The "trillion club" collectively handed over the papers, and these cities were overtaken
Every reporter: Dan Zhongkui Every editor: Yang Huan
Image source: photo.com_401023397
The last two trillion cities released their "report cards".
On February 5, Changsha announced the economic operation in 2023, and preliminary calculations showed that the city's GDP was 1,433.198 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.8%, and on February 6, the Zhengzhou Bureau of Statistics released the city's economic operation, with a GDP of 1,361.78 billion yuan in 2023, a year-on-year increase of 7.4%.
The trillion city is the locomotive of the national economy, and the performance of the "trillion club" has naturally attracted much attention. With the successive announcements of Changsha and Zhengzhou, the "report card" of 26 trillion cities in the country has been released.
In terms of economic aggregate, in the stage of 4 trillion yuan, Shanghai and Beijing are racing at the peak; in the stage of 3 trillion yuan, Guangzhou and Chongqing are historically promoted; in the stage of 2 trillion yuan, Hangzhou and Wuhan have completed the last leap; and in the stage of 1 trillion yuan, Yantai and Changzhou have joined hands to enter the "trillion club"; Reserve armies "such as Tangshan and Xuzhou are waiting for them......
If the competition of the city does not advance, it will retreat, and if it advances slowly, it will also retreat. In the past year, who has bucked the trend? Looking to the future, how will trillion-dollar cities meet a new round of "reshuffle"?
Top 10 shuffle: Guangyu is promoted, and Hangwu is transposed
Among the top 10 economic provinces in terms of GDP, Chongqing, Shenzhen and Chengdu lead the way with a growth rate of 6% or more, of which Shenzhen's economic growth reached 221.872 billion yuan, second only to Shanghai.
In 2023, the GDP of Shanghai and Beijing will reach 4,721.866 billion yuan and 4,376.07 billion yuan respectively, and after crossing the 4 trillion yuan level, they will continue to break through the "ceiling" of the city. Shenzhen's GDP soared by 200 billion yuan, and its GDP reached 3,460.64 billion yuan, firmly sitting in the "third pole".
Behind Shanghai, Guangzhou and Chongqing have completed a historic upgrade - GDP reached 3,035.573 billion yuan and 3,014.579 billion yuan respectively, and the economic growth rate was 4.6% and 6.1% respectively, crossing the 3 trillion yuan step hand in hand.
As early as the 2022 GDP data was released, Guangzhou was once surpassed by Chongqing, and after the 2023 GDP review, Guangzhou increased by 91.5 billion yuan and Chongqing decreased by 33.2 billion, that is to say, in fact, Guangzhou did not lose the seat of the "fourth city" in 2022.
Suzhou and Chengdu led the 2 trillion yuan stage, with GDP reaching 2,465.34 billion yuan and 2,207.47 billion yuan respectively. Hangzhou and Wuhan broke through the 2 trillion yuan mark with a growth rate of 5.6% and 5.7% respectively, and their GDP reached 2,005.9 billion yuan and 2,001.165 billion yuan respectively.
This historic promotion also means that 9 of the top 10 cities in GDP have entered the "2 trillion club". At the same time, the dispute between Wuhan and Hangzhou for many years over the "eighth city" has emerged in a new situation.
In 2012, Wuhan's economic aggregate surpassed that of Hangzhou, and it was not until 2020 that it was surpassed by the latter due to the impact of the epidemic, and then regained its position as the "eighth city" in 2022, and now Hangzhou has reversed Wuhan again.
In particular, in the "troika", Wuhan has a remarkable consumption performance, but the growth of investment and foreign trade is inferior to that of Hangzhou. Among them, the total amount of social consumption in Hangzhou and Wuhan in 2023 will be 5.2% and 8.6% respectively, while the growth rate of fixed asset investment will be 2.8% and 0.3% respectively, and the growth rate of import and export will be 6.1% and 2.9% respectively.
Looking at the development of the two cities, Wuhan takes automobile manufacturing, biomedicine, optoelectronic information and other pillar industries as its pillar industries, while Hangzhou strives to shape the "double engine" of digital economy and manufacturing.
Waist Race: Yongqing forward, Jihe is on top
In the "waist" of trillion-dollar cities, Ningbo and Qingdao are the biggest challengers to the order. In 2023, the two cities will increase by 74.85 billion yuan and 83.955 billion yuan respectively, making them the two fastest-growing cities in the "trillion club" except for the top 10 camps.
In 2023, the GDP of Nanjing, Tianjin, Ningbo and Qingdao will be 1,742.14 billion yuan, 1,673.73 billion yuan, 1,645.28 billion yuan, and 1,576.03 billion yuan respectively.
Among them, Ningbo and Nanjing are both set to cross the line in 2025, while Qingdao and Tianjin are around 2026-2027. In contrast, in addition to the total GDP of more than 2 trillion yuan, Ningbo's goal is to enter the top 10 in the country. This also means that in the next two years, Ningbo will try its best to catch up with Tianjin and Nanjing.
In the first quarter of last year, Ningbo once ranked 11th in the country with an economic aggregate of 380.18 billion yuan, surpassing Tianjin's 371.58 billion yuan in the same period. Although Ningbo failed to overtake last year, the gap with Tianjin narrowed by more than half compared with 60.7 billion yuan in the previous year to 28.45 billion yuan.
Image source: Photo.com 501288171
At the same time, the distance between Qingdao and Tianjin has also narrowed from 139 billion yuan in 2022 to 97.7 billion yuan, and there is a trend of further narrowing.
In 2023, the GDP growth rates of Nanjing, Tianjin, Ningbo and Qingdao will be 4.7%, 4.3%, 5.5% and 5.9% respectively, with Nanjing and Tianjin underperforming the national market, and in 2024, the GDP growth rates of the four cities are expected to be 5.0%, 4.5%, 6.0% and 5.5% respectively, and Ningbo and Qingdao are expected to continue to catch up.
However, it is not easy for Ningbo to complete the overtaking of Tianjin and Nanjing within two years.
Zeng Gang, dean of the Urban Development Research Institute of East China Normal University and director of the China Modern City Research Center, a key research base for humanities and social sciences of the Ministry of Education, told Uncle Cheng that Ningbo's biggest feature is that it is the world's largest cargo port city, but it will be greatly affected by external environmental factors in 2023. According to the data, the growth rate of Ningbo's imports and exports in 2023 will only be 0.9%.
But it is not without hope, Zeng Gang further pointed out that Ningbo's "ascendancy" may mainly depend on two points. On the one hand, it is to realize the transformation of the industrial structure, the balanced development of "light" and "heavy" industries, and on the other hand, it is to gradually shift from relying on ports to the bay area, and the transformation and development of Ningbo in the Zhejiang Bay Area strategy will be one of the important factors for its growth.
Like Qingdao, Wuxi has also successfully crossed hundreds of billions of steps, but the gap has been quietly widened. In 2023, Wuxi will achieve GDP15456 19 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 6%. In 2022, Wuxi will only have a gap of less than 7 billion yuan from Qingdao, and now the distance has been re-widened to more than 30 billion yuan.
In the stage of 1.1 trillion yuan to 1.4 trillion yuan, Changsha, Zhengzhou, Foshan, Fuzhou, Jinan, Hefei, Quanzhou, Xi'an, Nantong and Dongguan ranked 15th to 24th respectively, with growth rates of 4.8%, 7.4%, 5%, 5.2%, 6.1%, 5.8%, 4.8%, 5.2%, 5.8% and 2.6% respectively.
Relying on the high economic growth rate, Jinan and Hefei surpassed Quanzhou in one fell swoop, and were promoted to the 19th and 20th places in the country respectively. In 2023, the growth rate of industrial added value in the two cities will be 12.4% and 10.6% respectively, and the industrial economy will have strong momentum.
Among them, the output of photovoltaic cells and integrated circuit wafers in Jinan increased by 529.8% and 111.2% respectively, and the output value of Hefei's new energy vehicles and intelligent networked vehicles exceeded 170 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 54.6%.
This is also an important driving force to support the two cities to compete for the first place.
Trillions of upstarts: Yan is often promoted, and 4 cities are "waitlists"
As "quasi-trillion" cities in 2022, Yantai and Changzhou have attracted much attention in the past year.
According to the data, the GDP of Yantai and Changzhou in 2023 will be 1,016.246 billion yuan and 1,011.64 billion yuan respectively, with growth rates of 6.6% and 6.8% respectively. The promotion is expected, but Yantai's surpassing Changzhou, the "new energy capital" that is in the limelight, has surprised many people.
Image source: Photo.com 501707860
In the past year, Yantai has continued to implement the "9+N" manufacturing agglomeration and cultivation project, and the industrial output value above the designated size has exceeded 970 billion yuan, and the industrial economic momentum has tended to be strong.
From the perspective of the "troika", Yantai's investment, consumption, import and export performance is outstanding, and the growth rate is significantly better than that of Changzhou. In 2023, the growth rate of fixed asset investment in Yantai and Changzhou will be 5.8% and 2.5% respectively, the growth rate of total retail sales of consumer goods will be 9.2% and 6.8% respectively, and the growth rate of import and export will be 1.5% and -1.3% respectively.
Zooming in, Shandong cities seem to be the biggest winners in the GDP ranking battle in 2023. Qingdao is ahead in increment, Jinan has achieved carrying, and Yantai has crossed the trillion mark for the first time. In Zeng Gang's view, "the cities that were highly dependent on foreign trade in the past few years have been hit harder, including Shanghai, Suzhou and Ningbo. However, in some cities where the proportion of state-owned enterprises is large and the overseas market is relatively small, the economic situation is better, and in this sense, Shandong's advantages are obvious. ”
After the two new trillion cities, the GDP of Tangshan, Xuzhou, Dalian, and Wenzhou will reach 913.33 billion yuan, 890.044 billion yuan, 875.29 billion yuan, and 873.06 billion yuan respectively in 2023, all of which have the strength to impact the "trillion club" in the next three years.
From the perspective of growth rate, the development potential. Among the 26 trillion cities and 4 reserve cities, 23 have completed the expected growth target for 2023 as scheduled, and for 2024, 14 have locked the expected target at 6% and above, of which Zhengzhou continues to lead the way with the expected growth rate of "7%".
According to Zeng Gang's observation, in 2024, a series of new policies will be introduced from the central to the local government, and investment in infrastructure may be tightened, but investment in supporting enterprise production will be relatively relaxed. With the gradual implementation of policies, the real economy may perform better. "Setting the target of 5%-6% for trillion cities is not too high and is not difficult to achieve. ”
National Business Daily