I can't stand it!"If you don't buy a house this year, you'll be busy for five years"

The following article comes from Mr. Middle Class, the author of your Mr. Middle School

Flickering one is one.

On the day of the start of construction, I said that it was about to reach Xiaoyangchun, and it was usual to speculate on the heat of the property market, but this year it was a bit difficult, and the Spring Festival property market was relatively deserted, and it was a bit difficult.

So much so that the media has used the tricky angle of second-hand housing transactions in second-tier cities to stir up the heat.

Yesterday's interest rate cut, mortgage interest rate drop, is a major positive, must be arranged immediately.

So the hot search came:

There was nothing wrong with the opinion of this expert surnamed Xie:

There is a demand for rigid needs and improvements, and it is appropriate to make a move during the preferential period of policy easing, after all, life is your own, not a house speculation.

But shouting that if you don't buy a house, it's a bit foolish to be busy for five years.

There are three conditions that need to be met if you don't buy for five years now:

1. Housing prices will not fall in the future

How does that sentence say, you like the interest, others like the principal.

The interest drops by a few hundred a month, and it will save one or two thousand a year, and the house price is hundreds of thousands casually, and this account will still be calculated.

If we want housing prices not to fall, at present, housing prices must first bottom out.

Last year, Gao Bo made a positive point:

He believes that after a year of price reduction, second-hand housing has basically dropped by 20%-30% in various places, which can reflect the real price level and basically bottomed out.

At present, the price of first-hand houses is relatively high, and if the price of first-hand houses is also reduced in the future, then the property market can be regarded as truly bottoming out.

But you think, now the property market is a stock market, if the price of first-hand houses drops, the price of second-hand houses must have a downward trend, in order to be regarded as a real bottom.

So, who can guarantee that house prices won't fall in the next five years, or that they will bottom out in five years?

It took three decades for Japanese house prices to rebound, and they finally began to pick up last year, thanks to the Chinese to buy.

2. The five-year LPR will not fall for five years

The LPR is adjusted monthly, once a month, and the mortgage adjustment is once a year, some are the mortgage day, and some are in January every year.

If you don't adjust it in five years, it's impossible.

There are three main considerations for adjusting the five-year LPR now:

1) To reduce the burden on real enterprises, now the manufacturing PPI and PMI data are not good, and the profit of entities is one of the main tasks of the financial future.

2) Stimulate the property market, and at the same time can reduce everyone's impulse to repay the loan in advance, many people replace the mortgage with a business loan, which is not a small risk.

3) Deposits and mortgages can also stimulate everyone's consumption a little, and now domestic demand is also the top priority.

Not to mention that the mortgage interest rate is still not low after it has been reduced, just talking about the above three policy directions, it will definitely fall in the future.

So, how can you be busy in vain?

3. Stable employment cash flow in the next five years

When the economy and employment are uncertain, if your own strength is limited, it is more rational not to easily go into debt.

Not only can they not afford to lose, but they also struggle to maintain this debt.

According to the current level of housing loans, many dual-income workers use all of their salary to repay the loan, and what if one of them graduates?

In case it is a single-income family graduates, and there are no six wallets to help, needless to say, there are many cases on the Internet, so it is really in vain.

I think the average investor understands this:

But Xiaobai is easy to be frightened by experts and intermediaries.

Therefore, it is too irresponsible for experts to say such things.

Again:

There is economic strength, there are six wallets of just need and improvement, now is indeed a preferential policy period, life is their own and do not speculate on the house, should buy it, but it is a little difficult to get on the car, and there are no six wallets to support the bottom of the person, for the sake of insurance or wait.

At last:

This year's Xiaoyangchun, let's watch the performance of first-line powerful players.

How is the condition, considering that the return to the city can only be completed on the fifteenth day of the first month, it depends on this month.

See.

That's it.

Although it is late, it is rare in history.

The current economic situation is complex and thorny, and the policy orientation is both necessary and necessary, so that the introduction of policies is often unexpected.

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div.autoTypeSetting24psection > p,div.autoTypeSetting24psection > section{margin-bottom: 24px;}