The volume has risen sharply, and the name is 7 Lianyang!China AMC Fund: Triple factors catalyze the market

After a continuous decline since the beginning of the year, the A-share market has finally rejected it. The market continued to strengthen today, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing up 1.27% to achieve seven consecutive gains, the longest winning streak in three and a half years.

Recently, more positive factors have been strengthened, and the economy and capital market have ushered in a double support. After a sharp correction in the past three years, the A-share and Hong Kong stock markets are currently in a low position, with more room for upside. At the same time, the country's attention to the capital market is repeatedly emphasized, under the triple catalysis of policy strengthening + chip clearing + strong industrial upgrading, superimposed RMB appreciation is good, and the industry sector generally rises.

First of all, the effect of quasi-"leveling" funds in supporting the capital market is remarkable, and the interest rate cut exceeds expectations to boost economic growth confidence, showing a combination effect of 1+1 far greater than 2. On 20 February, the domestic five-year loan prime rate (LPR) was cut by 25 basis points, the largest since the introduction of the reference rate in 2019, and policy efforts continued to be strengthened. 

Secondly, the trading structure of A-shares is improving, the chips are naturally cleared sufficiently, and the upward resistance is small. With the strengthening of supervision, a small number of illegal transactions have been cleared, the liquidity of mainstream indices has recovered, and the trading volume of the two markets has approached the trillion level, and the market has come out of the "negative feedback" of funds and the adjustment caused by emotions. We believe that the first wave of the rebound is characterized by the recovery of the general rise of the sector, and as investment returns to a rational framework, the industry structure will diverge again, and high-quality companies will get the opportunity of "revaluation" of liquidity return.

Finally, in 2024, a number of industries will enter a stage of strong growth, forming a pulsing upward opportunity, which has begun to emerge. For example, in the field of scientific and technological growth, the iteration speed of artificial intelligence may far exceed any round of industrial trends, and the Sora model initially breaks the boundary between virtual and reality, realizing that what is said is what you see, and forming a promotion or impact on industries such as film and television media, industrial design and computing power demand, and it is reasonable to speculate that in the next 3-6 months, more large-scale applications can be seen;

Looking ahead, the valuation model under the long-term economic growth assumption still predicts that the valuation regression forecast for 2024 is still expansion, and the expectation of upward earnings growth is superimposed, and A-shares are still in the bottom area of the big cycle. It is expected that the market will choose the direction next, with the convening of major meetings, the probability of fiscal stimulus exceeding expectations/quarterly economic exceeding expectations will increase, and high-quality stocks in the pro-cyclical direction, including technology and consumption, may usher in Davis's double-click opportunity.

Source: ChinaAMC, Wind, February 22, 2024. Risk Warning: This material is not intended as any legal document, and all information or opinions expressed in the material do not constitute investment, legal, accounting or tax final operation advice, and our company does not make any guarantee for the final operation advice on the content of the information. Under no circumstances shall the Company be liable to any person for any loss arising from the use of any content in this material. The mainland fund has been in operation for a relatively short period of time and does not reflect all stages of the development of the stock market. The market is risky, and investors need to be cautious.

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div.autoTypeSetting24psection > p,div.autoTypeSetting24psection > section{margin-bottom: 24px;}