This week, A-shares fell for five consecutive trading days, especially on Friday, when there was another panic and a 100-point plunge, and the Shanghai Stock Exchange fell directly to 2,666 points! When the market and investors entered despair, suddenly a stock of mysterious funds rescued the market, and the strong recovery of the decline shocked the Shenzhen V trend.
With the exit of the deep V on Friday, the market and investors are pondering that the A-share Shanghai Composite 2666 points will become the historical bottom, become a sign of the bottom, and conduct a detailed analysis of the current A-shares with these two questions.
First of all, it is certain that the A-share Shanghai Composite Index of 2666 points is indeed expected to become a historical bottom, even if this point is not a real bottom, it is very close to the real historical bottom, the room for decline is very limited, and the future opportunities far outweigh the risks.
In fact, it can be analyzed from many aspects, the historical bottom will appear three bottoms, the policy bottom, the valuation bottom and the market bottom, and the three bottoms will appear when the historical bottom appears.
1. The bottom of the policy has appeared, since the proposal of "activating the capital market and boosting investor confidence" in July last year as the starting point, and then a package of favorable policies has been introduced in the following half a year, not limited to reducing stamp duty, transaction fees, IPO slowdown, short-selling restrictions, etc., all these policies are enough to prove that the policy bottom of A-shares has appeared.
2. The bottom of the valuation has appeared, and the data as of the close of this Friday shows that the average P/E ratio of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets is 14.16 times, which is close to the lowest P/E ratio in history, especially the average P/E ratio of the Shanghai Stock Exchange is 10.32 times, which is also close to the lowest stock in history, which can be enough to prove that A-shares are seriously undervalued.
3. The bottom of the market has appeared, and the general policy bottom will fall out of the bottom of the market after the bottom, similar to the current round of A-shares is from more than 3400 points to more than 2600 points, especially in the near future, it is obvious that the bottom of the market will appear, as long as the market bottom will appear when the most panic is passed and the short position is completely released.
Secondly, combined with the situation after Friday's surprise Shenzhen V, the bailout funds have been shot, the major indices have bottomed out, and many sectors and stocks have not fallen;
Finally, through the above analysis, it is known that combined with the current position of A-shares, the bottom of the policy, the bottom of the valuation and the bottom of the market have appeared, and this round of decline has indeed been very large, the sector and individual stocks have not fallen, and 2666 points on Friday is indeed expected to become the historical bottom, which is not doubtful.
In short, whether A-share 2666 points can become a historical bottom, whether it is a bottom mark, all this will be shared next week, let us look forward to the big bull market after the historical bottom. #天南地北大拜年#