At the time of the resumption of military dialogue between China and the United States, the United States invited the Taiwan military to the United States to participate in the 2024 Rim of the Pacific exercise.
The Taiwan military participated in this year's RIMPAC military exercise?
It has been learned that the media on the island broke the news that Tang Hua, the "chief" of Taiwan's navy, went to the United States to visit the US Indo-Pacific Command in Hawaii and attend the ceremony of changing the command of the Pacific Fleet.
Also at the event, the United States intends to invite the Taiwanese Navy to participate in the 2024 RIMPAC exercise.
In fact, similar activities have been carried out by the Taiwanese military before.
The US side has previously proposed to invite the Taiwanese military to participate in the RIMPAC exercise, and in addition to the secret promotion of the United States, the Taiwanese military itself has also shown interest in participating in the exercise.
[RIMPAC Military Exercise Organized by the United States]
Jiang Qichen, a so-called "legislator" of the Kuomintang, revealed that Taiwan's military is very willing to join the RIMPAC exercise and is ready at any time.
In the end, however, it is up to the US side to decide whether or not the Taiwan military can participate in the RIMPAC exercise, and the Taiwan side has only received a verbal invitation from the US side, not a formal invitation.
Judging from the attitude of the US side in the past, it is unlikely that the Taiwan military will participate in the 2024 RIMPAC exercise.
The reason is that the mainland will actively oppose the emergence of such a situation, and the United States needs to consider the impact of this move on Sino-US relations.
PLA military planes appeared in the eastern part of Taiwan Island
Sure enough, after the Taiwan side revealed the news of its participation in the Rim of the Pacific military exercise, the PLA carried out activities around the island.
[People's Liberation Army military aircraft appeared in Taitung data map]
On April 6, according to intelligence released by Taiwan's defense agency, from 6 a.m. on the 5th to 6 a.m. on the 6th, a PLA helicopter and seven warships operated in the waters around Taiwan within 24 hours.
Among them, the helicopter was detected and flew into the eastern airspace, only 98 nautical miles away from Eluanbi.
In this regard, Taiwan's retired Major General Li Zhengjie analyzed that the PLA helicopters are operating in the waters east of Taiwan, and it is very likely that there is a Type 052D or Type 054 frigate nearby for anti-submarine training. The sea is moderately deep, making it ideal for submarine warfare, and U.S. submarines are particularly fond of operating in this area.
However, the Taiwan authorities have a negative attitude towards the PLA's move and have not reacted much.
Originally, Taiwan's Army's "Golden Defense Department" planned to hold a 16-day live-fire exercise at sea starting on 2 April, with the nearest exercise area only 4 kilometers away from Xiamen.
However, because the mainland side said "avoid provocations and do not act rashly," the Taiwan authorities were afraid that this move would have provocative intentions, so they postponed the exercise.
However, some sources believe that the Taiwan authorities have heeded the US demand and "avoided war."
The United States has made many calculations that if the United States unilaterally starts a war with China in the western Pacific, the possibility of victory is very small.
[PLA ships appear in Taitung]
The United States has already been involved in two proxy wars, the Russia-Ukraine war and the Israeli-Palestinian war, and if a third war starts in Asia, its strength will already be stretched.
In addition, Sino-US relations have closely restricted cross-strait relations, Taiwan has lost its relative independence, and the initiative in cross-strait relations is completely in the hands of the mainland.
At the same time, the United States is currently in the critical period of the presidential election, and it also needs to rely on China economically, and cannot have a head-on conflict with China. Instead, he demanded "restraint" from Taiwan.
In any case, the gap in military strength between the two sides of the strait is huge, and Taiwan's status as an inalienable part of China's territory has become a universal consensus of the international community.
Even the United States and Japan, on which the DPP is pinning its hopes, do not dare to openly intervene in the Taiwan Strait issue. Therefore, the general trend of Chinese mainland's reunification with Taiwan is unstoppable, and it is only a question of the way to do it, whether it is through peaceful reunification or reunification by force. If the Taiwan authorities fail to soberly understand this point, the day of reunification will be even more imminent.
Lai Qingde is about to take office, and cross-strait relations are even more complicated
It is also worth mentioning that in just over a month, the ceremony for the change of leadership of the Taiwan region will come, and at that time, Lai Qingde will succeed Tsai Ing-wen as the leader of the Taiwan region.
[Lai Ching-te, leader-designate of Taiwan]
Lai Qingde's personality is complex, but there is no doubt about one thing: he is an out-and-out "Taiwan independence" diehard. This is also what worries both sides of the strait.
Someone once confronted Lai Ching-te at the Tainan City Council and asked him how many lives would it take to pursue "Taiwan independence?" "Is it 100,000, 200,000, or 300,000?" If there is indeed a conflict between the two sides of the strait in the future, will it succeed even if so many lives are sacrificed? ”
In 1992, Chinese mainland's GDP was only twice that of Taiwan, and after 32 years, it has now increased to 24 times, and the gap in military power is self-evident.
But at the same time, Lai Qingde is also a relatively "cowardly" person, and when his political life is threatened, he will "retreat".
During Tsai Ing-wen's visit in 2019, Lai went to register for the DPP primary election for the 2020 "general election" and was abused by green camp netizens. After that, he changed somewhat, and rarely talked about "Taiwan independence" in public.
Until he participated in the 2024 Taiwan leadership election, he hid himself and was finally elected.
Lai Ching-te's personality determines that after he becomes the leader of the Taiwan region, he will also hide himself, making cross-strait relations more uncertain.
How the mainland deals with Lai Qingde may be a headache.
#MCN首发激励计划#