Source: Wind, Haomai Institute. Time period: 2018.1.2-2024.01.30
Today (2024/01/30) the market temperature is -2.76°C, the market temperature is still below 0 degrees, in the extremely greedy range, and those with insufficient positions can consider continuing to cover their positions.
First, the real review
I want to be smart real trading has fallen by 12.37% since its inception, and the partial stock fund index has fallen by 22.36% over the same period (source: Haomai Fund Research Center, as of 2024/1/29).
The market has fallen very quickly this year, but due to the wave of national team entry last week, my smart income in the past 1 week is still reddish.
Among the holdings of I want to be smart, there are only 5 funds that have fallen in the past week, and the two biggest declines are E Fund Information Industry and Zhonggeng Small Cap Value, which have fallen by 2.33% and 1.83% respectively in the past week.
Other holding funds have performed well, and they have risen in the past week, especially ICBC Logistics Industry and Zhongtai Yuheng Value Selection, which have risen by more than 6 points in the past week, all of which have kept up with the rise of the market in those days.
In addition, Sino Advanced Manufacturing, Huaan Jujia Selection, and Dacheng High-tech Industries have also risen by more than 4 points in the past week.
The direction of the main rise last week was represented by the Chinese prefix, like the funds with a good rally I mentioned earlier, there are many Chinese prefixes in the heavy stocks.
Fortunately, I want to be flexible and the allocation is quite balanced, so it seems that most of the time, no matter what direction the market performs, I want to be flexible and there will always be a few funds to catch up.
Then this time the opportunity of the Chinese word, or the opportunity of the central state-owned enterprises, will simply tell you what I think.
First of all, in the three days of last week's rise, the Chinese word is the key direction of the main support of the national team, and other funds have also moved.
The growth direction has obviously been sucked up these days, and in the case of falling for 3 years, it can still fall so strongly, such as today's semiconductors fell by more than 4 points, and yesterday's photovoltaic fell by 6 points.
But whether to take the opportunity to lay out the direction of the prefix now, my view is that it is better to wait for the retracement before considering the current position, there are two main reasons.
The first point is that the whole market is not good, it is still in the bear market, the current A-share market size is over 80 trillion, and it is very difficult to rise directly overnight, which requires a lot of funds.
The second point is that the Chinese word may be close to the pressure level, taking the central enterprise win-win index as a representative, this index ushered in a large wave of rise at the beginning of 2023, and then from May sideways shock to September, the current index has reached the early pressure level after a rapid rise in recent days, and these hedged disks accumulated last year may form selling pressure in this position.
Source: wind, data as of 2024/1/30
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Disclaimer: The content of this article is based on public information research and does not constitute investment advice. Investors should make prudent decisions and bear risks independently.
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