Today's stock market is very confusing

Today's market is somewhat confusing.

Electronics, computers, communications, biomedicine, and other sectors, which have fallen sharply for several consecutive days, have become the leading sectors today, while coal, which has been performing well, has fallen abnormally today, underperforming the index, closing down 1.66 percentage points.

Without warning, the style of the market changed. Is the technology growth sector going to stop falling? Is the steady dividend sector going to make up for the decline?

The style shift won't be so smooth.

In all probability, today's market is a feint, and the technology sector is just a respite after a sharp fall, and has not yet fallen, while the dividend sector is a profit-taking after a continuous rise, and the rally is not over.

From the perspective of capital, the northbound net inflow of 2.726 billion yuan throughout the day continued to buy the bottom. The China Special Valuation Index fell by 1.34 percentage points throughout the day, rarely underperforming the market, or it means that the rescue funds have changed their strategies and began to support the technology sector in a state of negative feedback to avoid the risk of large-scale leveraged funds liquidation.

Judging from today's market performance, this bottom-up strategy has been effective, and the relevant sectors have stopped falling, and some leveraged funds have been successfully unbundled in the chip exchange.

But the uncertainty lies in whether this strategy will continue, and how many bullets the national team has in its hands, and whether it can hold the bottom.

Recently, the average margin ratio in the margin market has fallen rapidly, closing at 229.6% as of January 31, which is already lower than the lows in April and October 2022, but there is still some room for the 2018 lows, and it is difficult to say that it has reached an extreme value.

The rapid decline in the ratio of the two financial guarantees corresponds to a large number of leveraged funds approaching the warning line and the liquidation line, which will trigger the selling and self-rescue behavior of such funds, which is usually accompanied by selling and falling sharply regardless of the cost.

Theoretically, this trend can be reversed as long as the backing funds are sufficient, but whether it is enough or not, the market has no confidence and does not see similar signals.

In this case, it is better to be cautious and not to talk about it lightly.

Let's watch for another day or two.

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#373737}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--weui-BG-6: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-ACTIVE-MASK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1)}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--weui-REDORANGE: #ff6146;;--weui-BG-0: #111;--weui-BG-1: #1e1e1e;--weui-BG-2: #191919;--weui-BG-3: #202020;--weui-BG-4: #404040;--weui-BG-5: #2c2c2c;--weui-FG-0: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-FG-HALF: rgba(255, 255, 255, .6);--weui-FG-1: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-FG-2: rgba(255, 255, 255, .3);--weui-FG-3: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-FG-4: rgba(255, 255, 255, .15);--weui-FG-5: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-RED: #fa5151;--weui-ORANGERED: #ff6146;--weui-ORANGE: #c87d2f;--weui-YELLOW: #cc9c00;--weui-GREEN: #74a800;--weui-LIGHTGREEN: #3eb575;--weui-FIRE: #07c160;--weui-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-INDIGO: #1196ff;--weui-PURPLE: #8183ff;--weui-WHITE: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-LINK: #7d90a9;--weui-TEXTGREEN: #259c5c;--weui-FG: #fff;--weui-BG: #000;--weui-TAG-TEXT-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6); --weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .05)}}@media(prefers-color-scheme: dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),,body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--discussInput-BG: rgba(255, 255, 255, .03)}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--nickName-FG: #959595}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--weui-BG-0: #111;--weui-BG-1: #1e1e1e;--weui-BG-2: 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div.autoTypeSetting24psection > p,div.autoTypeSetting24psection > section{margin-bottom: 24px;}