#收评: -0.71% Shenzhen Component Index -1.49% #
1. Today's trend of A-shares is really too risky, and the trend in the morning and afternoon has formed a complete inverse V-shaped state. In the morning, the Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.71%, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 1.49%, the decline was fierce, and the ratio of individual stocks was only 754:4602, which was another day of general decline.
Second, although the morning market rushed higher, it did not give me much hope, because I already understood the risk factors. Over the weekend, I have posted several times that I have expressed the view that Monday is lower, and I have explained the reasons for this. At noon today, I also specially posted a video to emphasize the view that the Shanghai and Shenzhen indices may turn down in the afternoon, and if there is no support from more positive factors, I will not continue to be so resolutely bearish.
Third, today's top ten A-share industry sectors are basically green, including the new energy vehicles, securities, and pharmaceutical sectors that I said before the market all fell sharply as I expected, and the new energy vehicle sector also has greater risk factors, and today's leading sectors are mainly oil, real estate and coal, and the technology and new energy sectors are green, especially the semiconductor sector fell by 2.93%, which makes me feel really disappointed.
Fourth, A-shares today is a day of shrinkage and plunge, the volume can be 1.04 trillion, falling between my estimate of 980 billion and 1.04 trillion, shrinkage is not a good sign, we must not think that it is reluctant to sell, an open capital market, how to sell, this can only show that the attitude of the outside of the market to avoid the market has strengthened, the market active sentiment has weakened, and the market has come to move forward.
5. Generally speaking, the technical form of A-share shorts is obvious, and it may be difficult to complete a round of shuffling due to the decline in shrinkage, and the current risk factors are relatively large. I have said many times, not optimistic about the short-term trend of A shares, or will return to the spiral downward process, A shares continue to rise need to rely on the natural force of capital, I am not optimistic about the trend of A shares tomorrow Tuesday, wait for me to collect information in the evening, and at 8:00 tomorrow morning after discussing with my colleagues to give a clear view, I can not arbitrarily mislead you with a point of view.