether Israel has this hard power or not, because it is very rare to achieve it in the United States, and it is obvious that Biden does not want to be dragged into the water by Israel.
In addition, if Israel continues to be arrogant, Middle East countries will definitely attack it en masse, and now Iran, Syria, Lebanon, and Iraq have all developed and grown, and they are no longer the Middle Eastern countries that Israel bullied before, and it can be seen from some of the actions of the Yemeni Houthis and Allah that if they really do it, Israel may not all have the upper hand.